If other polls confirms Downs poll then ok but smething wrong here.
I’d say these couple of polls are more recent April 27-28 and shows Trump in the lead. Clout Research conducted a live agent telephone poll of likely voting Republican Primary Election voters statewide in Indiana regarding the presidential election. The survey was conducted April 27. It included 423 respondents and carries a confidence interval of 95% and a margin of error of +/- 4.75 percentage points - Trump 37.1 and Cruz 35.2. The second poll conducted April 27-April 28 by the American Research Group shows Trump 41% and Cruz 32%. A CBS poll earlier this week found Trump with about 40% of support in Indiana, compared to 35% for Cruz. The poll had a margin of error of 6.6 points. Other polls have also shown Trump ahead.
The same phony ARG that had Trump winning WI 2 days before the primary?
the real outlier in the current RCP average is the IPFW/Downs Center poll. without that one in the RCP average, Trump would be ahead by +6 average.
Nonetheless, the situation does appear to be fluid, so guess we’ll have to wait for actual results to know for sure.