Not an exact analogy, but remember that Al Gore lost the election to George Bush because he couldn’t even carry HIS HOME STATE!!!!
Jeb Bush should be very concerned....
Back when all the libs were running around screeching about how W stole the 2000 election I reminded some of them that if Gore had been able to carry his own state of Tennessee the Florida loss would not have mattered, Gore would have been president. The people who put him in the senate clearly did not want him in the white house.