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To: olezip
How many Democrat seats are at a high level of risk to switch to Republican?

None. He lists two as toss-ups and a couple as only tilting Democrat. Three issues are apparently feeding the chance of Democrat pickups. The first is the tax bill and what the loss of the SALT deduction does to Republicans in Illinois, Pennsylvania, New York, California, and New Jersey. The second is the Pennsylvania redistricting. And the third are the large number of retirements removing any advantage an incumbent might have. On the other hand the election is over seven months away. A lot can happen in that time.

9 posted on 03/22/2018 8:59:45 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: DoodleDawg

The fourth issue feeding the chance of Democrat pickups is that the GOP has so badly damaged their credibility as a political party that even many voters in their own base will stay home.


10 posted on 03/22/2018 9:08:12 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I saw a werewolf drinking a pina colada at Trader Vic's.")
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