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The Polls Aren't Skewed
Fivethirtyeight.com ^ | 8/9/2016

Posted on 08/09/2016 8:44:42 AM PDT by baxtelf

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To: Artcore
None! The sky is falling, the sky is falling!

Believe the polls that Hillary is unbeatable and is going to win in SC and Utah!!!!

81 posted on 08/09/2016 9:49:25 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: LittleSpotBlog

Trump isn’t Romney, get that through your head.


82 posted on 08/09/2016 9:50:06 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: baxtelf

The Democrats always launch their ad campaign early, the GOP wait until we get closer to the election.


83 posted on 08/09/2016 9:50:59 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Windflier

If Trump is virtually tied with Hillary at this point, it is over for the Democrats and they know it.


84 posted on 08/09/2016 9:51:51 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

All of this is entertainment. It all comes down to the following five items:

1. 125% voting in Philly
2. 125% voting in Cuyahoga County
3. 125% voting in Richmond
4. 125% voting in Miami
5. 125% voting in Raleigh

The 125% number can be manipulated as seen fit to meet the criteria of what it will take to win the state. Maybe 110% will do it, but with more whites coming out for Trump, 125% might be the magic number.

If Hillary only gets 100% of the number, she loses.


85 posted on 08/09/2016 9:52:12 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Common Sense, Trump and Pence. More of the same, Clinton and Kaine.)
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To: God luvs America

Indeed...and got the same result many teams receive when playing prevent.

Romney, like all RINOs, only goes for the kill when going after other Republicans.


86 posted on 08/09/2016 9:52:36 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: baxtelf

Says fivethirtyeight which uses a “Polls Plus” method.


87 posted on 08/09/2016 9:52:47 AM PDT by proust (Trump / Pence 2016!)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Exactly. Nobody really liked Romney, they only voted for him because he wasn’t Obama, and that was it. He generated no enthusiasm whatsoever.


88 posted on 08/09/2016 9:52:48 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NELSON111

Good, and ignore all the time the polls were skewered, like in 2014 when the GOP was suppose to lose Senate seats and in the House.


89 posted on 08/09/2016 9:53:21 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Red Steel

Exactly, this election will not be a repeat of 2012.


90 posted on 08/09/2016 9:53:52 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: baxtelf

91 posted on 08/09/2016 9:54:18 AM PDT by proust (Trump / Pence 2016!)
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To: mrs9x

Agreed.


92 posted on 08/09/2016 9:54:46 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: mrs9x

Exactly!


93 posted on 08/09/2016 9:55:24 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: baxtelf
Yeah this Lefty at the Slimes sound like
Herr Goebbels in the Hitler bunker !!

Recall this push from the
NY Slimes poll

Oct 14 1984

Mondale ahead of Reagan

53 to 44

http://www.nytimes.com/1984/10/16/us/campaign-notes-reagan-leads-mondale-53-44-in-harris-poll.html

Lol

94 posted on 08/09/2016 9:59:10 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: proust

LoL more Natie Libtardism.


95 posted on 08/09/2016 10:00:56 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: fortheDeclaration

“Another 2012 ‘the polls were right’ guy! Were the polls right in 2014 when the Democrats were hammered in the Senate and House races?”

Yes. In fact the polls were right in 2012. The RCP AVERAGE pretty much nailed the final result. So I’m that kind of “guy”.

As for 2014, a non-presidential year. Apples and oranges. However, the polls pretty much called the GOP would take the Senate with 52-54 seats. They were right again.

Enough conspiracy BS. Even our favorite poll from USC-Dormsife shows Trump steadily declining. Look at the chart.


96 posted on 08/09/2016 10:02:39 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: ncalburt

“Recall this push from the
NY Slimes poll

Oct 14 1984

Mondale ahead of Reagan

53 to 44”

http://www.nytimes.com/1984/10/16/us/campaign-notes-reagan-leads-mondale-53-44-in-harris-poll.html

Oddly, the poll that you posted from the 1984 NYT says exactly the opposite of what you think it says.


97 posted on 08/09/2016 10:06:14 AM PDT by Timpanagos1
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To: baxtelf
Hey, why not endorse the bald ex-spook while you're at it?

We have lots of Tokyo Rose types and they all ignore that Trump has been raising a huge amount from Grass Roots donors - they may ignore that because they like to opine but really have nothing that they stand for enough to donate for themselves - always looking for others to do the heavy lifting while whining about the results.

If one wants to be useful, one needs to donate to Trump and Donate to FR while one is at it. Otherwise, any "concerns" may as well be lies straight from Hillary's lips....

98 posted on 08/09/2016 10:08:19 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: baxtelf

Doesn’t it seem the election itself is just a formality?


99 posted on 08/09/2016 10:10:36 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (Remember the Court)
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To: Windflier
Not really, when you consider the trillions of dollars at stake, and the fact that Trump will likely destroy the existing, corrupted power structure. It’s not impractical at all, to think they’d do whatever it takes to keep Trump from winning.

We should look at the polls, and assume they reflect the Dems "margin of cheating", and work at overcoming that.

100 posted on 08/09/2016 10:10:57 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (Big government is attractive to those who think that THEY will be in control of it.)
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