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The Polls Aren't Skewed
Fivethirtyeight.com ^ | 8/9/2016

Posted on 08/09/2016 8:44:42 AM PDT by baxtelf

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To: longtermmemmory

“didn’t fivethirtyeight have a very serious credibility problem as trump won primary after primary? primaries this upstart company predicted he would lose?”

You’re absolutely correct, but pointing that out would ruin the hand-wringing, pity party initiated by FR’s surrender monkey brigade.


121 posted on 08/09/2016 11:19:06 AM PDT by sergeantdave
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To: Yashcheritsiy

You are a little too merciful. Rove’s reputation was hurt, Dick Morris reputation was badly damaged, I think Limbaugh took a hit, Hannity, Erickson, McLaughlin, Hewitt, Connie Mack, Bret Baier to name a few who felt the pools were rigged. Be careful.


122 posted on 08/09/2016 11:53:33 AM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS
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To: BlueStateRightist
No, what is apples and oranges is using the same criteria for 2016 as for 2012.

The Democrats were way down in the their primary, while the GOP was way up.

This election will look nothing like 2012.

There is no conspiracy going on, just a great deal of misusing numbers and those like you who love to pass on negativity.

123 posted on 08/09/2016 12:17:48 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: baxtelf

“Let’s work the problem, people. Let’s not make things worse by guessing.” Gene Kranz

Stop the wishing, hoping, wringing of hands, arguing pro or con on others pronouncements, dragging forth past history, fighting the last war a second time.

Follow the problem solving strategy of the greatest flight director NASA was privileged to have for a 34 year tenure. As his words echo a message for this moment in time, remember that “failure is not an option.”

http://www.fastcompany.com/3031498/hit-the-ground-running/problem-solving-lessons-from-nasa


124 posted on 08/09/2016 2:15:32 PM PDT by Ozark Tom
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

That’s the point - the MSM polls *were* rigged. It’s just that Obama was still *really* far enough ahead that it didn’t matter as much. The MSM polls were only “right” in the sense that they called the winner in a gross sense. They were actually farther off the mark than were the “poll adjusters” who called it for Romney by 1-2%.


125 posted on 08/09/2016 3:27:42 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
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To: fortheDeclaration

“There is no conspiracy going on, just a great deal of misusing numbers and those like you who love to pass on negativity.”

“Those like” me who avoids being a blind fan boy. Like I said, I donate to Trump, but anyone who thinks he has done well since the GOP convention is deluding themselves.


126 posted on 08/09/2016 3:30:49 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: proust

You can’t trust any poll these days. Rooooters:

“Bill Mitchell ;@mitchellvii 2h2 hours ago

Every time Trump gets close on Reuters/Ipsos, they just increase the D+ advantage and miraculously, Hillary surges. #smh”

- - - - -

Bill Mitchell ;@mitchellvii 2h2 hours ago

As if Reuters D+10 sample wasn’t already ridiculous enough, it is 55% women and 45% men. Preposterous. A REAL sample, Trump wins. “


127 posted on 08/09/2016 3:56:26 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Windflier

See post #127.


128 posted on 08/09/2016 3:58:43 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: BlueStateRightist
What has happened is that you have brought into the MSM narrative and phony polls.

What has Hillary done to gain in the polls-nothing!

129 posted on 08/09/2016 4:17:02 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Jack Black

Hey Jack,

Thx for the kind private mail.

Please send me other forms of communication and we can chat.


130 posted on 08/13/2016 1:53:37 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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