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To: poconopundit

You give points in favor of Trump.

But let me ask you something. Don’t take it the wrong way, but why do you trust Donald Trump?

I don’t question your judgement. I ask because I do have my moments where I can hear Trump or read about him and start to think he may be just what this country needs....but then I go back and look at him and his political past, and I go “I can’t trust him.”

To make my point, these are the things that bother me about him:

1) His leaving the Republican party and changing to Democrat. Leaving the Republicans and becoming independent because the part leadership sucks is one thing, but changing to Democrat in post 9/11 America?

2) His past associations with the Clintons. He contributed to Hillarys’ Senate campaigns. They have been guests at his parties. They were guests at his wedding. He is on record praising Bill Clinton as President. If elected, will he be the real Clinton II?

3) He has in the past has favored gay marriage.

4) He is on record as being pro choice.

5) Based on items 3 and 4, what kind of Supreme Court justice would he appoint?

6) His ego. It’s reknown. How can I know this whole thing isn’t just a sham to fuel his ego?

Just curious how one can past such questions and doubts? I admit, I have my moments when I want to jump on the bandwagon. But I always go back to those questions.

All that being said, I don’t believe anyone running as Republican can win a national election these days. To win a Republican candidate needs to do exactly what the 2004 map was just to barely win. Since then Virginia, Colorado, Nevada and Florida have become rock solid blue states. Hillary’s character does not matter. Everyone know she is corrupt. But a majority of voters are Democrats on the issues now. They will vote for the Democrat over any Republican,

Trump, if he is the nominee, very well may draw in a few Democrats who can’t get past Hillary being a crook. But he also will have to deal with 20% of Republicans who say the will either not vote or go Libertarian if Trump is nominated. That’s what will sink him. I just don’t see a path to victory for Trump.

Cruz, while I think he would lose as well, may have a slight outside shot. If he can draw in some evangelical voters in Virgina that passed on voting in 2008 and 2012 he could slightly make VA red one last time. Then if he could get a big Cuban voter turnout it could help tip Florida. Then if he could maybe win back some conservative voters in NV, CO and OH that sat out 2008 and 2012 maybe those states. It’s a reach, but slightly possible.


113 posted on 01/07/2016 7:14:56 PM PST by Angels27
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To: Angels27
Let me take a quick stab at some of these:

why do you trust Donald Trump?

I've read some of this books, I've seen the Apprentice. In fact, some of the people on FR have testified that he is an honest man.

1) His leaving the Republican party and changing to Democrat. Leaving the Republicans and becoming independent because the part leadership sucks is one thing, but changing to Democrat in post 9/11 America?

Some of this was probably supporting the people in power.

2) His past associations with the Clintons.

Well, he's fighting them now, big time!

3) He has in the past has favored gay marriage.

My daughter is gay, so that's a tough one.

6) His ego. It's reknown. How can I know this whole thing isn't just a sham to fuel his ego?

I know this irritates people, but he does laugh at himself about this. The other thing is that he has accomplished a lot of things in his life and he wants to be sure to tell people.

All that being said, I don't believe anyone running as Republican can win a national election these days. To win a Republican candidate needs to do exactly what the 2004 map was just to barely win. Since then Virginia, Colorado, Nevada and Florida have become rock solid blue states.

Check the 2012 election. Romney was actually pretty close. If he had taken Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania he would have won.

Ohio and Florida were super close, so I think a Republican that people are eager to vote for can win. Voter turn out is a biggy in this upcoming election.

132 posted on 01/08/2016 4:49:58 PM PST by poconopundit (When the people shall become so corrupted as to need despotic government. Franklin, Const. Conv.)
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