Posted on 08/09/2016 12:36:03 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
FLORIDA: Clinton 46 - Trump 45 OHIO: Clinton 49 - Trump 45 PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 52 - Trump 42
With third party candidates in the race, results are: Florida - Clinton and Trump tied at 43 - 43 percent, with 7 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein; Ohio - Clinton at 44 percent to Trump's 42 percent, with Johnson at 8 percent and Stein at 3 percent; Pennsylvania - Clinton tops Trump 48 - 39 percent with 7 percent for Johnson and 3 percent for Stein.
(Excerpt) Read more at qu.edu ...
If the idiot legislature would have went for proportional voting based on EV going to districts which they could have easily done when they had the govenor, house, and senate a few years back all of this talk would be moot
Statewide PA politics is controlled, unless it’s a watershed election. District proportional voting would have solved everything. We, Pa continue to be controlled by Philly and Pitt. It disgusts me!!!!!!!!!!
2012: zero 52%, Romney 47%.
So if turnout up slightly on the R side and down slightly on the D side will win it for the Donald.
PA is Plausible.
I think I can answer that.
Pollsters call me. I hang up.
Why? Because whom I plan to vote for is none of their business.
The pollsters make their calls during the day. Usually it is the unemployed who are home during the day to get these calls. Liberals LIKE to answer phone polls. It feeds their ego to believe that someone CARES what they think.
So, you have those on welfare and liberals who like answering polls who make up the results of the polls.
In the 1980 election, they knew they were going to win big when the media pundits still said it was too close to call and others even had Carter a few points ahead on October 28, 1980, the day of the final debate.
In 1984, the big media talking point was that Reagan had pulled a few points ahead while Withlin's group had him winning 45 states for sure, four were competitive and only one (Minnesota) has Mondale slightly ahead.
One election eve, the Reagan's boarded Air Force 1 to return to California, vote and await the returns. Wirthlin told him that the local GOP Chairman in Rochester, Minnesota wanted to know if he'd be willing to make a brief campaign stop at the airport there because the local candidates could use some help in time for the 10 o'clock news.
Reagan agreed and received an enthusiastic welcome. A change of less than 3000 votes would have flipped Minnesota and given him the first ever 50 state sweep, though not a unanimous vote in the electoral college due to DC. George Washington alone holds that honor.
These are actually decent numbers for Trump in Florida and Ohio, especially in the 4-way race. PA isn’t looking good right now but that can change.
One more mass casualty Jihadi attack on US soil and these numbers will reverse VERY quickly.
perhaps...hopefully, that won’t have to be the mechanism to put Trump in the lead...
An excellent chance? Based on what? The coffee grounds? The data and the fact that no Republican has carried Pennsylvania since 1988 indicate otherwise. Positive thinking is not a substitute for reality.
What if our troops threw down their arms in the Battle of the Bulge and retreated because they felt that Hitler had a superior force that could not be beaten?
Um well that would have been dumb because after the first week the Germans were heavily outnumbered. It was a last ditch kamikaze offensive by the Wermacht just five months before the end of the War. You seem to want Trump to make kamikaze attacks on states he has no chance of winning.
So if turnout up slightly on the R side and down slightly on the D side will win it for the Donald.
you’re forgetting about the changing demographics, such as the increasing women participation, and the inevitable
erosion of the college educated vote...the blue collar white vote must turn out in PA this election at least ten points higher than 2012...
thanx for posting ... direct to the source.
Thanks for sharing. Appreciate learning of your experience and insight. I voted for Reagan both times (my first two general elections) I am 56 and was a lifelong democrat of 38 years until Trump compelled me to switch to GOP in order to vote for him April 26 in my Maryland primary.
I believe Trump is the closest blue collar working class republican since The Gipper. I just pray that Trump garners comparable support come November 8!!!
I am done coming to these Trump Poll threads! I’m beginning to believe these are posted to discourage us...NOTHINGH ELSE!
To those who post these ad nauseam, do you really think you’re helping us?
I’m better off watching MSNBC or CNN.
There are a lot of details in this book which were absolutely new to me even though I lived through that era.
PA is a tease. Every election, it appears that PA might lean toward the Republicans, but on election day, the state pulls their lever for the Democrats.
Whores stay whores.
Name one time these polls have gone the wrong way against a Republican. Every time they are off 10% towards the Dem. If it were random it would happen both ways.
Pray America wakes
I lie to pollsters............
I’m with you pal.
Hey thanks. BTW I don’t buy it as I think it is just wishful thinking. Primary results don’t tell us much as there is crossover voting and gamemanship going on. It is still early yet but as it gets closer to election day Trump will need to be ahead in the polls for a tie just to offset dem dirty tricks.
Once again registered voters rather than likely. Throw it away.
They are the mushy middle.
All it takes is one terrorist attack, and the whole election changes.
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