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Long story short:

Early voting results vs 2012: Dems -15,809
Reps +124,896
Unaffiliated +239,798

140k net swing for Rep (125 minus -15k) is approx 3% of the vote. Add that to Romney's 2% win and you have a Trump lead of 5%. IF Trump wins indies by the same % in NC that Romney did, that would be an additional 36k net Trump votes or 0.8% of vote. Trump still looks like he's cruising to a 5-7% victory in NC unless day of voting is drastically different than 2012 or indies are going for HRC (the 8 polls I've seen have Trump winning Indies by 7% to 19% in NC with a lot of undecided).

1 posted on 11/06/2016 7:32:58 AM PST by rb22982
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To: rb22982

Lots of good stuff all around to keep the trolls away for the rest of the election.


2 posted on 11/06/2016 7:38:36 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: rb22982
But...but....Chris Mathews is on Fox and they just showed a new poll showing that "Clinton's national lead widens...."

The folks so far have been very "fair and balanced and had several solid Trump supporters on with Mathews being the first to appear that has his head up Hilly's stinky butt.

Trey Gowdy was on explaining how we need an independent investigator with Lynch and her cronies recusing themselves if we are to regain any faith in the DOJ/system. He also explained that the Congress is not legally allowed to appoint a prosecutor or bring charges for this and they need the People to make themselves heard.

He said that Hillary will come in under a dark cloud (if the worst happens on Tuesday) and will not be allowed to do what she intends to do.

Many here pissed at him for not managing to sink her but I've always believed he did what he could legally do and is as frustrated as we are.

3 posted on 11/06/2016 7:39:27 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: rb22982

Plus Registered Democrats are not necessarily Clinton voters. Ever hear of Reagan Democrats? They’re back!


4 posted on 11/06/2016 7:40:07 AM PST by Bubba_Leroy (Never Hillary)
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To: rb22982

Don’t forget about the secret Dem votes for Trump,a 2% skew by most calculations


5 posted on 11/06/2016 7:42:20 AM PST by Hildy ("The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those that speak it." Orwell)
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To: rb22982

So is Tennessee’s record early voting. Course the blue counties are going the Witch. http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/local/story/2016/nov/05/early-voter-numbers-top-tennessee-hamiltcount/396220/


14 posted on 11/06/2016 8:27:39 AM PST by GailA (Ret. SCPO wife: A politician that won't keep his word to Veterans/Military won't keep them to You!)
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To: rb22982

I voted on the first Thursday afternoon or early voting in North Carolina and I answered the same thing the last three elections all 2 years apart the majority of people in line at that voting station for black this year it was like a 60-40 split of white and black in previous years it was pretty noisy in line it was like a Revival this year nobody was talking dead silence the gravity of the situation is not lost on the voteroad


31 posted on 11/06/2016 6:28:48 PM PST by Jumper
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To: rb22982

I voted on the first Thursday afternoon or early voting in North Carolina and I answered the same thing the last three elections all 2 years apart the majority of people in line at that voting station for black this year it was like a 60-40 split of white and black in previous years it was pretty noisy in line it was like a Revival this year nobody was talking dead silence the gravity of the situation is not lost on the voteroad


32 posted on 11/06/2016 6:28:48 PM PST by Jumper
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