Posted on 04/15/2015 1:40:14 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
Two weeks ago, I noticed that national polling and noted that the media-fueled boomlet for Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker might be fading. If that’s true, it’s a phenomenon that is not apparent in a recent poll of GOP primary voters in New Hampshire.
The results of a new NH1 survey conducted by the Republican firm Reach Communications from April 8 – 9 suggests that Walker’s appeal to the Republican electorate in this critical Northeaster state continues to grow. The survey found Walker leading with almost 23 percent of the vote, well outside the survey’s 3.0 percent margin of error. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush tails Walker with just over 16 percent support followed closely by Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) who secures the support of 15 percent of the New Hampshire GOP primary electorate.
For all the hype surrounding the campaigns of Sens. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Ted Cruz (R-TX), they have not captured the imaginations of the Granite State’s voters. This poll found that just 9 percent of New Hampshire’s likely GOP voters back Cruz. Only 7 percent told Reach pollsters that they were planned to back Rubio in 2016.
Before Team Walker starts celebrating, the caveats associated with this poll abound.
“Since the poll was conducted using automated technology – and there are only so many buttons on a touch-tone phone – the ballot test included only those 11 candidates,” Politico reported. “In the last NH1 poll conducted in early February, Walker led Bush by 7 points.”
If this survey and others that show Walker gaining or surpassing Bush in support among New Hampshire’s likely GOP primary voters are accurate, it will present the former Florida governor with a daunting challenge. Unlikely to emerge from Iowa with a win, Bush will need to secure a victory in the Granite State in order to prevent his supporters jumping ship.
The candidate who wins in New Hampshire will head into the Nevada caucuses and the South Carolina primary in the pole position. If Bush is counting on Florida to rescue his presidential campaign at that point, he is likely to find that he will be as successful in that endeavor as was Rudy Giuliani.
Of course, this assumes that Walker and Bush both run for the presidency, and neither is a declared candidate as of yet. Wink.
N.H. poll: Scott Walker leads Jeb Bush, Rand Paul third - With LINK to poll of 1,064 likely GOP primary voters..
Time for them to go home.
Aside from the Bushies I haven’t heard a single person who is asking for Jeb Bush to run. Of course the DNC, Moveon, DU, and ever media company in the nation is going to do whatever it takes to get Jeb the nomination. A certain loser.
I really don’t get any sense that Jeb even has his heart on running - there is zero energy.
Blah.
CRUZ or LOSE!
: )
You’re almost there.
I’m glad you took my suggestion about touting your own guy.
You need to work a bit more on your Alinsky-ite outbursts.
But I have high hopes for you!
Jeb reminds me of McCain 08.
“Yeah, Obama would make a great president.”
GOOD NEWS!!
It’s the Bush temperament - Like Jeb’s mother, Barbara Bush, saying that she loves Bill Clinton like a son, how GHW Bush pals around with Bill...
How George W. Bush wouldn’t defend his presidency (and by extension the nation) against the Democrats’ lies - under the guise of not tarnishing the office of the presidency.
Really!?
They just don’t let politics get in the way of their networking and their family’s future political viability.
: )
When Rubio announced he called BushClinton the candidate of yesterday.
He is so right.
BushClinton is so yesterday.
(As for Rubio himself, I like him, but I hope to see the race get down to Cruz vs Walker, and let the best candidate win.)
Purge the rino.
The ‘open primary’ system in soviet Red Hampshire is totally corrupted. The winner of the ‘GOP’ primary is the candidate Democrats want to run against.
That is because there are very few conservatives in soviet Red Hampshire...it's a blue state, and will stay that way for a long time to come.
Not a surprise that Walker would do well in a New England state full of Massachusetts transplants. Have you seen this article from Red State? 12 Reasons why Conservatives should reject Scott Walker:
To me, Walker has always come across as part of the wishy-washy, mushy-middle, flip-flopping crowd.
Based on his Wisconsin track record, Walker is hardly a “loser”. OK, so he’s not your guy, but no need to be deliberately dishonest about a fellow republican.
http://www.redstate.com/2015/04/14/redstate-2016-presidential-primary-power-rankings-april-2015/
Have you seen this Red State Power Rating [much more recent than your link]?
This ain’t rocket science people. Just look at who the Dems and media and trolls are trashing the hardest and you will see who your candidate should be. Meaning run away from Rubio. Cruz and Walker are drawing the most flak at this point.
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