There was some piece that came out late last week talking over Hillary’s health issues. She’s not in good shape, and it’s hard to imagine how she handles the primary period with travel and stress. I think if she loses Iowa in the primary and gets even more hyped over the next month....she’ll collapse at some point with serious health problems.
Then the question is...who picks up the trail? Right now...a fair number of people are actually talking Bernie because they see no other choice. Even if you throw VP Joe Biden into the deal...it really doesn’t excite that many Democrats. Forget about O’Malley entirely.
As for the debates...Bernie has been showing some good hyped up speeches the last month, and I suspect that the handful of debates will only plus-up Bernie in the end.
All of this equals a lower-than-average turn-out for November of 2016, and it hurts secondary candidates (Senator, governor, state attorney general, etc). Go back and look at the 1920 election. Massive landslide for Harding and I think this will repeat in this scenario. Harding lacked a lot skills and two years into his administration....massive corruption was ongoing and he was just beginning to figure this out, before he died. I kinda think the same situation could easily occur in 2016.
If the Chicago Mob can flush Hillary, SlowJoe becomes the nominee by default.
Then the Dems can cross over and install Bush as the R nominee.
Suddenly you have the 3rd and 4th Obama terms.