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First Read: Cruz and allies have five days to stop Trump
MSNBC ^ | 28 Apr 2016 | Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann

Posted on 04/28/2016 8:35:24 AM PDT by mandaladon

Cruz and allies have five days to stop Trump

When Ted Cruz unveiled Carly Fiorina as his running mate on Wednesday, and when he struck that alliance/truce with John Kasich on Sunday night, they were from a position of weakness – not strength. The reason: If Cruz and the “Stop Trump” movement don’t win in Indiana on May 3, they’re done. It’s that simple. After Trump ran the table in Tuesday’s primaries, including getting at least 35 of the 54 Pennsylvania unbound delegates (and that number could go above 40), a win in Indiana – even by a single point – would put him on a glide path to 1,237 delegates. So those are the big stakes for next week’s primary in the Hoosier State. But you have to give the Cruz campaign credit: Given that must-win situation, they’re trying every trick in the book (early VP pick, alliance) to win. But when you throw that “Hail Mary” and the pass falls incomplete, the game is usually over.

How Trump can get shut out of Indiana but still get to 1,237

But here’s the thing: Even if Trump gets shut out in Indiana, he still has a viable path to 1,237. Trump is currently sitting at 991 delegates after Tuesday. Now consider the following contests:

Indiana: 0/57 Nebraska: 0/36 West Virginia: 34/34 Oregon: 14/28 Washington: 22/44 California: 120/172 Montana: 0/27 New Jersey: 51/51 New Mexico: 10/24 South Dakota: 0/29

So if you add up those numbers with Trump’s current delegate haul, you get 1,242 – five more delegates than the 1,237 he needs for a majority on the first ballot. Here’s the current delegate math:

Trump holds a 427-delegate lead over Cruz

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; elections; gameover; trump
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To: mandaladon

Difficult for me to ever see Cruz leaving the race. It’s kind of like he’s campaigning in an alternative universe.


41 posted on 04/28/2016 9:19:16 AM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: mandaladon

42 posted on 04/28/2016 9:19:22 AM PDT by vikingrinn
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To: mandaladon

It is cruel at this point to keep encouraging this farce.

No, MSNBC, he isnt going to “stop Trump”. He is OUT!


43 posted on 04/28/2016 9:21:25 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: mandaladon

Purse dogs - all bark and no bite.


44 posted on 04/28/2016 9:21:27 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: Zenjitsuman
People don’t vote for VP or McCain would have won.

As it was, she nearly dragged his dead ass over the finish line.

45 posted on 04/28/2016 9:21:33 AM PDT by Sal (It's time to flush the 'PEE away!)
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To: eyeamok
I can find NO other plausible or Logical reason to pick her, unless he plans on Offshoring His Campaign.

Now that is funny!

46 posted on 04/28/2016 9:26:21 AM PDT by fireman15 (The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
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To: LNV

I’ve kept myself amused all week with visions of Wiley Coyote and Roadrunner (Trump). Wiley (Kasich) on a mountain top with his Acme/TNT kit that goes haywire blowing coyote/Kasich fur all over while Roadrunner/Trump is scooting ahead on the roadway below just ahead of the blast. BEEP BEEP

Cruz next up with an Anvil on the unsuspecting Roadrunner below and tosses himself over with it and through the road below leaving the anvil/Cruz imprint. BEEP BEEP

Still working on Ryan, McConnell, Graham somehow tripping themselves into their pit full of tigers they’ve set up while Roadrunner/Trump skips right on over the pit singing “I’m a Yankee Doodle Dandy” all the way home.

Probably not original but heck, this last week has just been too, too comical.


47 posted on 04/28/2016 9:28:30 AM PDT by bunster
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To: Steve_Seattle

NRO?

Its been militantly anti-Trump since it unveiled its infamous anti-Trump issue last winter.

And its lost all credibility and influence.

Don’t be unhappy at being banned. #NeverTrumpers are never going to admit he’s a formidable candidate.

NRO chose... poorly.


48 posted on 04/28/2016 9:32:17 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Steve_Seattle
The comments directed at me did have a "defeatist" theme, as if it's somehow my moral obligation to keep up hopes until the very top of the mainsail goes under.

Exactly, and because you did not join their group think (something all people are capable of succumbing to) they retaliated against you. Even though I support Trump I hope to never become that lost in my thinking and can be objective even in my support like you are bjective with your pro Cruz feelings.

49 posted on 04/28/2016 9:34:26 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: LNV

Trump will break 50% in CA.

I mean he’s on a track to win big in all the pro-Trump states remaining... he’s guaranteed to sweep IN, WVA, NJ and CA. And he’ll possibly take NM.

Cruz is only wasting time remaining in a race where he has zero chance of getting the nomination.

I don’t understand him. Other candidates dropped out when they saw they had no path going forward.

Time for him to do the right thing come Tuesday.


50 posted on 04/28/2016 9:37:45 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: eyeamok
I see Cruz picking Fiorina as a way to LOSE GRACEFULLY and still keep face.

These losers should not want to keep either of their mis-shapen faces.

51 posted on 04/28/2016 9:43:13 AM PDT by Reeses (A journey of a thousand miles begins with a government pat down.)
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To: orangeTank

Like a bird that has been microwaved by a high power radar and just hasn’t hit the ground yet.


52 posted on 04/28/2016 10:02:56 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Nifster

Is Carly gonna start with the HP jobs she outsourced?

Gad this ticket isn’t gonna’ play well in California with its many ex-HP employees

if the dynamic duo makes it that far


53 posted on 04/28/2016 10:03:53 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: eyeamok

ah, “blame the chick”

interesting...


54 posted on 04/28/2016 10:04:53 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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GO TRUMP GO

55 posted on 04/28/2016 10:05:01 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Ted Cruz, "But it's what plants need!")
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To: mandaladon

56 posted on 04/28/2016 10:06:09 AM PDT by Darth Hillary (living well is the best revenge)
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To: eyeamok

“I can find NO other plausible or Logical reason to pick her, unless he plans on Offshoring His Campaign.”

Offshoring his campaign. Bwahahahahahaha. I love it.


57 posted on 04/28/2016 10:29:53 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Trumpinator
This is just the GOPe running hail mary defense plays against Trump.

This is no Hail Mary. You can still win the game with a Hail Mary.

This game is over. The crowd has left. The janitors are sweeping up. Yet Ted Cruz remains on the court, shootin' rings.

58 posted on 04/28/2016 10:35:06 AM PDT by Drew68
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To: Drew68

Even better analogy!


59 posted on 04/28/2016 10:37:38 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: mandaladon

This isn’t even a hail mary. It’s an onsides kick and they’re 3 scores down with 10 seconds left in the game.


60 posted on 04/28/2016 10:41:21 AM PDT by DouglasKC
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