Posted on 04/11/2016 8:02:16 AM PDT by xzins
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Kasich Cruz Spread
RCP Avg 3/29 - 4/7 -- -- 53.5 21.0 18.8 Trump +32.5
FOX News 4/4 - 4/7 602 LV 4.0 54 22 15 Trump +32
Emerson 4/6 - 4/7 321 LV 5.4 56 17 22 Trump +34
Monmouth 4/3 - 4/5 302 LV 5.6 52 25 17 Trump +27
CBS/YouGov 3/29 - 4/1 657 LV 5.6 52 20 21 Trump +31
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I am sorry if you misunderstood the meaning of my question. Obviously this political season is too charged to expect a straight forward answer to a simple question. I have no interest in trading insults.
Cruz would have done better in Texas if there had not been so darn many candidates- just saying.
Thanks for the explanation. It seems like a unique situation, one that is easily understood by a resident but not so much by others. I can’t think of any other state/city identity quite that way.
This isn’t a surprise. That said, Cruz has consistently out-performed his poll numbers, while Orange Don has consistently underperformed. We’ll see what happens on election day...
My attempt to answer your question was NOT intended to be an insult. Political season or not 'facts' still remain.
It?
None of this rant addresses the point made that Trump’s position on immigration and trade is not liberal and nothing else matters in this election cycle to save our country.
We MUST vote for the person who will actually stop the criminal illegals, including Islamic terrorist operatives, from gaining easy access to our country. We MUST vote for the person who will fix our current ridiculous trade policies in order to bring American jobs back to our workers.
Nothing else matters, not a single of these points raised matters at all. Only the future actions that will address what needs to be done to Make American Great Again have any relevance right now!!!
A non political lay person as a businessman is perfectly justified to take any position they want and change positions as needed for circumstances BEFORE they became a professional politician. We all do this; it is called adjusting to what life gives us.
Changing positions only matters once the person has announced their status as a professional politician. It would be different if Trump, after promising to build the wall, does not. However, for the sake of saving America we must take that chance.
Yes but wins are by district and New York conservatives understand and don’t approve of NY values. Cruz and Kasich will win delegates, only question is how many.
Ping!
Selected Trump articles on FR, from 7:00 PM yesterday to 1:45 PM EST today, 4/11/16:
As Trump targets GOP process, speculation swirls around alternative candidates FoxNews
Dear FRiends, We need your continuing support to keep FR going strong. [FReepathon] Jim Robinson
Sign of things to come? Kasich helps Trump block Cruz FoxNews
Now it really is just US in this fight Kevin Collins
NY Trump Supporters Denounce Republican Party for Disenfranchising Voters Townhall
GOP & Democrat Establishments (Cruz & Clinton) Cheat Primary Voters (vanity)
Jindal: GOP may become useless, but will win in November Wash.Examiner
Real Clear Politics Polling Averages: New York (Trump 53.5, Kasich 21.0, Cruz 18.8) Trump +32.5
GOPe Has Run the Numbers-They Think They Can Do It Even With 3rd Party (vanity)
Those Pesky Conventions Townhall
GOP Disconnect via Vichy Republicanism at National Review Sundance (video)
My NC GOP District convention report FR_addict (vanity)
Colo. GOP investigates tweet (CO GOP "We did it. #NeverTrump.") KRDO.com
Obama Administration Set to Give Away American Sovereignty to U.N. FreedomOutpost
Donald Trump Still Enjoying Majority Support In New York Breitbart
Trump blasts delegate fight as crooked deal' Politico
Colorado Republicans cancel presidential vote at 2016 caucus [Aug 2015] DenverPost
Colorado GOP Chairman on decision to eliminate straw poll [Feb 2016] FB: CO GOP
Trump top aide blasts Cruz 'Gestapo tactics' to win delegates DailyMail
Candidates With the Muscle Could Alter GOP Convention Rules AP/ABC
Cruz uses party rules to pursue delegates. Heres what Trump thinks of that. WaPo
Trump cries foul over process as he presses campaign forward AP/WashTimes
ObamaCare Will Cost $136B More, Cover Fewer People, CBO Says IBD
US Election 2016: Are Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders right about trade? BBC
Live Thread:Trump in Albany, NY @ 7pm EDT 4/11/2016 RightSideNetwk
The GOP delegate fight explained Niall Stanage, The Hill
Renewing a Shaken Culture Russell Kirk lecture, 1992
