Only flaw I see is the D +7 turnout assumption.
It will probably be way less than that and it isn’t 2012.
Hillary is nowhere as popular or as likable as Obama was.
It’s the mathematically/statistical method of their polling. Something about having non-binary vote tabulations. That really goes against the norm. I am not saying it’s wrong. It’s just very hard to pin down.
Where do you see that? I am trying to find the internal breakdown for this poll.
I know I saw the D+7 somewhere, but I can’t seem to re-find it. I’ve had people asking me about it too, but for the life of me, arg.