Cruz will be mathematically eliminated in 6 days. NY shuts him out from attaining 1237 ... and his support will then tank.
No one will vote for the second place candidate when he has no chance to get to 1237.
Explain that to the Kasich voters. I’m pretty sure voters in Indiana, South Dakota, Nebraska and other non-Trump states will still vote for Cruz knowing as long as Trump doesn’t get to 1,237 on 1st ballot, Trump isn’t the nominee.
Cruz is no longer a real candidate. He will be mathematically eliminated next Tuesday from winning the candidacy based on the vote of citizens. Cruz is Romney’s spork weasel sock puppet.
If my memory is correct, in 2012 Santorum dropped out when he reached the point where he needed 75% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination. Cruz needs somewhere in the high 80% range now. The numbers only get worse for Cruz after next Tuesday. Will be interesting to see how Cruz handles that challenge.
Not necessarily. Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from a first ballot victory with bound delegates only. A first ballot victory counting unbound delegates who vote Cruz is a possibility too (okay, it's not going to happen, but it's theoretically possible).
A second ballot victory with Rubio delegates (if they are bound on the first round, a still undecided question, but unbound on the second as most will certainly be) and unbound Kasich delegates is completely possible if the delegates Cruz is courting are being honest about their intentions.
I'm not going to comment on how likely delegate honesty is, because I have not been present for those discussions, but I am more than a bit worried that Cruz is being set up. I'm also more than a bit hopeful that Cruz is successfully setting up the establishment and he's going to use his ground game and careful study of the rules to beat the insiders that we all want to see defeated.
The best answer is for Trump to score a first round victory with bound delegates. Failing that, Cruz may have a real chance for either a first or second round victory under the rules that govern the convention. As long as the nominee opposes Amnesty (i.e., Trump or Cruz), and the party unifies (a concern that requires an end to the Trump-Cruz wars), the outcome will be far better than a Hillary victory in November.
Cruz will be mathematically eliminated in 6 days. NY shuts him out from attaining 1237 ... and his support will then tank.
Cruz’s support is already tanking. He’s abandoned the northeast. Hardly campaigned there at all while he trails Kasich in many states. Monday he was in California. Today Indiana. Nothing says winner in Ted Cruz. He’s running scared and all but his deluded Cruzers can see it.
His support is already tanking
Nobody wants to vote for a candidate that celebrates a victory where he and his buddies rigged an election.
The delegate hunt will continue right up to and including the convention.
Best case scenario is a shotgun wedding...Trump/Cruz.
Okay...air fuel bomb wedding.
Might want to add a couple of armored divisions just to make sure they get to the “you may kiss the bride” part.
heh
Jedi
Trump ain’t getting the 1237 either and Cruz will beat him in Cleveland.
You think Cruz is so stupid to drop out when he knows he is gonna win?
If Duh Donald does get the 1237 THEN Ted should drop out...but it ain’t gonna happen.
Cruz got Rubio’s 173 delegates, lowering his magic number.
The only key thing is whether Trump gets to a firm 1237
Think again.
Until someone hits 1237, it ain’t over.