Pollsters really got it wrong:
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2015-kentucky-governor-bevin-vs-conway
Pollsters got it wrong with McConnell’s 15 point win over Grimes last year.
This is about having an exceptional turnout machine that flys under the polling radar.
It’s pretty clear that the Bluegrass Poll has no credibility. It showed Conway clearly ahead and it appears Bevin will win by 9 points - a considerable margin. Last time around it showed the Senate race neck and neck or even Grimes ahead at times - McConnell won by 15 points. This time around it showed Democrat Andy Beshear with a double digit lead over Republican Whitney Westerfield (47-35). Beshear is going to win with a very small fraction of a percent. Grimes was shown as being ahead of her opponent by double digits. She won by about 2% tonight. Donors probably relied on that polling to not open their wallets for Westerfield and Knipper (Grimes’ opponent). It’s pretty clear that if they had had enough cash on hand to run a media campaign, they would have won, and we would have swept all offices.