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Risk Analysis Group Says a Donald Trump Presidency Would Drag Down Global Growth
http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/03/16/risk-analysis-group-says-a-donald-trump-presidency-would-drag-down-global-growth/ ^ | 03/17/2016 | Alan Rappeport

Posted on 03/17/2016 8:41:56 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

A swooning Chinese economy. The rising specter of global jihad. Russia lurching toward a new Cold War with the West.

These are among the top threats facing the global economy, and now a leading risk analysis firm has added another wild card to its list: Donald J. Trump.

The Economist Intelligence Unit, based in London, has been carefully monitoring Mr. Trump’s march toward the Republican presidential nomination, and on Wednesday it warned in a report that a President Trump could be a drag on global growth.

“In the event of a Trump victory, his hostile attitude to free trade, and alienation of Mexico and China in particular, could escalate rapidly into a trade war,” according to the report. “His militaristic tendencies towards the Middle East (and ban on all Muslim travel to the US) would be a potent recruitment tool for jihadi groups, increasing their threat both within the region and beyond.”

The group continues to view the probability of Mr. Trump winning the White House as “moderate,” but says the risks if he does are quite high. The firm’s scale equates the danger of a Trump presidency to the threat of Islamic terrorism, potentially reducing global economic growth by as much as 1.5 percent.

Robert Powell, an analyst with the unit who worked on the study, said he could not recall another example of an American presidential candidate reaching its list of the world’s top 10 risks. He said that Mr. Trump’s polarizing nature would most likely bring more government gridlock and his unpredictability would create great uncertainty.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: demagogicparty; globalgrowth; memebuilding; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; riskanalysis; trump
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1 posted on 03/17/2016 8:41:56 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

http://molotube.com/video/41820/Donald_Trump_Testifies_to_Congress_on_Economic_Recovery_Trump_demonstrating_a_lifelong_ability_to_discuss


2 posted on 03/17/2016 8:42:43 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: SeekAndFind

Of course, People who profit form the current corrupt system would see a reduction in their profits from change.


3 posted on 03/17/2016 8:42:49 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: SeekAndFind

Sure, the waters will rise and the sun will melt.


4 posted on 03/17/2016 8:43:13 AM PDT by A CA Guy (God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Exhibit 897 of articles that are only written about Republicans.


5 posted on 03/17/2016 8:44:05 AM PDT by linear (Fealty to no man or party.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I would hope that Trump’s concern is the American economy and not the global economy. I suspect that it is- and therein lies the author’s panic.


6 posted on 03/17/2016 8:45:29 AM PDT by getitright (If you call this HOPE, can we give despair a shot?)
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To: SeekAndFind

He still has my vote.


7 posted on 03/17/2016 8:45:32 AM PDT by RU88 (Bow to no man)
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To: SeekAndFind

I can’t believe anyone could have a more negative effect on global growth than Lord Foul. More the sky is falling crap.


8 posted on 03/17/2016 8:47:13 AM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Global growth?

About time we start worrying about our own growth. Our redistribution of wealth government policy benefits everyone but us.


9 posted on 03/17/2016 8:47:15 AM PDT by boycott (--s)
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To: SeekAndFind

More Anti-Trump propaganda. From the NY Times.


10 posted on 03/17/2016 8:49:12 AM PDT by McGruff (Just another "Low Information Voter" for Trump)
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To: boycott

“About time we start worrying about our own growth.”

_________________________________________________

Exactly. The world is concerned that an adult is going to be taking over their current push-over cash cow.

An adult who knows finance and business.


11 posted on 03/17/2016 8:49:45 AM PDT by ConservativeWarrior (Fall down 7 times, stand up 8. - Japanese proverb)
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To: getitright
Trump pretty much said he would straighten stuff out with Russia - a relationship that Obama has mismanaged. So no Cold War. Russia and the USA would easily end world jihad by each side putting pressure on their nut job allies - USA stops the Saudis and Russia stops the Iranians.

China should not be an economic powerhouse - that should be the USA's role.

12 posted on 03/17/2016 8:49:48 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Economist is a leftist paper who has a financial and political stake in ensuring their Leftist buddies remain in power.

And just like Reagan, and Bush, and any that will come after, they predict new wars, economic calamity, and the end of the universe if a Republican is elected. Just look at the daisy ad, then Reagan was the cowboy with his finger on the button. W. too was a cowboy.

This is the same, well-worn strategy of the left. It is just a slight variation on the Nuts and Sluts smear campaign. That is, the impending Republican is either a wild-eyed nut, or is a intellectually stupid, ignorant, slut.

Whatever.


13 posted on 03/17/2016 8:49:57 AM PDT by Obadiah
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To: SeekAndFind
Now they're worrying about growth.
The damage 0bama has done already matters not at all I guess.

14 posted on 03/17/2016 8:50:35 AM PDT by BitWielder1 (I'd rather have Unequal Wealth than Equal Poverty.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Risk Analysis Group Says a Donald Trump Presidency Would Drag Down Global Growth ...of the power and privilege of the global ruling elite.
15 posted on 03/17/2016 8:50:45 AM PDT by Navy Patriot (America, a Rule of Mob nation)
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To: boycott

Exactly!


16 posted on 03/17/2016 8:51:45 AM PDT by MCF (If my home can't be my Castle, then it will be my Alamo.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The globalists are pissing in their pants. Imagine, America strong again.


17 posted on 03/17/2016 8:52:03 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: SeekAndFind

‘Global growth’ is happening at the expense of our country as well as other Western countries, so the downside of this is what, exactly?


18 posted on 03/17/2016 8:54:01 AM PDT by MamaTexan (I am a person as created by the Law of Nature, not a person as created by the laws of Man.)
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To: SeekAndFind; SaveFerris; PROCON; FredZarguna; mylife; Lil Flower; Larry Lucido

In order to manage risk we must first understand risk. How do you spot risk? How do you avoid risk and what makes it so risky?

To understand risk, we must first define risk.

Risk is defined as....


19 posted on 03/17/2016 8:54:47 AM PDT by Gamecock ( Do not be afraid of those who kill the body but cannot kill the soul...Matthew 10:28)
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To: SeekAndFind

If one man can drag down global growth, global growth must be built
on quick sand.

This is utter nonsense.


20 posted on 03/17/2016 8:57:32 AM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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