Posted on 02/03/2016 12:45:29 PM PST by Hojczyk
MANCHESTER, N.H. (WHDH) - This is what we've been waiting for - our first 7News/UMass Lowell tracking poll of New Hampshire that includes reaction to the Iowa Caucus.
It's obvious New Hampshire was watching what happened in Iowa because Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio have moved up.
Donald Trump is still in first place, but he's frozen at 38%. Ted Cruz is second with 14%. Marcio Rubio is third with 12%. Jeb Bush has 9% and John Kasich has 7%.
Rounding out the Republicans: Chris Christie with 6%; Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina with 3% each and Rand Paul with 2%. 6% of voters still remain undecided.
Here's where you see it: Trump is on top, but not moving. Cruz stays in second. Rubio is up two points. Jeb Bush is holding steady. John Kasich is not getting the reception he wanted. He's down two points.
(Excerpt) Read more at whdh.com ...
Donald Trump is still in first place, but he’s frozen at 38%. Not bad, even in a three way race.
Bush at 9, guess his mom and his lucky pocket turtle aren’t working for him.
That is a 3-day tracking poll, and only one of the three days is after Iowa. We will have to wait for Friday for all three days to be after Iowa. And even that poll with one day after Iowa shows Cruz gaining 2 points and Rubio gaining 4 points while Trump is static.
I mean, Huckabee and Santorum won Iowa, and they got 11% and 9% in New Hampshire respectively after their Iowa wins. That is where Cruz is headed.
The very way this poll was reported shows the bias.
I expect Cruz will move up. Rubio may move up but the other GOPe candidates will be a wild card. Trump can’t help but slip some due to Iowa and the increased efforts of all the candidates and the margin of the lead.
Unless there is a drastic shift, possible due to the debate, it is on to SC which will be a real test prior to the SEC Primaries.
Both Huckabee and Santorum put all their money and marbles into Iowa - when they won, they didn't have the money or the manpower to build on it. Cruz has the most hard money of any of the candidates, the second most soft money in the super-PACS supporting him, and he has had the best ground game of any of the campaigns in all of the states up to March 15th. He has been building the grassroots campaign for almost a year. We will see if it pays off, but to compare Huckabee and Santorum to Cruz is to ignore the major differences.
What is the conventional wisdom on WHY Bernie is so popular in NH? Could it be merely that NH is close to VT? Anybody know?
Thanks
Why would you think Iowa’s results would make anyone anywhere else change their mind?
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For the same reason that, say, Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Trump was supposed to be yuge.
It makes no sense to me that someone would vote for someone just because a celebrity endorses a candidate.
Like you, it makes no sense to me that someone would look to another state’s results for guidance, but if one does it for celebrities, why not for the way regular people in another state vote.
Just a thought.
I said it before on another thread: I think a lot of people will say trump, but I will be legitimately surprised if the turn out. Especially if there is weather.
Unless they are talking to cel phones, only old folks answer their landlines.
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