Posted on 08/08/2016 6:56:40 AM PDT by tatown
Link only
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
plus Trump’s 10% hidden support = panic summer for Democrats
400 polled. Not a very large group...
Within the margin of error as well and also she is still not breaking over the mid 40s.
This is a 7 day roller so there has been a slight downtick in Trump support over the past 3 days and a slight uptick for Hillary. This is probably the result of the Khan Con. But on whole the entire episode is statistical noise. Trump should start ticking back up by Wednesday.
Within the margin of error as well and also she is still not breaking over the mid 40s.
this far out polling is worthless: check out the projected EV counts if you want to get a feel for the endgame...
This used to be the one poll that consistently had Trump in the lead and now shows him down by 1.2%. I don’t care what anyone here at FR says, all of these polls showing Trump down is a bad sign.
I agree, and I think this is a reliable poll. I’m wondering where the bottom is, and when the Khan stuff falls off. So far, haven’t been able to get and update since 8/1 on www.longroom.com.
“This is a 7 day roller so there has been a slight downtick in Trump support over the past 3 days and a slight uptick for Hillary. This is probably the result of the Khan Con”
-—Since it’s a rolling poll my guess is it’s the small bounce from the convention, and will start evening out
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3457562/posts?page=1#5
I think you will see the Khan Con wear off by Wednesday. I’ve noticed that because of the 7 day roller, events tend to wear off mid-week. Trump’s bounce, Hillary’s bounce, etc. He took a small hit over Khan but negligible in the grand scheme of things.
I’m more concerned over the Morning Consult poll this morning that has Hillary up by 9
https://morningconsult.com/2016/08/07/clinton-surges-past-trump-rough-week-republicans/
Breakouts are 38D, 30R, and 32I. They may have slightly undersampled R’s but numbers are generally in line with 2012 Exit Polls. On the flip side, I find it hard to believe Hillary enjoyed a 13 point swing in 2 weeks. I think another 2 weeks to see what levels out here and we’ll have a better idea as we head to Labor Day.
Hillary’s bounce already wore off last Wednesday. She peaked on 8/3 and started a downward slope. She ticked back up as a result of the Khan noise. I think by Wednesday things will be back to normal w/r/t to Khan.
No one will remember Khan in October. No one.
(BTW, have we ever heard Mrs. Khan actually speak in public yet? Is she allowed to??)
8 point D advantage is 3-4 too high, especially in this election.
At the risk of sounding like a ‘concern troll’, I see nothing in the polling over the past couple of weeks that gives me any optimism about Trump’s position. This poll has consistently showed a Trump lead prior to both conventions. The trend is not our friend at this point, something has to change.
I also looked at your bio and noticed you "had a cup of coffee" in my home state before UD. My nephew went to UD and loved it.
yes she spoke. said she was still kind of choked up over the death of her son and didn’t think she’d be able to speak effectively at the dem convention. Trump should’ve left this thing alone. It didn’t help him.
Long room adjusts the polling, but I don’t know their methods, only their darn good results
I moved from OH and UD where I taught to AZ.
yea, I went to the longroom and looked at their numbers, which make me feel better, but I’d sure like to understand how they go about adjusting poll results. Simply using the last election’s results for turnout or R versus D doesn’t seem to work for me. Lotsa Rs are not going to vote for Trump and some Ds aren’t going to vote for Hillary. All I know is that when I see every poll in the land showing Hillary up, I believe there is reason for grave concern.
No THEY don’t use last year’s #s. I said their previous predictions were dead on.
You’re not concerned. Don’t BS
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