Hate to see the graph for the USA
A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread
INteresting quote that is pretty presumptious.
“The dotted line shows countries home to the Pteropodidae family of fruit bats who are the natural hosts of the disease.”
Suspected, yes. Not known.
The response of Pres. Obola will be to invite them all in with free one-way tickets to the U.S., with the promise of a free Obummer phone as a bonus.
After all, it’s just not fair that there is an ebola epidemic in Africa but not in this country.
Actually I’m hoping for a cold winter as soon as possible now.
My thinking is that the cold weather would hinder the spread of ebola in the north, at least during the winter.
Australian news.
Meanwhile, aistralia says they will NOT be sending anyone to the hot zones.
The Australian government will not send doctors or nurses to west Africa to help contain the Ebola crisis until it is certain all of the risks are being properly managed, the prime minister, Tony Abbott, has said.
I guess it's a good thing it's Fall. All the bats migrated south from Texas. If ebola hangs around until Spring, then the bats will be back, and could spread the disease if they pick up the infection.
So in essence during the final stages the patient is a giant mass of viral contaminants, with those contaminants being actively thrown off in all directions. And, of course, invasive procedures put those performing them in direct contact with those fluids in quantity.
OTOH, before the patient becomes symptomatic he is probably not contagious at all. Thereafter he is at first only mildly infectious, with close or even intimate contact required. The degree of infectiousness increases exponentially as the disease progresses.
If this post is correct, I'd expect to see a reduction in the spread rate as everyone catches on.
Have a nice day.
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...