Posted on 02/13/2016 8:29:38 AM PST by GilGil
GOP voters are starting to coalesce around Trump. They see him as the most viable alternative for a general election and they trust him to be the most effectual agent of change going forward to the Presidency.
I predict that after SC you will see the snowball effect intensify into NV and MI and the SEC on March 1st.
The Tribe has spoken.
Trump is not just holding his lead. It is going up significantly.
Reuters’s Rolling Poll:
February 12, 2016
579 Respondents
Donald Trump 39.8%
Ted Cruz 18.6%
Marco Rubio 11.4%
Ben Carson 8.7%
Jeb Bush 7.2%
Wouldn’t vote 6.1%
John Kasich 4.5%
Chris Christie 2.3%
Carly Fiorina 1.2%
Jim Gilmore 0.2%
Don’t be shocked if Kasick is the VP pick. Ohio is a must win swing state and Kasich is a popular governor.
IOW, when you’re unable to refute the actual DATA presented (either in the posted article or the RCP polling data), the only recourse is to attack the author’s past.
There is no polling that shows your candidate with an upward trajectory at RCP, and those poll internals back up what this author states.
Is that you, Mark?
If Kasich is the VP, I stay home.
Trump doesn’t need 50% to get the nomination. If his support approaches anything near 35% to 40% in a five person field, he will gobble up most of the delegates. March 15 is the date that winner takes all. If Trump takes FL, it is all over.
True, but imagine if as candidates drop Trump’s numbers go over 50% then he will have a margin to give him crushing momentum. That is nice to have too.
You know I would not worry about it. When was the last time a VP became President? 1988 I think. In 8 years Kasich would be too old and the thing about him is he is the Joe Biden of the Republican party. He is a faithful party foot soldier who will do what he’s told and be happy to be VP. Trump can select a guy like Kasich and not have to look over his shoulder all the time like he would with Cruz or Rubio.
No surprise Trump and Cruz combined have majority support. If history is a guide, the GOP presidential nominee will be either Trump or Cruz.
Since 1976 when Iowa and New Hampshire became the first 2 GOP Presidential primary stops, the nominee has won either Iowa or New Hampshire (not both) in competitive, non-incumbent elections. Unless this year proves different, the Iowa winner (Cruz) or the New Hampshire winner (Trump) will be the nominee.
Would hate to see it, but it would not surprise me that the powers that be demand Trump pick Kasich or some other amnesty pimp RINO to be his running mate if he wants full establishment support in the fall election.
Same thing happened in 1980 to Ronald Reagan after he secured the nomination and was looking into potential running mates. The establishment told him if he wanted to have a chance to win the election, he could choose between establishment types George HW Bush or Gerald Ford for his VP nominee. If he picked anyone else, he could forget about winning the fall election.
Don’t be shocked if Kasick is the VP pick. Ohio is a must win swing state and Kasich is a popular governor.
******
Ohio is important as a swing state, but Kasich is not popular; he was elected as the best option against the Democrat (although re-elected).
One issue with Kasich is that he would not allow repeal of Obamacare (he expanded Medicaid), so he would be at odds with the presidential pick.
Here’s the real reason Kasich should not be in the running:
Gov. John Kasich - Ohio’s Own Obama?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3111567/posts
Quote:
Ohio’s legislature - lobbied by grassroots groups the press acknowledges only to sneer at - stripped Medicaid expansion from the state budget and even passed language explicitly forbidding it. Kasich responded by line-item vetoing the Medicaid expansion ban, and then unilaterally expanding Medicaid when several more months of emotional blackmail didn’t work.
The legislature wouldn’t grow government the way Kasich wanted, so Kasich took a page from Obama’s playbook and pretended the huge policy decision was an executive matter.
it didn’t really matter did it?
Hey I’m not arguing for Kasich. He’s a total RINO. I’m saying don’t be shocked if Trump picks him. The VP has zero say so in what goes on in the Whitehouse. He’s a total figurehead. He gets the tie breaking vote in the Senate but he wont’ go off the rez with Trump as his boss.
But he might help win Ohio and it might help Trump repair a bridge with the GOPe. Politics is politics.
No, as it turned out it helped unite GOP moderate voters behind Reagan.
Plus, like others have posted, Kasich may be like Biden by being a loyal foot soldier and would do what he is told, even if he doesn’t agree. Also, he would all but deliver the must win state of Ohio back into the GOP column, being a very popular governor there.
LoL GOPee Hughie always dreaming of a ceiling for Trump. It won’t work out that way for someone who is in first for 8 months straight.
Trump will pick whoever he believes will help in some way win the presidency.
I think he will also have to respect that person.
He has a pragmatism I like. Trump + the right choice, may be able to put a state into play that was formerly demoncrat. It may change the whole calculus of the electoral college.
I don’t really object to Kasich as VP. Especially if he is tasked with fiscal matters. Ohio as a kicker is very good also
If trump wins, I think the highest and best use for Cruz is as the strong conservative voice in the Senate
Trump needs to select someone who knows politics.
Trump / Sessions 2016
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