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Coronavirus may infect up to 70% of world's population, expert warns
CBS ^ | 03 02 2020 | Jim Axelrod

Posted on 03/02/2020 5:09:16 PM PST by yesthatjallen

The coronavirus death toll now tops 3,000 worldwide, with nearly 90,000 cases. But even those numbers are nothing compared to what could happen in the months ahead.

CBS News spoke to one of the country's top experts on viruses, Marc Lipsitch from Harvard University, who cautions that 40-70% of the world's population will become infected — and from that number, 1% of people who get symptoms from COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, could die. The virus can spread rapidly and people can transmit it before they know they are infected.

Lipsitch breaks down his findings in this extended conversation with CBS News. The following transcript has been lightly edited for clarity.

Jim Axelrod: So, the number that I think is grabbing a lot of people is this estimate: 40-70% of the world's adult population could be infected.

Marc Lipsitch: Yes.

Axelrod: Accurate?

Lipsitch: That is a projection, so we will find out if it's accurate as things go on. It is the best estimate that I've been able to make based on a combination of the mathematical models that we use to track and predict epidemics.

SNIP

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chat; chatforum; chinavirusinfo; communityspread; coronavirus; covid19; fakenews; sarscov2
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1 posted on 03/02/2020 5:09:16 PM PST by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

Axelrod: 40-70% of the world’s adult population could be infected.

Marc Lipsitch: Yes.

Axelrod: Accurate?

Lipsitch: We hope so.


2 posted on 03/02/2020 5:10:55 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (BLACK LIVES MAGA)
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To: yesthatjallen

We are gonna die
Just not today
https://youtu.be/HD9PvujAnjE


3 posted on 03/02/2020 5:12:42 PM PST by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BB0ndRzaz2o)
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To: yesthatjallen

If 40% to 70% get it, how in the world can the others avoid it?


4 posted on 03/02/2020 5:13:42 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: yesthatjallen

CBS.

All you need to know.


5 posted on 03/02/2020 5:14:15 PM PST by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: unixfox

See BS.


6 posted on 03/02/2020 5:16:25 PM PST by Autonomous User (During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.)
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I bet Marc Lipsitch is a #NeverTRUMPer !

Someone find his social media history!

7 posted on 03/02/2020 5:16:32 PM PST by KavMan
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To: yesthatjallen

...over the next 50 years.


8 posted on 03/02/2020 5:20:21 PM PST by UNGN (i)
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To: yesthatjallen

Trump’s fault.


9 posted on 03/02/2020 5:20:45 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (If you don't recognize that as sarcasm you are dumber than a bag of hammers.)
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To: yesthatjallen

No children have gotten a severe case, and the worst cases are in old coots with other health problems like asthma. So... it’s been nice knowing you guys. ;-)


10 posted on 03/02/2020 5:21:05 PM PST by Pining_4_TX ("There are no solutions. There are only trade-offs." ~ Thomas Sowell)
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To: yesthatjallen

Ping


11 posted on 03/02/2020 5:21:15 PM PST by zeestephen
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To: yesthatjallen

Of course CBS will take the word of this one Harvard epidemiologist as gospel. There’s been no consensus among the world’s virologists, epidemiologists and other health scientists for these kinds of numbers, but that won’t stop CBS and the rest of the MSM from making Professor Lipsitch a foremost authority on the subject of the coronavirus!


12 posted on 03/02/2020 5:22:26 PM PST by dowcaet
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To: zeestephen

The number of new Cases in China dropped to under 200 , and has been trending down a few days now.... they even closed one of those large temporary hospitals over the weekend, due to lack of patients.


13 posted on 03/02/2020 5:23:51 PM PST by gswilder
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To: yesthatjallen
...what could happen in the months ahead

And a massive solar flare could toast one side of the earth in the months ahead... Possible, not probable.

14 posted on 03/02/2020 5:24:36 PM PST by DUMBGRUNT
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To: yesthatjallen

I’ll go on record right now and say:

COVID-19 CASES ARE GOING TO BE DROPPING ON THE NEXT MONTH...JUST LIKE FLU CASES WILL BE DROPPING!


15 posted on 03/02/2020 5:27:04 PM PST by Artcore (Trump 2020!)
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To: yesthatjallen

This Harvard guy’s estimate has already been in the media (other sources, including Tucker Carlson’s show last week) for well over a week.

SeeBS is not the only one to be touting his estimate. In fact, I just saw him again on FNC this afternoon.


16 posted on 03/02/2020 5:28:20 PM PST by jstolzen
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To: Artcore
COVID-19 CASES ARE GOING TO BE DROPPING ON THE NEXT MONTH...JUST LIKE FLU CASES WILL BE DROPPING!

While I absolutely hope you are right, I've been following this pretty closely and would say it's between "highly unlikely" and "zero" that this will drop in the next month. In fact, we're likely to go from ~100 cases today to thousands in the next week or two..and beyond that, Katie bar the door.

17 posted on 03/02/2020 5:29:38 PM PST by jstolzen
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To: Jeff Chandler

Certainly more will be suffering from nervous breakdowns and other stress related ailments, thanks to the 24-7 barrage of fake noos around the Kung-Flu


18 posted on 03/02/2020 5:33:01 PM PST by Gasshog (Democrats have done the impossible! They united the GOP behind President Trump.)
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To: Artcore

Yeah, it’s March. The flu doesn’t do well in heat or humidity.


19 posted on 03/02/2020 5:34:12 PM PST by struggle
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To: yesthatjallen

Not all the 90,000 cases are still active. I believe the active cases are about half that number and decreasing. More hype by the MSM.


20 posted on 03/02/2020 5:37:44 PM PST by Ben Mugged (He who lacks the will does not need the ability.)
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