Posted on 09/09/2018 8:01:18 AM PDT by NautiNurse
September 10 is the statistical peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season, and the conga line of storms dancing across the Atlantic is not disappointing historical data. The Governors of NC and SC have declared states of emergency for a potential major hurricane landfall, while Hurricane Florence is slowly creeping westward. Florence is predicted to increase forward motion and intensity Monday. Hurricanes Hazel (1954) and Hugo (1989) are two notorious major hurricanes to make landfall in NC and SC, respectively. North Carolina has prior experience with "F" named hurricanes. Hurricanes Fran (1996) and Floyd (1999) caused widespread flooding and damage in the Tar Heel state.
The NHC has been issuing Public Advisories for Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here.
Isaac is a small storm. Isaac is predicted to steadily strengthen during the next few days as the storm remains over warm waters and in a low wind shear environment in the short term. The NHC predicts Isaac will reach hurricane status within 2 days.
Helene is expected to reach hurricane status in the short term. However, Helene is not anticipated to threaten U.S. interests. The forecast track turns north into the mid-Atlantic.
Click on the images below to enlarge
I just found this:
https://grist.org/article/north-carolina-sized-hurricane-florence-makes-its-way-to-north-carolina/
Pray for the folks in this storm’s path.
It’s got to be the pattern we’ve been, pretty much all summer. Hope you get rain soon.
http://surfchex.com/cams/folly-beach-north-web-cam/
Great selection of webcams from the Wilmington/Wrightville Beach area. Beautiful views right now.
Levi at Tropical Tidbits just posted his evening update:
https://www.youtube.com/user/Meridionaljet/videos
Just wanted to say what a great job you have done one this thread. Your updates, your information, and the way you managed all the posts. Thanks.
So it may hit North Carolina, go south, hit South Carolina, then into Georgia, and then up through Tennesee around the western part of North Carolina?
That is amazing Diana. Thanks for posting. I just ran it through from Wed to Monday.
That model (and I love Windy.com) shows the storm being driven south by this wall of high pressure above it - and it hits South Carolina and Georgia, and tears back up into Western NC.
Is that the Euro.
Brock Long: "Unfortunately I believe there's quite a bit of certainty in the track forecast because the forward speed is picking up, it's getting faster and when system forecasts do that it becomes a lot more accurate"
"You're FIRED!"
:o)
Interesting!
Not sure if that is the Euro, but it is almost identical to the 12Z run of the Euro.
Thanks. The first two quotes in post #509 of the FEMA meeting with Trump today are verbatim.
Dittos to that, SP!
I’m going to give this thread a GA FReeper ping because some of the spaghetti models have this thing heading west into North Georgia / Atlanta.
I’d say check your preps, fill your cars and gas cans, etc. And keep an eye on weather.
Link to one of the spaghetti model maps that currently shows some models with big GA impacts:
https://apps.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_06_ens.gif
I can’t have spaghetti.
Too many carbs.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
occurs at the time of high tide...
Cape Fear to Cape Lookout, including the Neuse and Pamlico
Rivers...9-13 ft
North Myrtle Beach to Cape Fear...6-9 ft
Cape Lookout to Ocracoke Inlet...6-9 ft
South Santee River to North Myrtle Beach...4-6 ft
Ocracoke Inlet to North Carolina/Virginia Border...4-6 ft
Edisto Beach to South Santee River...2-4 ft
Are you in keto? How much weight have you lost?
Thinking of having a look at all that. Would be tough, I like bread and pizza too much.
< /off topic>
Kinda, if you call Type II Diabetes 'keto'. :)
How much weight have you lost?
Metformin makes me want to lose weight; insulin makes me want to gain it.
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