Posted on 10/30/2014 4:19:30 AM PDT by Din Maker
In a stunning turnaround, likely voters in the so-called millennial generation prefer a Republican-led Congress after next week's elections, and young Hispanics are turning sharply against President Obama.
A new national poll of 18-to-29-year-olds by Harvard's Institute of Politics shows that young Americans are leaving the new Democratic coalition that twice elected Obama. The news is little better for the GOP: These voters, who more than any other voting bloc represent the future of the American electorate, generally hold Republicans in the lowest regard.
The long-view IOP findings suggest that neither party is poised to win the largest generation in U.S. historya pragmatic, demanding, relatively nonideological electorate raised in an age of terrorism, war, and government dysfunction.
"Millennials could be a critical swing vote," said IOP Director Maggie Williams, projecting the latest results on future elections. "Candidates for office: Ignore millennial voters at your peril." Williams is a Democrat and a former adviser to Hillary Clinton.
In the short term, the news is worse for Democrats than Republicans.
Millennials who told the IOP they will "definitely be voting" Tuesday favored Republicans over Democrats, 51 percent to 47 percent. That is a reversal of September 2010 results, when the IOP found Democrats favored over Republicans among young likely voters, 55 percent to 43 percent.
Obama's job-approval rating among millennials decreased from 47 percent in April to 43 percent, his second-lowest rating in the IOP surveys. Among young Americans most likely to vote, his job-approval rating is just 42 percent.
Obama's job approval is below 40 percent on several issues, including the economy, health care, the federal budget deficit, and foreign policy. Nearly six of 10 young Americans disapprove of Obamacare. Among the one in four millennial voters who say they definitely will vote Tuesday, Republican-leaning constituencies are significantly more enthusiastic about the election than Democrats.
Just 49 percent of young Hispanics approve of Obama's job performance, the lowest since IOP began tracking in 2009. That's a big drop from six months ago, when his rating among young Hispanics was 60 percent, and five years ago, when 81 percent of Hispanic millennials approved of Obama's performance. Only 17 percent of Hispanic youth plan to vote Tuesday, far smaller than the non-Hispanic percentages and likely a reflection of frustration over stalled immigration reform.
The political elites are all the same now.
Leave it to Ron Fournier to try and make it bad news for the Republicans......even in his own column about how bad it is for Democrats and Obama.
He just can’t help himself, even when he’s onto something.
That which cannot go on forever won’t. Things change. The reason liberals hate the Internet and talk radio is because the truth gets out. Without gatekeepers and monopoly control liberalism withers.
I have two millennials, which both were raised and are conservatives. It is delightful to hear them talk of the conversations they have with their low information friends, and how little it takes to get their friends interested in what is going on now, and convince them of the conservative point of view. I don’t think most of them care enough to vote yet; they are lazy. But the seed is planted.
Perhaps the fall-off in support of Obala among the Millenials is similar to the end of the crack epidemic in the nineties...the younger siblings of crack users saw with their own eyes what was happening to the crack users and rejected it. Older brothers and sisters, as well as parents, without jobs will do that.
I sure hope so.
I’ll wait until 11/5 to believe it.
Quickest way to get the border closed.
Good thing Fournier was able to write that on a computer and not a typewriter. Otherwise his tears would have smudged the ink.
I raised my 3 kids the same way; to believe in Conservatism. My oldest son even named his daughter Reagan.
Millenials might be, but Hispanics? I doubt it. This is posturing for the elections.
Democrats aren’t worried, though. They still have their old reliables — dead people and felons.
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