Posted on 03/16/2016 12:39:04 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has secured more than half of the delegates needed to win the nomination, but he will need to pick up his pace to clinch 1,237 delegates and avoid a contested convention.
Trump’s strong performance in the Tuesday night primaries will make it tough for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) to catch him. He has secured 621 delegates, according to The Associated Press's projections as of 8:00 a.m. Wednesday, compared to 396 for Cruz and 138 for Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
Those three men are now the only active GOP candidates. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) suspended his campaign on Tuesday after losing Florida. He has 167 delegates.
About 60 percent of the 2,472 GOP delegates have been awarded, and Trump has won about 47 percent of them.
If he continues to win at that same clip, he’d fall more than 100 delegates short of 1,237, which would set up a contested convention.
That's the result Kasich is hoping for, since the Ohio governor has no chance of getting to 1,237 himself and little realistic chance of overtaking Trump.
Cruz believes he can still take the delegate lead from Trump, but he would have a better chance with Kasich out of the race and only two men to divide up the rest of the delegates.
Even that road would be tough for Cruz, however, who would need a win in Arizona's winner-take-all primary next week as well as a victory in Wisconsin's April 5 contest.
For Trump to get to 1,237, he needs to win more than about 60 percent of the remaining delegates.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
The States now Favors Trump
Article can be ignored, it says Kaisch is a contender....
This is assumping that Kairch will do better than he has so far in states outside his own choir loft.
That is an assumption not validated by his results in either IL or MI.
Most of the earlier primaries were not winner-take-all, while the more of the later primaries are.
Trump needs to make a deal with Cruz for a SCOTUS position to get him out of the race and backing Trump.
Although, knowing Cruzers, they will call Cruz a backstabber.
Cruz comes up um,, shorter.
never said that.
didn’t we ignore enough in 2012?
he is pacing 47 percent, Trump
we need to make sure he paces over 60 percent.
get people out
Big Blue States on the calendar with a lot of delegates where Trump should clean up (NY, NJ, PA, etc.)
RE: Cruz comes up um,, shorter.
The point is NONE of the remaining candidates come up with the necessary delegates to clinch the nomination.
"...the Ohio governor has no chance of getting to 1,237 himself and little realistic chance of overtaking Trump."
Doesn’t matter. If the GOPe hasn’t made peace with him by then Trump’s not winning the GE. Whether it’s a brokered convention or rule changes or a third party or something else the GOPe will make sure he isn’t president even if he has 1237.
If they make peace by then it’s ok if Trump is 100 delegates short.
Voters don’t matter other than the fact that we give Trump a big advantage in negotiating with the GOPe. But he has to complete that negotiation before Cleveland and hopefully much sooner.
Trump needs to make a deal with Cruz for a SCOTUS position to get him out of the race and backing Trump.
wrong.
This is wrong delegate count, doesn’t count Trumps win in Missouri.
Here is an article on the real state of the delegate race
Rubio’s Exit Leaves Trump With
an Open Path to 1,237 Delegates
The States now Favors Trump
So many people are so willfully stupid that it is really a shame.
He is ignoring the fact that most of the remaining primaries are winner take all where Trump only has to sin by 1 vote.
Looking ahead, and going just by polling data from before yesterday best case is Cruz with 1002 delegates, this denies Trump the nomination. This also leaves Rubio and Kasich as kingmaker. Now how the polling will change with the change in the race, is anybodies guess since we don’t have any data.
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