Posted on 10/23/2016 10:11:15 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
Uneven Early Voting Become a Political Science Experiment.
In 2012, well more than half of all voters in battleground states Florida and North Carolina cast their ballots before Election Day. In Florida, 56 percent of the electorate in the 2012 presidential race voted early and in North Carolina nearly 61 percent did the same. More Democrats than Republicans voted early in 2012 in both of these critical battleground states.
As of October 21st, more Republicans than Democrats have cast ballots in Florida and North Carolina.
In Florida, where in-person early voting begins in some counties beginning October 24th, Republicans currently have cast 2 percent more ballots than Democrats. In North Carolina, where in person early voting started on October 20th, Republicans hold a 5 percent advantage in the number of ballots cast according to analysis by the NBC News Data Analytics Lab using voter file data provided by TargetSmart.
Promising for what it’s worth.
I hope this indicates a good turnout for Trump in FL and NC.
Common, True Americans! Vote! Vote! Vote! Vote!
If you are not sure, Trump it!
We’re supposed to believe Hillary is cracking 50% and yet Rs are leading early voting in FL and NC?
I have to bawl in laughter when the media says R vote is being tested.
Talk about outright desperation.
When did North Carolina become an official “battleground state?” Media’s only calling it that because Hellary asked them to. Obama in 2008 won it by 1/3rd of a percent. Other than, it hasn’t gone Democrat in 40 years.
Looks good. I expect Trump to easily win FL and NC.
Won’t be close. Ds aren’t turning out for Hillary in the numbers rigged polls say they should be.
Of course not and Wikileaks and Vertas have just gotten warmed up. The bunker busters are yet to come. We may see the Roaches scurrying for cover BEFORE the election! I can just see it now, “Julie Pace, in Brazil, for the AP.”
Ah early voting, the tactic to see how many votes needed to push the d-rats over the finish line.
Really think this corrupt machine, aka American Gubmint, is going to let Trump win?
It’s not the votes that count......
In person voting (which is ~60% of the vote, 75%+ for Ds) just started Thursday in NC. So far D turnout is down 10, R turnout is down 6, and Indies are up 20%+ and skewing nicely male/white and Black voters are trending over 10% below 2012. Absentee ballots for Republicans are running behind although Independents are running well ahead. Absentee ballots skew Republican, but are a very small % of the total votes cast.
Research Triangle Park/Duke/Chapel Hill has been bringing in yankees and their yankee political predilections for years. Probably at a tipping point now. Could see it over the last two or three election cycles.
Ah early voting, the tactic to see how many votes needed to push the d-rats over the finish line.
Really think this corrupt machine, aka American Gubmint, is going to let Trump win?
It’s not the votes that count......
Exactly! I do not like early voting. It just gives the fraudsters more time to monkey with the results.
If they’re not bothered to vote when its most convenient, they won’t show up November 8.
Your hypothesis is bunk in an era when voting is as easy as possible.
No need to wait.
So what are you saying? There’s no need to wait to fix the results?
And there’s NO benefit to the corruptocrats in knowing any results ahead of time?
Wouldn’t this trend hold for Election Day voting? Or does one party tend to vote early more than another?
Most people have already voted.
All the polls that show massive D+ numbers for Hillary are NOWHERE close to reality.
Since they aren’t coming out now to vote for her, when?
It doesn’t make sense they wouldn’t crawl over broken glass to vote for her.
Keep in mind Obama led in early voting - and won.
I like our chances.
Obama led early voting in FL and NC in 2008.
He won both states on Election Day.
As we are fond of saying here on FR, the trend is your friend.
The only information that can be known now is how many registered Repubs, Dems or Indies: a) requested mail ballots, b) returned ballots, or c) voted early. We do not know ahead of the election how people voted. I am optimistic that many Dems and Indies are voting for Trump and most Repubs will eventually vote for him.
No, Joshua is correct.
There are few poll watchers during a month of early voters.
If they have multiple false registrations on the rolls, theoretically one guy could drive around all month voting again and again and again. NC allow aliens to have a drivers license.
Its not breaking for Hillary.
I never believed MSM turnout model would be like 2012.
It isn’t and don’t look for them to revisit their assumption.
Early voting is a good sign.
Things won’t change a lot on Election Day.
Four years ago, when Mitt lost FL in early voting, it was all over.
I remember how Karl Rove insisted some votes out there would turn things around.
Didn’t happen.
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