Posted on 11/13/2014 6:01:11 PM PST by abb
We’ve talked in the past about John Diez, the Prairieville-based polling guru of Magellan Strategies Baton Rouge, and the solid reputation his firm has put togther among politicos around the state.
What our readers might not know is that Diez, who did the internal polling for the Garret Graves campaign, had a frighteningly-accurate forecast of the 6th District race a week before election night.
Diez had that race as follows:
Edwards 29 (finished with 30) Graves 24 (finished with 27) Dietzel 13 (finished with 14) Claitor 10 (finished with 10) Whitney 6 (finished with 7)
That’s what’s known as one red-hot pollster.
So when Diez comes out with a poll today saying the Dec. 6 runoff in the Senate race is going to be a massive blowout for Bill Cassidy, unless some major intervening event were to happen between now and Election Day you can pack Mary Landrieu’s Senate office up and ship her belongings elsewhere.
The poll has Landrieu with 88.8 percent of the black vote and Cassidy with 7.2 percent, which would represent something of an improvement for Cassidy given that he pulled three percent of the black vote on Nov. 4 according to the exit polls and Landrieu had 94 percent. Diez’ sample was 69 percent white and 27 percent black, which would indicate a bit whiter electorate than what turned out in the primary – but that’s what most folks expect.
But it also says Barack Obama is a colossal millstone around Landrieu’s neck – and so is Harry Reid…
Interestingly enough, 51 percent of the respondents said they’re registered Democrats compared to 35 percent who said they’re Republicans – but when it comes to party ID that completely flips over and then some. Asked which party best represents their point of view, 62 percent said Republican compared to 38 percent who said Democrat.
This is a very, very red state – and it’s getting redder.
Landrieu’s favorable-unfavorable number is 36.8-56.7, which means she’s completely unelectable. Cassidy’s number is 46.6-38.0.
It must be said that Diez’ poll is an internal poll for Cassidy. Because of that there will be people who scoff at it.
But there were people who scoffed at his polling of the 6th District race. We’ll have a post in coming days about that, but let’s just say his results speak for themselves.
Good bye Baby Fat.
60-40. You heard it here first.
Landrieu with 88.8 percent of the black vote
Was Ed Guillory responsible for only a tiny 5.2% drop!?
He was so sincere and impressive, would have thunk quite a bit more...
Given the White Hut claimed the rats lost because they kept Obama away from them, he should spend the next two weeks down there!
With any luck Princess Fiona will loose by 30 points.
Matter of fact send in bug eye pelosi, Reid, Schumer and Amnesty pimp Guetierrus(sp?)
With him.
It would be the dream team.
Ha great idea, Cassidy should have life size cut outs of all the above at his and Palin’s event and introduce the Rats as Mary’s partners in crime.
One word TRADITION!! However, more and more people are starting to realize that the Demorat part is the party of Leftwing Elitists more tradition Democrats will begin to register Republican or at the least drop their Democrat
registration
Please don't call them 'Democratic'. There's nothing democratic about the Democrat party.
Time to stick a fork in the Stay Puft Marshmallow Senator Landrieu; she’s done and it’s time for her to go home to her DC mansion.
You got it. Dems already gave up and pulled all their ad buys. Nobody's getting paid to "walk around".
Once these numbers get out only her most rabid supporters will turn out.
She may not even break 40.
12 points should be outside the margin of fraud.
Nawlins is notorious fraud city. But still not as bad as
my previous stomping grounds, Chicago. My apartment in Hyde Park was not far from Obama’s house bought with Rezko’s bribe.
Bye bye Landfill
The end of Mary Landfill is near.
She sold her vote for Obamacare to a communist.
Not too bright after all.
I’d just as soon call them Loonies, but even loonies know no boundaries.. like sheep, easily led astray..
Redstate thinks she will run against Vitter in 2016.
I’m from Louisiana, but I’m not sure how our election laws work down here. Vitter has thrown his hat in the ring for the governor’s race next year, and I believe he has a pretty good shot at winning. But if he doesn’t win, I don’t know if he gets to go back to his Senate seat, or if he has to give it up to run for governor.
But I do think Landrieu might possibly try for that seat when it becomes available.
Does this take into account the thousands of fraudulent Democrat votes being manufactured as we speak?
Protective coloration.
to Bill cassidy : to defeat this socialist/democrat witch:
All you have to do is keep repeating
Mary landrue voted for Obamacare and for Amnesty
I should be a campaign manager
A 16 point lead is hugh and series. Good for Cassidy. I will call it the Palin effect.
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