Truth=Trump 2016 FLORIDA DELEGATES STOLEN Debby Milk
Free Republic 2016 Caucus Open Discussion Thread LXXXIII
Free Republic Caucus 2016 04/11 DoughtyOne
Paul Ryan, a Mirage Candidate, Wages a Parallel Campaign NYT
Ted Cruz Has Lied Continuously about Donald Trumps Positions (video compilation)
Zero women at the table. #shocking (Trump natl security meeting) Michelle Fields
Kasich: 'Establishment' not going to let Trump, Cruz be nominee Wash.Examiner
Kasich Criticizes Religious Liberty Laws: "Chill Out, Get Over It" Breitbart
[2011] Trump: I Cheered for Obama, but He's Dangerous NewsMax
Could Roger Stone be charged with menacing GOP convention delegates? WaPo
"Devastating": Poll Finds Denying Trump Nomination Would Crush GOP Tyler Durden
Stop The Steal StumpinForTrump
Trump Reacts to Satirical Front Page: Boston Globe Stupid
Worthless Breitbart
Trumps Son-In-Law Is JewishDoes That Matter? Forward
Trump Adviser Has Contributed over $100K to Democrats [son-in-law] Wash.FreeBeacon
Cruz-Supporting Delegates Picked in Virginia District Trump Won NBC
Post NY: Trump on Track to Get at Least 1310 Delegates by June, Ending Talk of Contested Convention StumpinForTrump
Clinton vs. The Republicans: 2016 Electoral Maps 270 to Win
Donald Trump Loses Weekend Delegate Fight in Five States Time
Trump isn't the enemy. Those who would suppress his rights are FloppingAces
Whoops: Ivanka and Eric Trump Can't Vote For Their Dad Townhall
Actually not. There is a threshold of 20% below which a candidate is eligible for zero delegates.
And Trump has shown strong numbers in north New York, and that’s part of his claim that he has a chance to take New York from the democrats.
New York is in a week.
The national election is in 7 months.
In Connecticut’s most recent poll Trump was leading by about 18 points. That poll was taken in November, but it is the most recent.
Should we go by it?
Trump over 50% and Cruz under 20% is a big deal in regards to delegate distribution.
I automatically assume it means the city. Is that a correct or incorrect assumption.
#######
I’m from Texas but have lived half my life up north.. Do you consider the city of Dallas to representative of the state of Texas?
I know it’s not a fair comparison, but NY is very similar to Illinois - Chicago is half of the population of IL and typically that vote swings the state..
Not many other states have the demographics as Texas.. the only one that comes to mind is California. 3-4 major US cities and a large non-urban population.
And doesn’t like Canadians.
“We MUST vote for the person who will actually stop the criminal illegals, including Islamic terrorist operatives, from gaining easy access to our country. We MUST vote for the person who will fix our current ridiculous trade policies in order to bring American jobs back to our workers.
Nothing else matters, not a single of these points raised matters at all. Only the future actions that will address what needs to be done to Make American Great Again have any relevance right now!!!”
Well said. Bears repeating.
When I asked my original question, it was not in a political context. The situation of New York (City and State) is unique in that the largest city has the identical name as the state. I was simply curious how residents dealt with that singular situation. One poster, I took to be a native, explained that when he heard New York, he assumed it referred to the city unless context dictated otherwise. Another explained the different perception of individuals depending on where in the state they lived. My question was based on curiosity, not politics. I am sorry if I was not sufficiently clear.
As to your question of whether I consider Dallas to be representative of Texas as a whole, the answer is of course not.
Basically New Yorkers are from either The City, Long Island or Upstate. Long Island is Suffolk and Nassau only as Kings (Brooklyn) and Queens counties may be geographically on Long Island but they are part of The City. Westchester County is nominally one big bedroom for The City. A very expensive bedroom. Anything north and west of Westchester is “upstate”.
People that live or work in NYC proper refer to it simply as “The City.”
Sorry - I went back and read your question - I probably misunderstood.
I can’t answer the NYC vs NY thing.. hopefully you got an answer..
I live up near Chicago - and the reference is “The City” when referring to Chicago and everywhere else is Illinois / Wisconsin or Indiana..
Maybe they do something similar out east.
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