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Experts: Worst-case U.S. Ebola scenario 130 cases by end of 2014
Washington Examiner ^ | 11/2/2014 | Justin Green

Posted on 11/02/2014 8:43:48 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Infectious disease experts predict anywhere from a mere one or two additional cases of Ebola to a worst-case scenario of 130, according to simulations conducted for the Associated Press.

Almost all of the predicted cases will be healthcare workers returning from West Africa.

"I don't think there's going to be a huge outbreak here, no," Dr. David Relman, a professor of infectious disease, microbiology and immunology at Stanford University's medical school, told the AP. "However, as best we can tell right now, it is quite possible that every major city will see at least a handful of cases."

A total of eight patients have currently been treated for Ebola in the U.S.

Only two of them contracted Ebola within the U.S., and both were healthcare workers who treated Thomas Eric Duncan, who contracted Ebola in Liberia.

Both nurses recovered and have been released.

Dominic Smith, a pandemic risk expert, ran a simulation for the AP that projected 15 to 130 cases in the U.S. before the end of the year.

Another expert, Northeastern University professor Alessandro Vespignani, is more worried about the disease making its way to Asia.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: ebola

1 posted on 11/02/2014 8:43:48 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

That could be 130 ICU’s potentially, staffs and facilities fully consumed and turned into Level 4 biohazard wards, since so far each ICU (even Emory and Nebraska) has been able to manage about 1 patient

and this in the middle of flu season

and it could shut down entire hospitals for lack of staff... or if ebola is linked to airborne droplet transmission


2 posted on 11/02/2014 8:49:03 AM PST by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: SeekAndFind

I hope one of them is named Kaci Hickox.


3 posted on 11/02/2014 9:03:35 AM PST by webheart (We are all pretty much living in a fiction.)
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To: SeekAndFind

There is only one explanation for this — global warming has prevented the spread of ebola in the US!!


4 posted on 11/02/2014 9:17:02 AM PST by TimSkalaBim
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To: SeekAndFind



 photo Obama-Collage-7--Ebola--2014-11-02_zps29e5b976.jpg



5 posted on 11/02/2014 9:20:05 AM PST by Patton@Bastogne
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To: SeekAndFind

Anything over a dozen or so will continue to spread. With just that many you will have a couple of contactees that show no symptoms and are given clean bills of health only to get sick at 25 or 35 days. The progression from there will be unnoticed beyond noting the flu that everyone has until the ebola becomes obvious. Then it is too late. There will be many untraceable unremembered contactees.


6 posted on 11/02/2014 10:10:59 AM PST by arthurus
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To: silverleaf

A couple of dozen cases, deliberately imported in non Americans being brought to the Modern American hospitals will overwhelm the whole system in America and most likely get away from the. I believe that is the intention. The Moslem President of the worst Infidel nation will get his heroic place in Islamic history.


7 posted on 11/02/2014 10:13:44 AM PST by arthurus
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To: Patton@Bastogne

After the election......?Then what?


8 posted on 11/02/2014 10:13:59 AM PST by therapsida (t)
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To: SeekAndFind

And not a single case was necessary, if we were governed by sane people.


9 posted on 11/02/2014 10:16:14 AM PST by EternalVigilance (Stop looking for a seat at the table and start making them hide under it.)
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To: arthurus

There are rumors that we already have more than that.

A few days ago I started seeing mentions here and there online. In saner times I would have brushed them off, but the last few years a lot of things have happened that I never thought I’d see happen, so it’s harder to dismiss some things. But there are whispers that ebola is already in all 50 states, that people who were suspected of it have been “disapeared”, that medical workers have been threatened with firing or worse if they tell anyone about it.

Like I said, rumors. Not proof. But then, back during the Iraq invasion I kept seeing messages from soldiers who swore they had seen Saddam’s WMD stockpiles, and now it’s been proven they were telling the truth. I wouldn’t put it past the government to do anything anymore.


10 posted on 11/02/2014 11:09:25 AM PST by Ellendra (Never has any government ever wanted its people to be defenseless for any GOOD reason!)
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To: Ellendra
medical workers have been threatened with firing or worse if they tell anyone about it.

That's possible, but in a world so electronically connected, it would be quite easy to spread the word anonymously.

11 posted on 11/02/2014 11:11:32 AM PST by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: webheart

Best case scenario: Ebola hits the WH.


12 posted on 11/02/2014 11:17:18 AM PST by DPMD
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To: nascarnation
That's possible, but in a world so electronically connected, it would be quite easy to spread the word anonymously.

On one forum I'm on, that's what one of the members claims she's trying to do. But, she's afraid to give any details that might lead to her, so it's pretty much her word alone. No way to verify what she said.

I'm watching for coroborating reports, even anonymous ones.
13 posted on 11/02/2014 11:28:08 AM PST by Ellendra (Never has any government ever wanted its people to be defenseless for any GOOD reason!)
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To: Ellendra

Yes you would hope most healthcare workers would have the integrity to take action.


14 posted on 11/02/2014 11:31:20 AM PST by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: SeekAndFind

130 cases x $1,000,000


15 posted on 11/02/2014 1:29:31 PM PST by VTenigma (The Democratic party is the party of the mathematically challenged)
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To: SeekAndFind

did you notice they are ‘managing’ the ebola information?

the latest update was oct 27th w/ 13703 cases. they just changed it today from oct 27th to oct 29th and from 13703 cases to 13540.

they need to manage the data because the graphs show it going absolutely exponential (doubling every month).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebola_virus_epidemic_in_West_Africa#Timeline_of_reported_cases_and_deaths


16 posted on 11/02/2014 1:36:08 PM PST by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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