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MinnPost poll finds close race between Biden and Trump in Minnesota
Minnesota Post ^
| Oct. 20, 2020
| Greta Kaul
Posted on 10/21/2020 1:23:58 PM PDT by Zhang Fei
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To: PGalt
Joe Biden and Kamala Harris deserve 0 electoral votes. What did THEY ever do to earn 1?
They have a shot at Delaware.
To: DarthVader
42
posted on
10/21/2020 2:36:38 PM PDT
by
KSCITYBOY
(The media is corrupt)
To: Sans-Culotte
I’m only passing on what I am receiving. The guy that is doing this polling is really good. His primary business is predictive data science where you must be accurate. Remember he is also independent.
43
posted on
10/21/2020 2:37:47 PM PDT
by
DarthVader
(Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues th the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
To: Zhang Fei
D +6 and mid 80s for R support of Trump.
44
posted on
10/21/2020 2:38:47 PM PDT
by
Batescw
To: Luke21
[Is Trump winning anywhere?]
I could be very wrong, but I think the immigrant vote is a sleeper that will swing significantly right. Based on the many cab drivers Ive encountered who were middle income or better in the old country, I expect most arent thrilled with the lockdowns. Its not just a matter of income that can be compensated for with stimulus payments. Scrubbed of politesse, nobody wants to say he went to the land of streets paved with gold to start all over again as a welfare leech. Even if he doesnt make it big, he wants to show he was a man - he did his best, but it wasnt in the cards. This, plus all the immigrant small business owners and kin who have been taken to the cleaners by the Dems via a combo of assistance to rioters and looters (via revolving door apprehensions or just forcing cops to sit on their hands during the mayhem) and lockdowns could lead to an unsampled demo roaring this November. An Iowa college paper had a Bosnian Muslim coed declaring her intent to vote Trump despite disagreeing with him on many issues because her parents own a small business and Democrat policies arent helping them.
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3894272/posts
45
posted on
10/21/2020 2:40:51 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: Batescw
[D +6 and mid 80s for R support of Trump.]
My feeling is that a lot of these polls are wrong because the people doing them are stupid. Not stupid in the sense of not being able to do simple arithmetic, but too dumb to do this accurately. People who could do polls well exist. But they’re working on Wall Street making millions (or more) each and retiring in their 30’s and 40’s. Because unlike political polls, financial polls (i.e. stock and bond analyses) have tens of trillions of dollars riding on their accuracy.
46
posted on
10/21/2020 2:48:11 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: DarthVader
I would love to believe you friend of a friends numbers, if Oregon is competitive, then Mr. Trump gets about 55% and the GOP would likely retake the House and pick up several Senate seats. I would love to believe them, but I dare not.
I cannot and will not do so for the sake of my mental health. Better to be prepared for a tight race and possible loss. However, if this best possible scenario did come to pass, I would quietly bask in my establishment co-workers disappointment and horror.
47
posted on
10/21/2020 2:56:44 PM PDT
by
drop 50 and fire for effect
("Work relentlessly, accomplish much, remain in the background, and be more than you seem.")
To: drop 50 and fire for effect
It’s there nonpartisan and scientific!
48
posted on
10/21/2020 3:02:48 PM PDT
by
DarthVader
(Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues th the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
To: MplsSteve
1. after the first time watching a political TV ad, subsequent runs are ignored ... campaigns are wasting their money ... they only way a bazillion ads will be watched is if a bazillion different AND entertaining ads are produced ... any candidate with a BIG TV ad budget would do better allocating half the money for ad production and half the money for advertising time ...
2. i doubt if campaign junk mail is ever read at all by anyone ...
49
posted on
10/21/2020 3:03:23 PM PDT
by
catnipman
(Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
To: cgbg; DarthVader
“Hard to believe the NJ, OR, VA, CO numbers but I guess we will see.”
there was one other poll that claimed that Gardner and Hickenlooper were tied for Senate; i found that hard to believe, but that’s consistent with DarthVadar’s numbers ...
50
posted on
10/21/2020 3:06:43 PM PDT
by
catnipman
(Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
To: cgbg
“This has made it difficult for Democrats to go door to door and mobilize their base”
actually, a couple of months ago the biden campaign (such as it is) proudly and publicly announced that there would be NO ground game ... that they were going 100% digital and virtual GOTV ...
apparently that didn’t work out too well, and they panicked and tried to cobble together a national ground GOTV campaign in the last couple of weeks, something that the Trump campaign has been building for over four years ...
51
posted on
10/21/2020 3:10:11 PM PDT
by
catnipman
(Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
To: catnipman
[there was one other poll that claimed that Gardner and Hickenlooper were tied for Senate; i found that hard to believe, but thats consistent with DarthVadars numbers ...]
Any small business owner with a storefront who’s witnessed the arson and looting, while Democratic pols either have cops stand by doing nothing or catch and release the perps, is fit to be tied. He’s thinking - that could be my business. My guess is that many of these people will vote Republican despite disagreeing with the GOP on many issues. Trump’s use of chinks and cracks in Federal law to go after the perpetrators of the mayhem and at least lock them up is likely seen as a godsend. And that will swing at least a chunk of vote in favor of the GOP. This Bosnian Muslim coed in Iowa is pro-Trump out of sheer necessity:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3894272/posts
52
posted on
10/21/2020 3:15:18 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: catnipman
“there was one other poll that claimed that Gardner and Hickenlooper were tied for Senate;”
I had predicted three certain GOP senate losses: McSally (AZ); Collins (ME); and Gardner (CO). Possible GOP senate losses: Graham (SC); Ernst (IA). Certain GOP senate pick-ups: AL. Possible GOP pick-up: MI.
If the GOP holds the senate, it will likely be by no more than 2 (i.e., 51-49).
53
posted on
10/21/2020 3:15:29 PM PDT
by
ought-six
(Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
To: shelterguy
He only lost Minnesota by 45,000 votes, 1.5% in 2016. He has given three rallies in Minnesota. The Iron Range has 8 mayors backing Trump. The mining, farming, shipping and manufacturing industries are all backing Trump. The Twin Cities have had riots. How can he be down?
To: Cottonhill
So I have a friend who lives in the American part of the state, the area the Governor said is only full of rocks and cows.
They are really fired up about President Trump. The key is voter turnout. Turnout is historically low out there because they know the zillions of lib idiots in the Twin Cities control everything. Not this time. Trump in a landslide.
To: Zhang Fei
” geography, age, gender, race and partisan identification via advertisements on websites “
Unless they also balanced for education the poll is worthless. The Iron Range miners are only 27% college educated. People most likely to take Internet polls are college educated.
To: shelterguy
Turn those small town counties “deep blood red.”
To: DaxtonBrown
I had predicted three certain GOP senate losses: McSally (AZ); Collins (ME); and Gardner (CO). Possible GOP senate losses: Graham (SC); Ernst (IA). Certain GOP senate pick-ups: AL. Possible GOP pick-up: MI. Trump will drag Graham over the finish line. Honestly, anyone voting for Trump is not going to want a Dem Senator, no matter how sh*tty Graham has been. Period. I think Ernst will likewise win due to Trump winning that state. Much has been written about McSally, and all I will say is she barely lost(or was stolen from) in the 2018 'blue wave'. Again, if Republican turn out in Arizona stays on track like it has in early voting, I think Trump wins the state by roughly the same percentage as last time and pulls McSally over.
To: ought-six
Graham’s not going to lose ...
59
posted on
10/21/2020 3:30:50 PM PDT
by
catnipman
(Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
To: Zhang Fei
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