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Ted Cruz Keeps Winning [Race Analysis]
The Nation ^ | 2/10/16 | George Zornick

Posted on 02/10/2016 7:13:12 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas

...he will reap the benefits on March 1. Almost one-quarter of the available delegates are up for grabs that day, mostly in primaries in the Deep South.

That already favors Cruz, not least because his home state of Texas offers the most delegates, but Rubio's slide will help him even more. In all of those Southern states but one, candidates must reach either 15 or 20 percent of the vote to receive any delegates at all, as we noted last week.

Rubio was already only pulling about 10 percent several of those states. With his standing weakened and the so-called "establishment lane" thrown into chaos, there's a good chance, based on current polling, that no candidate besides Trump or Cruz will get above 20 percent. That means the duo can run the table on March 1, denying the other candidates even a single delegate in many of the states voting that day.

Harder contests await on Super Tuesday, and as primaries proceed to more moderate and Midwestern states. But Cruz looks to be in outstanding position by then, and is well-positioned to be the most conservative major-party nominee since Barry Goldwater in 1964.

(Excerpt) Read more at thenation.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: analysis; blindtofacts; canadian; clownsforcruz; cruz; cruzwhorship; dividedloyalty; dualcitizenship; keeps; moronposting; purityloserschoir; secondplace; whinersforcruz; winning
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To: justlittleoleme

What about the two votes I mentioned? Is that being a consistent conservative?

Those were the two main Obama agenda items, up there with Obamacare.

The three together are transforming the United States.


41 posted on 02/10/2016 8:19:46 AM PST by odawg
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To: Hurricane Andrew

“This is what I’ve been praying for. Steady, solid Cruz support over the long haul.”

Well, FWIW, “my prayers” cancel yours, Go Trump! You might want to consider “praying” that Hllary get’s indicted. That would be useful “prayer.”


42 posted on 02/10/2016 8:20:44 AM PST by vette6387
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To: conservativejoy
So why did Cruz write and op-ed urging Congress to pass TPA, TPP and another with "America's friends in Europe"?

Facts are facts and it is an objective fact that Cruz supported TPA and TPP, until TPA and TPP became unpopular with voters then Cruz invented the Mitch tricked me into voting for TPA excuse. Question how did Mitch trick Cruz into writing that op-ed supporting TPA and TPP?

43 posted on 02/10/2016 8:21:11 AM PST by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: Iowa David; JWinNC; RasterMaster; SunshinesStormySummerSon; duffee; The Final Harvest; ...

If you would like to be added to the
TED CRUZ 2016 PING LIST drop me a FReepmail.


44 posted on 02/10/2016 8:21:32 AM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: CA Conservative

I think it is less than 12 that are true winner take all. But don’t down play that number
as it can be somewhere around 25%+ of the delegates needed to win the nomination.


45 posted on 02/10/2016 8:21:44 AM PST by deport
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To: jpsb

Supporting TPA which we’ve had for 80 years is not the same thing as supporting TPP. You will not find any report of Cruz supporting TPP because he never has.


46 posted on 02/10/2016 8:23:17 AM PST by conservativejoy (Pray Hard, Work Hard, Trust God ...We Can Elect Ted Cruz)
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To: conservativejoy
Bull, below is what Cruz wrote about the Trans Pacific Partnership, TPP. Before TPA/TPP became unpopular with conservatives voters.

The United States is making headway on two historic trade agreements, one (TPP) with 11 countries on the Pacific Rim and another with America's friends in Europe. These two agreements alone would mean greater access to a billion customers for American manufacturers, farmers and ranchers.

Cruz has a truth problem.

47 posted on 02/10/2016 8:27:35 AM PST by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
Sensible analysis from The Nation

Cruz supporters constantly bash Trump supporters for posting from outlets like The New York Times ... but The Nation is just dandy, apparently.

48 posted on 02/10/2016 8:34:40 AM PST by M. Thatcher
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To: jpsb

Cruz always said he would make a decision on TPP when the completed agreement was done. He did. He does not support it. Rubio does.


49 posted on 02/10/2016 8:36:00 AM PST by conservativejoy (Pray Hard, Work Hard, Trust God ...We Can Elect Ted Cruz)
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To: bigbob

Lol. Cruz beats Trump in Iowa. Spends less $ then the other candidates and takes 3rd in NH.

Soon Christie, Carson and Rubio and possibly Bush (or their supporters) will realize they can’t win by not placing in the top two.

When that happens Cruz will gain more backers and will win the anti.trump vote.


50 posted on 02/10/2016 8:36:31 AM PST by proudpapa (trusTed!)
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
Great Moments in winning

Sea Cruise Passengers April 14th, 1912

Circumnavigation of the Planet, March 1932

Sony Liston - May 25th, 1965

George McGovern - November 7th, 1972

Oakland Athletics - Game One - World Series 1988

Superbowl 50 - Carolina Panthers

Ted Cruz - New Hampshire 02/09/2016

51 posted on 02/10/2016 8:37:06 AM PST by DoughtyOne (the Free Republic Caucus: what FReepers are thinking, 100s or 1000s of them. It's up to you.)
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To: mrpotatohead
At some point in time he'll self destruct.

Right. Any minute now.

At some point -- after the ten millionth misfire, maybe -- you'd think TDS sufferers would drop this ridiculous talking point.

52 posted on 02/10/2016 8:39:06 AM PST by M. Thatcher
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To: Jane Long

After getting full endorsement from Rush and Levin, they came 3rd and 5th and they call it winning.


53 posted on 02/10/2016 8:47:00 AM PST by jennychase
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To: moehoward

I wish Jeb would think of his country first and foremost, and step down now. He’s just a front for big money and more of the same.


54 posted on 02/10/2016 8:54:42 AM PST by kiltie65
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To: euram

Points, shmoyants, he’s gonna will! I tell ya.


55 posted on 02/10/2016 8:57:10 AM PST by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: proudpapa
Just out of curiosity, how much did Cruz spend in Iowa for his one extra delegate?
56 posted on 02/10/2016 8:59:00 AM PST by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: justlittleoleme

“Trump is running to the right. Cruz has been consistently at the right.... he is not changing direction and having to run to the right.”

I forgot to add that there is a video of Oprah Winfrey interviewing Trump in 1988; he is saying the same thing on that video that he is saying now. I think that is being fairly consistent (28 years). Cruz was 18 years old at the time.


57 posted on 02/10/2016 9:01:42 AM PST by odawg
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To: kiltie65
"I wish Jeb would think of his country first and foremost, and step down now."

I didn't catch who it was on CNN last night, might have been a Rubio spokesman, that said the longer Jeb stays in the better it is for Trump.

If you think about it, it's true. GO JEB!

58 posted on 02/10/2016 9:01:53 AM PST by moehoward
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
Sensible analysis from The Nation, of all places. It would be nice to hear some of this on the "conservative" cable station.

Cruz came in third in New Hampshire and by failing to win second place, I think he's hurt himself. He may do well here in South Carolina but I find it hard to believe that he'll actually win. If he loses SC, it's very hard to see him winning going forward. I think Trump is heavily favored to win the nomination.

59 posted on 02/10/2016 9:05:35 AM PST by No Dems 2016
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
The SC demographics match up with IA, i.e., evangelicals and self-described "strongly conservative."

Hugely different from NH.

Not as much as you might think, because SC is an open primary, not a closed caucus like Iowa. This means that independents and even Dems can vote in the GOP primary and I believe that bodes well for Trump.

60 posted on 02/10/2016 9:09:15 AM PST by No Dems 2016
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