Posted on 11/07/2016 5:55:13 PM PST by Alter Kaker
These Breitbart/Gravis five swing state polls show a nation in flux as America’s 2016 presidential election ends Tuesday night.
Virginia
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads her GOP rival Donald Trump with 47 percent to 42 percent for the New York City developer in the battle for Virginia’s 13 electoral votes, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Nov. 1 through Nov. 4 with 1,362 registered voters there.
The poll carries a 2.7 margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.
Libertarian Gary Johnson has the support of four percent of the poll participants with Green Party nominee the choice of one percent.
The voters have similar feelings for the two major candidates, 34 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Clinton and 26 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Trump. Forty-six percent had a strongly unfavorable opinion of Clinton with 48 percent for Trump.
Fifty-five percent said the country was going in the wrong direction to the 36 percent of Virginia voters who said the country was going in the right direction.
Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success, 42 percent said it was not.
Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters said they wanted the next president to change the polices of the Obama administration, 42 percent said those policies should continue.
Republican Mitt Romney lost Virginia to Obama in the 2012 presidential election with 47 percent of the vote to the president’s 51 percent.
The Virginia poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Call Trump’s HQ.
Now, you’re dismissed.
don’t know what we’re arguing. What was the worse state estimate by other pollsters. Perhaps ABC had Minnestota off by 7%. Or WSJ had Alabama wrong by 7%.
This is about statistics or systemics. I am sure there are plenty of incorrect states by 2012 pollsters, whose systemics didn’t change.
In 2012 we all thought the polls were wrong because we assumed the turnout would be the same as of 2010. Now we know better and we compare this year with 2012
I am reading the Virigina data and a few things make no sense to me.
Question 6: Country going on right or wrong track: Wrong 55% Right 36%
Question 8: Do you want the next President to continue Obama's policies or change direction and pursue new policies: Continue 42% Change 53%
Concern over Clinton scandals affecting her Presidency:
Very concerned 47%
Concerned 14%
Not very concerned 20%
Not concerned 8%
Question 19 asks what is riskier, electing someone with experience but who will not bring much change and continue the policies as they exist, or electing someone who will bring change yet has no experience and has few ties to the establishment.
Electing someone who will bring change 49%
Electing someone who will generally continue 36%
So let me get this straight. A majority believe the country is going on the wrong track. A majority want to change direction from Obama's policies. Yet, nearly half view changing as risky and most voters would rather go with Clinton?
Question 20 asks how concerned regarding the southern border.
Very concerned 44%
Somewhat concerned 23%
Not concerned 25%
So 67% have some degree of concern, yet most voters want to go with Clinton?
Question 20 Do you approve/disapprove with Clinton wanting to increase the number of Syrian refugees?
Disapprove 53%
Approve 34%
So a majority are against Hillary bringing in more refugees, yet most voters are going to support Clinton?
Question 22 Obamacare a success?
No 55%
Yes 36%
Obamacare has been a disaster with rate hikes coming. Yet most voters support Clinton?
Question 25 asks if this election is the best chance to take back the government (away from the DC elites) and change course.
Strongly agree 47%
Somewhat agree 16%
Somewhat/Strongly disagree 33%
So 63% of Viriginians agree that power should be taken away from the elites, yet Hillary is leading Virginia?
52% believe the media is pro-Clinton.
66% believe if Hillary wins, so will the elite and special interests
59% believe if Trump wins, the elite and special interests will lose
Yet somehow Hillary is ahead in Virginia
Question 30. How likely do you think the Clintons were selling influence to foreign governments and other individual donors?
Strongly agree 45%
Somewhat agree 9%
Somewhat disagree 10%
Strongly disagree 30%
So 54% to 40% believe the Clintons were selling influence, yet a majority of Virginians still support her
I don't get it. What am I missing here?
I forgot to add that in spite of 61% of Virginians expressing concern over Hillary’s scandals, that a majority will still vote for her. Makes no sense.
We’ll see if they do or not. Time will tell.
That sure sounds like Gravis cooking their top line numbers for Hellary.
- - - - -
“Bill Mitchell Verified account
;@mitchellvii
Bill Mitchell Retweeted Political Polls
If these are anything like the Gravis CO poll, they WILDLY oversample Dems. In Co it was D+13”
https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/795815965342703616
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It’s about R +1 in Colorado now after yesterday’s numbers. Off by 14%.
In 2012 the D/R/I for CO was 34/29/37. D+5.
Spoke with Team Trump. Confidence level of victory? 80? 90?
"100%" No question they think they have the EC.
What’s the number? They aren’t going to let me speak with the guy who is supplying you with info. What’s his name? I’ll ask. I’m on your side. I simply want to know the real validity of the information you’re spreading. No need to get so defensive.
That’s ok. You don’t believe me, and he certainly wouldn’t talk to you.
We’ll see if I’m right tomorrow.
Yeah I’ve seen the no nonsense internal Trump polls thanks to the little birdie connection with the Trump campaign. They’re going to be a few blue states that Trump likely will take that will surprise many here and there.
Probably because Virginia’s Obamacare new costs barely went up, unlike the sacking everyone else took.
Coincidence?
I doubt it.
That reply tells me you’ve got nothing.
Why are you so willing to accept what they tell you when they’ve been dead wrong the last two elections? They’re manipulating you and you don’t see it. Either that, or their internal polling and whatnot is seriously inferior.
Everyone needs take a breather, getting sort of tense in here. Everyone is sort of uptight because these are the last polls to float in. As the others have attested to above...something really really does not seem right about these. Not sure why Briebart would even be affiliated with them. Polls are all over the place on both sides. Once again turnout will be the key, and Trump needs just a few states to squeak by.
If you REALLY READ what the people said when polled there is NO WAY they would vote HELLARY!!! I mean 55% do NOT LIKE Obammie policies, 55% think the country is going in the wrong direction YET Hillary is WINNING pure BS!!!!!
VERY GOOD POST, people YOU HAVE TO READ how the people actually responded to the questions!!! The poll numbers make NO SENSE as overall HELLARY WIN!!!! NO WAY!!!!
I appreciate your response. I’m not tense. Just wanted to know a few things. I want to know if the guy I’m posting with is getting legit numbers or is being sold a cheerleading line of info.
Oh, and beat ‘bammer. We got screwed on a missed holding on Hurts’ TD run last Saturday.
LS has a ton of well deserved credibility here on FR, not simply because he has inside intel, but because his reports make sense.
I, for one, hang on his every word near the end of an election. In fact, I have a ‘bookmark’ on my iPhone so that when I open FR, I get a summary of his recent comments.
People on FR can think for themselves and decide who to listen to. We don’t need you to protect us from LS posting malpractice.
What is the credibility based upon? I’d advise against hanging on his every word as you stated. Take what he says along with every other source of info and then decide. He has not been correct in a decade.
Glad I didn’t click on that one. What a joke.
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