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Posted on 08/28/2019 1:34:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Dorian battered St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands, and brushing Puerto Rico. Taking aim at the Florida Atlantic Coastline, Hurricane Dorian is projected to be a major hurricane (Category 3) at landfall.
Satellite Imagery Dorian
NHC Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Florida Radar Loop (with storm track overlay)
Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay
Just wait til the farm report comes out and hog futures!
We’ll be swarming that thread ha!
BE safe
Still moving west, inch by inch, no northern movement so far.
19 GMT 09/1/2019 26.6 -77.2 185 910 Hurricane
20 GMT 09/1/2019 26.6 -77.3 185 910 Hurricane
21 GMT 09/1/2019 26.6 -77.3 185 910 Hurricane
22 GMT 09/1/2019 26.6 -77.5 185 910 Hurricane
23 GMT 09/1/2019 26.6 -77.6 185 910 Hurricane
00 GMT 09/2/2019 26.6 -77.6 185 915 Hurricane
01 GMT 09/2/2019 26.6 -77.7 185 915 Hurricane
02 GMT 09/2/2019 26.6 -77.8 185 915 Hurricane
I can't even begin to imagine what 220 mph wind gust must be like. I fear a great loss of life in the Bahamas not only from the winds but also from the massive storm surge. While in most hurricanes its the storm surge and flooding that kills the most, but 185 sustained winds with 220 mph wind gusts, I fear it will obliterate all but the most highly enforced buildings. Think of what a tornado does. Add to that massive flooding. :(
When Isabell came through Maryland in 2003 I was living in Baltimore, newly separated from my husband and living alone in a 90-year-old house in NE Baltimore with very big trees all around. I recall at the worst, sustained winds for a few hours of 40 to 50 mph with some 70 to 80 and up to a few 90 to 100 mph gusts.
I was afraid to go upstairs to the bedroom and so slept down stairs along with 3 very nervous cats, in the most central room in the house, the dining room, just in case one of the two very tall pine trees next to the house came crashing down. I didnt sleep at all that night.
All night long I heard big tree branches on the trees on the big hill behind the house, cracking and coming down in the back yard. The house itself, the roof and windows creaked and groaned at times. I heard the two big pine trees next to the house moaning and creaking but they stood. I heard one big crash that the next morning found was a big tree on the hill that came down but missed the house by only a few yards.
Where I lived, Isabell didnt bring much rain but a lot wind and the wind was scary. Amazingly while the power flicked off and on all night, I never lost power. I did lose cable and the land line telephone.
So I was surprised when thinking just because I came through OK and attempted to drive to work the next morning, how many had lost power (so many traffic lights out) and how many roads were closed due to down trees and or downed power lines. What was normally a 30-minute drive to work took me nearly 2 hours.
When I got to work, my office mate called me. She lived along Middle River and the storm surge from Isabell coming up the Chesapeake Bay and tributaries, flooded her house, a near total loss, she lost her house and everything in it but was lucky to have evacuated at the last minute and so lived.
And keep in mind that was just a barely category 1 storm when it came through Baltimore.
I was just a little kid when tropical storm Agnes came through Maryland. Not a big wind storm but I remember all the flooding and destruction.
If you are in an area where they are saying you should evacuate or take precautions, take it seriously. This is not a storm you want to dismiss or ride it out.
And if the storm makes a big turn north and doesnt bring the high winds, you are still likely to experience flooding along the coast and tropical storm force winds. And even if it takes a great big turn out to sea, which I really hope it does, think of it as a drill for a future storm that doesnt.
We do something similar, at our lake place, with a half bottle of water. Freeze, turn upside down....if it’s at the ‘top’ of bottle, we know we lost power, while we were away.
Bingo! But we know, there’s always one or two that know better;)
My gratitude for NN and this thread over the years is endless. It’s kept us sane, laughing, prayerful and informed.
Lots for me to do here in Central Fl. Going g for some sleep, been up since
...since 2 am! Not sure what happened to post.
Fox 35 said the storm is slowing down and that means it is getting ready to turn north because the high is breaking down. The turn should happen in the afternoon tomorrow.
Excellent reminiscences, along with words to the wise .. thanks.
Wise words from experience. Nighttime hurricanes are the worst!
Please get a good night’s sleep!
https://twitter.com/bydawnsd/status/1168247044634501125?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
Tilloo Cay is ‘devastated’.
Which means this nice house is probably toast:
https://www.sothebysrealty.com/eng/sales/detail/180-l-1150-5svfnd/tilloo-pond-tilloo-cay-ab
Im quite late catching up on this info, but thank you for mentioning St. Augustine specifically. I have very dear elderly friends who live there, so your post made me think of them. Now I have to check on them, and make sure theyre ok.
Looked at the listing. That place is likely ‘scrubbed clean’. That 6.9 million dollar house is probably in pieces.
Thanks Nauti
I have heard it referred to as a small speed bump
There isnt enough land mass to affect it much
Not disputing, but Im interested to know how the video footage was transmitted given the destruction. Im not knowledgeable about this kind of thing. Was this via some kind of satellite network vs a ground-based type?
Definitely slowing... Grand Bahama might be the stall-out point while this beast figures out when and how sharply to veer. Models suggesting that it can’t go much further West at all... Florida is hoping that’s right, though it won’t be left unscathed.
still headed west, dropped a millibar to 914.
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