AUGUST Trump 37% Clinton 50%
JULY Trump 43% Clinton 45%
Demographics
Aug (9% diff)26% Republican 35% Democrat 39% Independent
July(5% diff)28% Republican 33% Democrat 39% Independent
Politico = DNC
There are only 34 to 32% Democrats in this country.This poll has an error of +/- 25%.
The GOP has 33 to 35% so that error is even larger about 42%.
Every poll, national and state, who show Hillary winning are skewed.
“And Clinton’s lead among likely voters — 13 points — is actually slightly wider than her 12-point advantage among all registered voters. In recent elections, likely voter screens have typically produced better results for Republican candidates than polls of all registered voters.”
“Likely Voter” is determined by past voting history. However, that metric is useless in 2016 as lots of people who have never voted will vote in this election for Trump.
Sounds like they are getting ready for some major voter fraud in November. By the time this election is done the WWF wrestling matches will be more honest and trustworthy than the election for president of the USA. At least with the WWF everybody knows it’s entertainment.
Hey, if true, I am prepared. Hitlery, according to the Monmouth poll, gets 92% of Demon Rat sycophant voters. Trump gets only 79% of the Republicans.
Even with a 9 point differential, that doesn't account for a 13 point lead. The voting won't be split 50-50.
Trump voters are motivated, no doubt, but think about this: a drumbeat for THREE STRAIGHT MONTHS of "Trump is gonna lose" repeated by the tv, radio, internet, over and over again....how do you think Joe Six Pack is going to react?
Clintoon is a dead rag.
DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
26% Republican
39% Independent
35% Democrat
47% Male
53% Female
A 9 per cent split between Dems and pubs....and a 39 per cent independent vote....something still stinks with the numbers!
In reality he’s only down by about 7 points. Of course, that’s plenty.
Leftist Monmouth U. also skewed female voters by +6%. Female should be about +2%
And in check their other methodology. They are saying half their polling was from a prepared list of voters. You can bet the farm they knew how many of these people would answer.
the real and last battle will begin\end with the debates.
See now that’s just plain wrong we KNOW Clinton is leading by 60 p[oints but why do they hold back?
RV + n oversample D.
What is intriguing, though, is that is a significantly smaller sample (particularly LV) than the one and only poll that they did showing Bishop Dullard leading in 2012.
Which suggests two things: Monmouth has less monies to get the job done right, so they revert to the cheap RV + n oversample D...now they've become just another poll...too bad, they are trashing a decent rep...
The latest Monmouth University Poll of voters nationwide shows Mitt Romney holding on to a three point lead over Barack Obama in next month’s presidential race. The GOP challenger continued to make gains in every issue area after the second debate. Currently, Gov. Romney leads the incumbent by 48% to 45% among likely American voters...The latest Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone with 1,402 likely voters in the United States from October 18 to 21, 2012. This sample has a margin of error of + 2.6 percent.
Politico — not trustworthy.