If/when RCP updates its average with the new ABC, NBC and Reuters polls (and that old CNN 54-41 poll rolls off), Hillary’s lead in the AVERAGE of the last 6 polls drops to 0.5 %. Expect them to REALLY freak out then.
This poll, like the one from CBS/NYT over samples democrats by 8%. One of the comments on Conservative Treehouse said when adjusted, Trump leads Crooked Hillary 52% to 45%.
I don’t trust RCP. I have been following since 1999. They rarely update when the R is doing well. They pick and chose polls. When they are wrong they scrub and change the format. I am not questioning the results. I question the motives.
The week of the 5 primaries I wrote down all the information from the past couple of weeks. Hillary was at least 5 points over selected. Trump was around 7 points under selected. While I don’t question the polls themselves, I question which polls they use. You can look into the longer results and probably should. RCP does have all the results if you look deeply. Take it for what it is worth. TRUMP is going to reduce Hillary to quit the race. Her own people want that but none will dare let her know that.
The news is even better than that. The Real Clear Politics average has Trump up over Clinton by .4% now. This is the first time that the RCP average has had Trump beating Clinton, and they’ve been tracking this for almost a year now. Three of the five polls in their current average show Trump ahead, and another is within the margin of error. This is great!