Posted on 10/16/2016 6:59:15 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 16.3% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point.
10/16/16: REPs - 198,674, DEMs - 193,610 lead of 5,064 for REPs, 41.5% to 40.5%
10/15/16: REPs - 169,862, DEMs - 163,598 lead of 6,264 for REPs, 41.8% to 40.3%
10/14/16: REPs - 130,758, DEMs - 124,773 lead of 5,985 for REPs, 42.0% to 40.1%
10/13/16: REPs - 83,646, DEMs - 77,817 lead of 5,829 for REPs, 42.4% to 39.5%
10/12/16: REPs - 43,358, DEMs - 40,049 lead of 3,303 for REPs, 42.6% to 39.4%
10/11/16: REPs - 21,016, DEMs - 18,419 lead of 2,597 for REPs, 43.4% to 38.1%
10/10/16: REPs - 14,058, DEMs - 11,054 lead of 3,004 for REPs, 45.4% to 35.7%
10/09/16: REPs - 13,338, DEMs - 9,659, lead of 3,679 for REPs, 46.9% to 33.9%
10/07/16: REPs - 5,085, DEMs - 3,490, lead of 1,595 for REPs
10/06/16: REPs - 4,163, DEMs - 2,738, lead of 1,425 for REPs
For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots plus in-person early voting):
10/16/16: REPs - 16,642, DEMs - 20,073, lead of 3,431 for DEMs
10/15/16: REPs - 16,643, DEMs - 20,073, lead of 3,430 for DEMs
10/14/16: REPs - 12,937, DEMs - 15,764, lead of 2,827 for DEMs
10/13/16: REPs - 9,033, DEMs - 10,964, lead of 1,931 for DEMs
10/12/16: REPs - 3,778, DEMs - 4,403, lead of 625 for DEMs
10/11/16: REPs - 405, DEMs - 341, lead of 64 for REPs
So far in 2016, 16.69% of REP ballots have been returned and 16.87% of DEM ballots have been returned.
I'm predicting 78% of REP absentee ballots are returned and accepted and 76% of DEM absentee ballots are returned and accepted. Based on those assumptions, I'm predicting REP lead in returned and accepted absentee ballots by 56,241. Prediction will be updated daily.
These numbers are going to have to improve.
Bear in mind a returned ballot is not an actual vote for Hillary or Trump...
It’s just a designation of the party...
Who knows how many cross over votes are in the mix or cast no vote for either.
My guess some dems voted for Trump and very few rep voted for Hillary.
Not looking very good there
Don’t Independents vote absentee? Many new Trump voters are against both parties and register Independent. They should be included in these counts.
This means NOTHING many Dems are voting Trump!!!!
I’ve been worried about these numbers for awhile. Why isn’t the enthusiasm gap showing up?
Other parties: 13,446 absentee ballots returned
Independents: 72,182 absentee ballots returned
It does seem that DEMs who voted in in-person early voting or on election day in 2012 are now doing so via absentee ballot (vote-by-mail) in 2016.
In 2012, REPs won absentee voting by 79,000. Then DEMs took the lead with in-person voting.
I’m guessing this year, the DEMs don’t have as large as a margin in in-person early voting which starts on Oct. 24th.
I am guessing that the DEMS are filing absentee ballots post haste, and that a close examination shows that many of the ballots returned are from the zombie nation that inhabits DEM presidential voters.
When do military absentee ballots start to arrive?
I hope what you’re saying is beneficial to Trump, because these numbers look horrible so far.
We are in the lead and the lead will widen as more returns come in.
Doesn't matter much they rarely count them.
Military ballots have started arriving and will continue coming in through election day.
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