Posted on 04/13/2016 5:58:15 AM PDT by xzins
13 Apr, Maryland, NBC4/MARIST Trump 41, Cruz 29, Kasich 24
12 Apr, New York, Quinnipiac, Trump 55, Kasich 20, Cruz 19
12 Apr, New York, NY1/Baruch, Trump 60, Kasich 17, Cruz 14
12 Apr, Connecticut, Emerson, Trump 50, Kasich 26, Cruz 17
10 Apr, Pennsylvania, Fox News, Trump 48, Kasich 22, Cruz 20
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Paul Manafort says Trump will win on the first ballot.
The numbers Trump is getting in NY say it is more likely than not that he will take ALL of New York’s delegates.
And these are REAL delegates....the first round kind.
I don’t disagree that it’s harder to win in the general if you don’t do well in the primary.
But those other primary voters have to go some place, either to the dem, rep, ind or don’t
vote category. I can’t believe 60% would sit out the general.
The crux of the matter is that one might be able to finagle delegates for nomination through several ways, but the Electoral College is a different story.
And those are the delegates that cast “votes” that are representative of the populations they represent. Not selected on a few hundred votes for millions of people.
You are so right on the money. Cruz performed terribly in Ohio AND Florida. He’s on his way to an awful finish in Pennsylvania.
It is impossible for a traditional republican candidate to win the election without Florida and Ohio (or Pennsylvania). But if it is that close, then PA almost always goes red.
The Teddy Bear picnics in New York, Maryland, Connecticut and Pennsylvania have been cancelled.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZANKFxrcKU
Trump is fighting other candidates, the media, the DNC, the Democrat candidates, well funded PACs, political interference from Obama, and last but not least — the RNC. Yet like a champion he is still standing. Even for those who do not support him, I would think they see that his fortitude thus far has been nothing short of amazing.
Lyin’ Ted will claim four 3rd place losses are a win, somehow.
He’s already spinning a fairy tale that he won “11 elections in a row”. So I guess we’ll hear that after another humiliating 0 for 5 Super Tuesday for the Cruznadian.
I think Trump is playing brer rabbit on this one.
He has Cruz supporters and Cruz himself saying ‘anything goes’. Trump keeps giving them the opportunity to back off.
He’s saying “don’t force me into that ‘anything goes’ briar patch, brer Cruz.” And Cruz keeps saying, and all his people keep saying “anything goes.”
And now Trump can open up a can of “Anything Goes Whup Ass” all over their hopes.
Because a backroom deal is not a contract. Live by the deal, then you die by the deal.
267 delegates coming up for grabs in Trump friendly states. lovin” it.
TPA Ted’s “good news” here is a 2nd place in MD. And there is a poll that has him in 3rd there, too. LOL.
Trump is impressive and in a word, Great. Great for America!
In any other year, 3rd place losses would devastate a badly trailing campaign.
Cruz is being carried entirely by the media.
Yep. If Cruz’s top cover goes away his campaign evaporates. Immediately.
And those are the delegates that cast “votes” that are representative of the populations they represent. Not selected on a few hundred votes for millions of people.
*****************
Excellent comment! The people are speaking.
Cruz is playing the role of the turd in the punch bowl, deluding the gullible to join the evil in the destruction of America.
Cruzer the Loser aka Lyin’ Ted aka Felito the King of All Phony Slimebuckets is only polling at 20% in the PA GOP primary. He won only 17% in the Florida GOP primary. And he won only 13% in the Ohio primary.
You left out Cruz’s impressive 16% and 3rd place in battleground VA. But who’s counting. LOL.
...but Kasich is the only one who can beat Hillary. Makes sense when you look at the numbers...
Food for thought....these states geographically cover an area the size of Texas yet see their combined population totals below:
13 Apr, Maryland, NBC4/MARIST Trump 41, Cruz 29, Katich 24- 6 Million
12 Apr, New York, Quinnipiac, Trump 55, Katich 20, Cruz 19- 19.8 Million
12 Apr, New York, NY1/Baruch, Trump 60, Katich 17, Cruz 14 -
12 Apr, Connecticut, Emerson, Trump 50, Katich 26, Cruz 17 - 3.5 Million
10 Apr, Pennsylvania, Fox News, Trump 48, Katich 22, Cruz 20 - 12.2 Million
Total Population of the four States above: 41.5 MILLION!!!
Maryland would mean 38 delegates to Trump. Pennsylvania would mean 71 delegates to Trump.
Trump has 755 delegates now, MD & PA would bring that to 864, just 373 shy of what is needed to win in Round 1.
Connecticut and New York are winners-take-most, a total of 123 delegates. Trump should pick up at least 2/3 of the those delegates (82), bringing the total to 946, just 291 shy of the total.
Taking New Jersey and California would then be crucial for Trump, leaving only 68 delegates needed from all the other states (352 delegates). So taking New Jersey and California would mean that Trump would only have had to win 19% of the delegates from Delaware, Rhode Island, Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota, and 4 of those states are proportional.
I think it is fair to say that Trump will likely win New Jersey, thus rendering California the critical race.
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