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Prediction Markets Show Cruz Craters After Deal With Kasich; Fiorina, Pence Not Boosting Him
Breitbart ^ | 2 May 16 | Boyle & Badolato

Posted on 05/02/2016 6:26:21 AM PDT by xzins

The data compiled here on Breitbart News comes from PredictIt, a betting market that creates an almost free market interpretation of what might happen in a given political election.

The Texas senator had been above 50 cents— But, after the (Kasich) deal, Cruz has crashed and despite two desperate measures—the announcement of his vice presidential pick Carly Fiorina and the Pence endorsement—has not recovered.

Almost instantly after the Pence deal, Trump took a commanding lead over Cruz. While at one point on April 24 the markets had Trump under 40 cents, by midday April 25, the markets—in response to the Cruz-Kasich deal—had corrected themselves to have Trump at over 60 cents. Since then, the markets have only benefited Trump with just small upticks for Cruz that undo themselves moments later when he announced Fiorina as his running mate and when he received the tepid backing of Pence, Indiana’s governor.

Trump, with new polling showing him well over double digits ahead of Cruz in the Hoosier State, has now skyrocketed way ahead of the Texas senator there—and is widely expected by financial analysts to win the state on Tuesday. Heading into Sunday, Trump was close to 75 cents—and he is now over 90 cents projected to be the winner.

“The markets have really been ahead of the polling and ahead of the pundits,” Rothschild said. But your best bet for accurate and reliable political predictions, it turns out, is actually the marketplace.”

It appears as though Cruz is headed for an epic defeat on Tuesday in Indiana, If Cruz loses in Indiana, it is widely expect that Donald Trump will win the GOP nomination for the presidency outright before the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July—and that neither Cruz nor anyone else including Kasich will be able to stop him.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California; US: Indiana; US: New York; US: Ohio; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; california; carlyfiorina; cruz; election2016; fiorina; indiana; johnkasich; newyork; ohio; pence; tedcruz; texas; trump
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To: dynoman

What the heck happened to Carly falling down like she was on a banana peel. How did Ted and Heidi not see that instantly?


81 posted on 05/02/2016 10:22:13 AM PDT by adc (wethepeople)
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To: Gaffer

“I expect him to go to California and get the religion of the illegal and call for legalization and THEN do something about the border.”

The dirty little secret is, that’s been Ted’s position on immigration all along.

Remember that he wants us to “have a conversation” about what to do with the 40 million invaders *after* the border is ‘secured’.


82 posted on 05/02/2016 10:30:05 AM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: xzins

“...does it appear to you that Fiorina is in the driver’s seat? It sure does to me.”

For what it’s worth, Fiorina is an experienced executive. Ted isn’t. That may explain why she seems to be taking charge. It’s what executives do.


83 posted on 05/02/2016 10:33:48 AM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: OKSooner; xzins
... the masks are all coming off. No need to name names, everyone who's paying attention knows the score.

Really, OKSooner -- Cruz is acting like a desperate man. He's taken to describing tomorrow's primary in Indiana as a battle of Good vs. Evil. (Of course, The Donald is the evil, The Ted is the good.) How over the top can one go??? Plus he's got Heidi running around, describing her husband as a Latino "immigrant." YIKES!!!! This is totally NUTZ. If Cruz is an "immigrant," then how can he possibly be eligible to run for president in the first place???

FWIW, I believe that Ted Cruz is toast. Good riddance. He is a smarmy, manipulative flimflam man and his true colors have started to show.

Thanks so much for your great observations, OKSooner.

84 posted on 05/02/2016 10:39:17 AM PDT by betty boop
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To: xzins
Are they really this stupid?

Yes, sometimes they are.

In this case, he's just being an anti Trump shill. He knows it's possible to want war as a last resort, possible to not always be in the nation building business, and be entirely consistent with smashing ISIS.

He's just trying a hail Mary Carly.

I imagine Rush was just as insufferable today. I'll have to look up what he said on Biggirl's thread.

Man, oh man, I hope Trump wins Indiana tomorrow. Maybe these media shills will wake up Wednesday morning and try being sane for a change.

85 posted on 05/02/2016 11:14:46 AM PDT by Lakeshark (One time Cruz supporter who now prefers Trump. Yes, there are good reasons.)
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To: Windflier
Fiorina is an experienced executive. Ted isn’t. That may explain why she seems to be taking charge. It’s what executives do.

I will say this, her experience is a good fit there.

86 posted on 05/02/2016 11:23:55 AM PDT by thulldud
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To: NFHale

Because she did so well against boxer


87 posted on 05/02/2016 3:40:11 PM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: xzins

I hear ya, brother.

Boxer in her home state, nobody would unseat that. However, the rest of the country isn’t California. Cruz probably thinks it’s a way to counter Hillary.

But after Indiana results come in today, that might be moot anyway.


88 posted on 05/03/2016 6:36:49 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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