Posted on 03/18/2016 2:11:36 PM PDT by pabianice
The odds simply aren’t there that a more conservative nominee can emerge.
There is an old adage: “Never bet the company.” Its verity was proven during the financial mega-meltdown when hyper-leveraged Wall Street firms went kaput. Put simply, of six imaginable possible presidents only one, Ted Cruz, can be counted on to nominate someone to the right of Merrick Garland. Neither John Kasich, an establishment type, nor Donald Trump, with no discernible judicial philosophy, can be counted on to do so. As for Hillary, the Bern, and Biden, all would appoint judges well to the left of Garland. I assume that Hillary has at least a 50-50 chance of winning — or that Biden does if Hillary is forced out by a smoking-gun email; Sanders would have little chance of winning, as Ds won’t nominate him unless forced by voter-base revolt against super-delegate gamesmanship. Trump is now favored on the GOP side, which leaves less than one chance in four that Cruz wins, on my assumed numbers. But current prediction markets put Hillary at a 72 percent chance of winning; with Trump favored over Cruz for the GOP nod Cruz’s chances are regarded as less than 14 percent (one in seven). Markets are of course more likely to be right as to the odds.
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
We allowed Democrats to put “moderates on the court beofre.It might indeed be smart to confirm him if it looks like were are going to lose.But,, I wouldn’t bet were are going to lose this November not with a scandal ridden Hillary on the donk ticket..
Agree with you.
Actually it’s in the best interest of both sides to keep this hanging fire at least until after the general elections. Keeps their bases stirred up and committed to voting. IMO
Not even a year. Even if the Senate commenced hearings by Mid-April, there would be no confirmation until the after the end of the term in June. The next term starts October 1. Cruz or Trump announces the nominee on January 20th. Confirmed by mid-February and hears 70% of the cases for the term.
Sure. Why not confirm Garland sooner? Then Obama has 5 or 6 more months to thank Ruth Bader Ginsburg for her brilliant contribution etc. and nominate a younger version to take her place making sure that the Court is 6-3, all six very left, for another generation at best. Next up, Breyer who is no kid and may want to have some time with his grandchildren and the beat goes on.
welp scratch one more ‘conservative blog’ from my list-
What the hell kind of liberal defeatist mentality is this crap from AS? IF we get a democrat president- then we’ve lost the SC anyways as that president will likely appoint a couple more SC justices as some are ready to retire- IF however a republican gets in then we’ve slit our own throats by buckling to the defeatist idiotic agenda of those declaring we should hire this judge ‘we might get something worse later IF a democrat wins’
Cripes! What the hell is wrong with ‘conservatives’ lately? Even fox news is trotting this nonsense out nonstop!
[[And there will.probably be two or three more Supreme Court vacancies for the next president to fill. If that president is Democrat then we lose the court anyway.]]
Exactly but people like American Spectator columnists apparently think we should just throw in the towel now
“The odds simply aren’t there that a more conservative nominee can emerge.”
Perfect example of why patriots and conservatives despise the GOPe. They’re cowards, losers and surrender monkeys. They need to be squashed like bugs.
This is the most stupid argument that I have seen made about the court.
Insure that you get a far left jurist, to prevent that you might get a far left jurist?
Insanity.
They’re out of session July, Aug, September.
Not.
Excellent point.
That's 308-92 days = 216 days the Court is in session until Obama leaves office.
Another point is that it is three months until the end of the present term,so a new justice should not be brought in to vote on cases already heard and which are now being decided.
To be honest I was confusing his name for someone else but the first paragraph of his article did nothing to dispel my mistake. It could have been written by a radical liberal.
Stuff happens!
Wait until after the election to decide whether to hold hearings or not.
We can only hope that it goes to 7! One less leftist
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