Posted on 08/05/2016 3:30:53 AM PDT by dontreadthis
A post convention scientific (non media) poll of North Carolina voters from The Civitas Institute (full pdf below) shows candidate Donald Trump with a 46/42 lead over Hillary Clinton.
Also, in what is becoming an increasing concern for the Clinton campaign team – the demographics (crosstabs) of the poll show Trump is capturing 32% of the black voting base:
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativetreehouse.com ...
Trump with 32% of black voters? Why isn’t he leading by more than four?!
That is huge, believe me.
And when the returns come in showing more Democrat votes than voters in Democrat precincts, Trump should sue theDemocrat Party in those states,whether he wins or loses. The toothless, worthless GOP does not defend the integrity of our vote when it doesn’t challenge blatant voter fraud.
Individual polls are merely a snapshot. Data can be manipulated in far too many ways for any single poll to be significant. However, what they can do, if the pollster’s sample size is consistent, is tell us how voter preferences are generally trending.
That said, it is clear that Clinton got a decent bounce from the convention and Trump’s verbal tiff with the Khans hurt him. He allowed himself to lose the initiative and let the media set the agenda this week. The media and Clinton know full well that if this election is a referendum on Hillary, she will lose. So they are moving mountains to make it about anything but that. They set him up and he walked right into a trap.
This wasn’t fatal to his campaign, but he does need to develop a thicker skin and refocus on his opponent. Regain the initiative and use this Iran crap to refocus the conversation on the failures of Hillary and the Democrats over the past 8 years.
Thank you kindly. Good to see this.
Trump is leading HUGE among independents too.
The only thing depressing Trumps numbers is, never Trumpers.
Meanwhile DJT draws thousands to his meetings while TheOtherOne draws hundreds of bussed-in "supporters". Watching her on a daily campaign trail should be interesting.
32% of blacks ? He ‘ll have over 60% of the vote.
Exactly. It’s not true.
and your background validating this advice is.....?
Remember who and what got you this far with a one on one shot to take down the entire democrat party. The more that the media ridicules Trump, the more that both black and white likely voters have his back. Guys like McCain and Willard would have apologized and suspended their campaigns to seek media forgiveness.
If Donald feel into traps he never would have creamed the GOPe. Get a grip on your raisins, close your eyes, send in a hundred bucks and enjoy David’s victory over Goliath.
One of the big problems with fraud is that the RNC is not allowed to fight it until 2017. And that date was a win in court. A court ruling has prevented them from doing anything about voter fraud all these years. That is why we need some superpacs to pick up that heavy load.
I, like any other poster am only contributing my $0.02 to the discussion.
Trump wins when (1) he takes the initiative and makes the conversation about his opponents shortcomings or failures and (2) He demonstrates that he is a real alternative to the establishment.
For the past few days he lost the initiative, let the media make the discussion about his failings and his poll numbers went down.
Not everyone is as high on Trump as FReepers are. To win the General Election, he needs to peel off Democrats and independents fed up with the establishment. Hillary and her corruption provide a target rich environment.
I hope he sticks to that and refrains from repeating his useless argument with a Democrat hack who happened to be the father of a fallen Army officer.
Ask yourself, what is D/R split. I don’t know
This is +1 R heavy sample based on 2012, but Trump still ahead of Minion, who only won by 2.
Not so much NC is the home of Diamond and Silk. They are celebrities here.
I always want to know:
Where do they poll?
Who do they poll?
What time of day do they poll?
Here is the black vote percentages for the elections going back to 2000. The d is the first number r the second
2012 95 5
2008 99 1
2004 93 7
2000 95 3 (2 for Nader)
Anything in the 80s is well below what has happened recently.
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