I don’t dispute your reckoning about election prognostication. My ONLY qualifier is how early and how consistently were they able to predict a “win?”
It makes no difference to me if they or anyone else realizes their credibility and future earnings are at stake and finally begin to converge on the answer they knew all along.
It is extremely important to not only recognize their final solution per se, but also the understand WHEN that happened and how long they have been “telling the truth.”
Rasmussen had the race tight the entire month at the end. The person I was responding to called this Reuters. Rasmussen != Reuters.