Which is why it’s great news that since the election the GOP registrations in 12/14 battleground states have SOARED relative to Ds, and that right now Trump would win with 10-20 more electoral votes than in 2016.
As of today, given new registrations, he’d win NH, MN, and likely NM with NV and ME right on the cusp. And this is assuming he’s made NO new converts—which is utterly silly.
I challenge people to do this all the time. How many Trump voters do you know who have deserted him? (Me? 0-—and I speak to GOP groups all around the Southwest, hundreds. Not one, ever).
Now, how many Hillary voters do you know who now like Trump?
Me: 1.
I have yet to find anyone who answers anything other than zero for question one, and MANY who have positive numbers for question two.
Polls absolutely don’t get this cause they are still in 2016 D/R identification mold. They were wrong then, but are even more in error now because of the . . . voter registration changes.
Please remember one thing. Hillary was a great help in getting Trump elected. Had Biden run, it would have been a real problem. The problem for us would have been, among all the MOR voters, no one “hated” Joe.
I agree, the Trump choice is still operative for most Republicans. But remember, the base does not decide elections. The MOR voters do.... and they are unhappy and afraid. The RCP at 38%, a negative 16, even after the Korea bump, is not good. With an assumed base of 30 to 35, that gives him only a 3 to 8 among the MOR.
I hate these facts, but facts are facts.
This can be fixed, but it will not fix itself.