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‘Democrats Have A Turnout Problem Today’: Leading Elections Expert Live-Reports Dems In Trouble
dailywire.com ^ | 11/8/22 | Hank Berrien

Posted on 11/08/2022 11:35:14 AM PST by cotton1706

Roughly halfway through Election Day on the East Coast, a leading political prognosticator, looking at early precinct voting patterns, concluded that the Democrats were in serious trouble.

Dave Wasserman runs the non-partisan Cook Political Report, and he was watching the data from states on the East Coast and extrapolating from what he had seen by roughly 1 p.m. EST.

“It’s pretty apparent from precinct-level data in VA and county-level data in FL that Democrats have a turnout problem today – one that’s unlikely to be solved in the next six hours,” Wasserman concluded.

Then he got down to brass tacks, examining turnout in swing states such as Virginia and Florida: “Noon turnout reports in VA Beach -—a majority of Rep. Elaine Luria’s (D) Toss Up #VA02 — show most heavily GOP precincts up to 55-60% of ’21 votes cast, vs. 40-45% in most non-white precincts. Total ballots cast skewing much more R than ’20 in many FL counties, esp. Miami-Dade.”

Wasserman cited recent political history to buttress his claims of genuine trouble for Democrats at the ballot box: “In recent years, R voters have generally enjoyed their largest turnout advantage in the first 2-3 hours of EDay voting. So, it’s possible these gaps will narrow – and these are just two states. But, these are just large differentials for Dems to overcome in the next few hours.”

(Excerpt) Read more at dailywire.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bloggers; sidebarabuse
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To: Sacajaweau
There shouldn’t be any known numbers at this time...not even an inkling.

Voter data is updated in real time. So one can see how many registered democrats or republicans have voted (but not how they voted of course).

41 posted on 11/08/2022 12:14:07 PM PST by Rightwing Conspiratr1
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To: cotton1706
“It’s pretty apparent from precinct-level data in VA and county-level data in FL that Democrats have a turnout problem today – one that’s unlikely to be solved in the next six hours,” Wasserman concluded.

A lot can be done in 6 hours - assume nothing. Get your conservative friends and family to the polls and do not relent until they are closed. "Reluctant" and "unenthusiastic" votes count just as much if they get out of the house and vote.

42 posted on 11/08/2022 12:15:08 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
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To: All

Turnout is ALWAYS the excuse that enables avoidance of acceptance of failed ideology.

“We are the majority because all of our positions are just and correct. If we can just get out people out to vote and defeat the evil GOP voter suppression process, that will be proven.”


43 posted on 11/08/2022 12:17:05 PM PST by Owen
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To: cotton1706

These predictions scare me. All I have heard on Fox News, CNN and other news stories is how big this Red Wave is going to be. I have nightmares I will wake up tomorrow with the liberal news media gloating over the Dem performance. ugh


44 posted on 11/08/2022 12:17:33 PM PST by martinidon
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To: cotton1706

Well, they won’t really know how many votes they need to manufacture for several hours, yet, so...


45 posted on 11/08/2022 12:18:36 PM PST by PubliusMM (RKBA; a matter of fact, not opinion. The Dhimmicraps are ALL Traitors. All of them.)
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To: cotton1706

Rats don’t worry about turnout anymore. The have lots of lawyers and mail in ballots.


46 posted on 11/08/2022 12:18:46 PM PST by dforest
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To: cotton1706

There is no turnout problem.

Plenty of votes are already banked in the dead, non-existent and double voter precincts.

159% return in some places.

Watch these “votes” materialize in the week after the election, about 96% will be Democrat party votes.


47 posted on 11/08/2022 12:19:14 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: cotton1706

I saw very few people at the voting location in my rich liberal county this morning.


48 posted on 11/08/2022 12:21:11 PM PST by maro (MAGA!)
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To: cotton1706

Well, if 2020 is an example; Democratic votes arrive at 3AM by the truck load! be patient!


49 posted on 11/08/2022 12:21:49 PM PST by elpadre (W )
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To: chuckee

I hate to admit this - but I would not be able to find Guam on a map.


50 posted on 11/08/2022 12:25:30 PM PST by wareagle7295
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To: Recovering_Democrat

So, no use voting then.


51 posted on 11/08/2022 12:32:19 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself.)
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To: cotton1706

DeSoto Co - North MS, MS1 has had heavy turnout ALL day, so far.

We have NO Gov or Senate race, only 1) House race (which had NO campaigning) 2) a handful of “non-partisan” judicial type race, ALL unopposed and 3) County school board

Heavy Red area that went 61% Trump, 37% Biden in 2020.


52 posted on 11/08/2022 12:35:22 PM PST by A Mississippian (Proud 7th generaion Mississippian)
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To: Sacajaweau

I was voter #254 at my precinct at exactly 10 a.m.

That’s a known number


53 posted on 11/08/2022 12:37:10 PM PST by campaignPete R-CT (I owe, I owe, it's off to work I go ...)
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To: cotton1706

Here are the turnout stats as of 3pm for Manatee County Florida. This includes early voting, mail-in voting, and voting today.

REPUBLICAN-—64%

DEMOCRAT-—52%

NO PARTY AFFILIATION-—40%

I am predicting DeSantis beats Crist by 60 to 40 and the vote spread is 500,000 for the whole state of Florida.


54 posted on 11/08/2022 12:38:10 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: martinidon

“Fear is the mind killer.”

Frank Herbert

Dune

;-)


55 posted on 11/08/2022 12:59:03 PM PST by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
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To: cotton1706

NY gov wants quarantine camps

https://www.stewpeters.com/video/2022/11/ny-gov-moves-to-reinstate-quarantine-camps-wa-health-board-bans-vaxx-injury-data/


56 posted on 11/08/2022 1:03:31 PM PST by combat_boots ( )
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To: cotton1706

A lot of yellow dog Democrats and Republicans just can’t bring themselves to vote for the other party. It means if they’re party’s candidate sucks their solution is to simply not vote at all, or write in Mickey mouse or something. at all.

In all seriousness. I’ve suspected we’d have a very low Democrat turnout this time.


57 posted on 11/08/2022 1:09:22 PM PST by cuban leaf (My prediction: Harris is Spiro Agnew. We'll soon see who becomes Gerald Ford, and our next prez.)
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To: cotton1706

Sounds like he’s starting to cry.
:-)


58 posted on 11/08/2022 1:10:07 PM PST by Zathras
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To: Sacajaweau

Remember, those are just election day totals. The dems own the early and mail-in votes.


59 posted on 11/08/2022 1:27:43 PM PST by ScottinVA
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To: cotton1706

GO VOTE ANYWAY!


60 posted on 11/08/2022 1:31:03 PM PST by Species8472 (Don't celebrate sin)
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