Posted on 03/26/2024 9:04:40 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
President Joe Biden is making inroads on former President Donald Trump’s early polling lead...
(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...
AZ: N=796. TWO-WAY: Trump 48, Biden 43. FIVE-WAY: Trump 43, Biden 37, RFK Jr 12.
GA: N=788. TWO-WAY: Trump 49, Biden 42. FIVE-WAY: Trump 45, Biden 38, RFK Jr 7.
NC: N=699. TWO-WAY: Trump 49, Biden 43. FIVE-WAY: Trump 45, Biden 39, RFK Jr 7.
NV: N=447. TWO-WAY: Trump 46, Biden 44. FIVE-WAY: Trump 42, Biden 36, RFK Jr 11.
MI: N=698. TWO-WAY: Trump 45, Biden 45. FIVE-WAY: Trump 40, Biden 40, RFK Jr 9.
PA: N=807. TWO-WAY: Trump 45, Biden 45. FIVE-WAY: Trump 44, Biden 38, RFK Jr 7.
WI: N=697. TWO-WAY: Trump 45, Biden 46. FIVE-WAY: Trump 41, Biden 39, RFK Jr 10.
Why?
The headline is misleading; it makes it seem like Biden is ahead.
Our media is being paid by the Government to suppress the free expression of independent ideas at this point.
We need to figure out how to destroy the perverse incentives in all of our industries.
This level of incest in all of our industries is destroying our Republic.
Accountability is the disinfectant. The elites abhore it... right up until the moment they are about to be consumed.
Biden Gains Ground
Biden Closes Gap
Biden Economy Improving
Rate Cuts, Stocks Surging
Inflation Receding
Trump Setbacks
Trump Threatens
New Polls, New Polls, New Polls
Etc etc etc
As predictable as the sun rising in the east.
Think I’ll just use real clear politics and see all the polling together.
I thought I’d separate my commentary from simply reporting the results of this set of polls, in this post.
Notice that Trump is well-head (i.e., by more than the so-called MOE) in AZ, GA and NC. Winning these three states, along with the red states, puts Trump on the cusp of winning.
Notice that the five-way moves Trump from tied or behind by 1 point to ahead in several of the states, by as many as 6 points. Please give a sig to put RJK Jr, the Green Weenie, or the Black Nationalist on the ballot.
This poll-taking organization heavily dopes its polls to turn convenience samples into nationally representative samples. Convenience samples are commonplace nowadays, though some poll-takers are more guilty of this sin than others. Plus, there real problems getting Trump voters to take surveys. The hidden Trump vote, or Shy Trumpers, has developed into real bias in polling nowadays. Even if Trump is shown to be behind in the polls, he can still win (as per 2016). In 2020, he way over-performed the polls, just not enough to win.
No wonder the commies want to get rid of RFK jr if he’s in the race trump wins in a landslide
Argh, no Republican can win without MI, PA, or WI, and out of the 3 MI is the most likely followed by PA, and the win has to be over the margin of steal.
In both 2016 and 2020, Trump never led these polls on any kind of consistent basis. Now he’s leading every single one, albeit the gap is narrowing, i.e. regressing to the mean. Mathematically Biden (or more likely Whitmer) needs to win by well over 2% of the “popular vote” to win the electoral college. That’s not happening in any poll I’ve seen this year.
People are voting with their genitalia.
Genitalia matter more than open borders and economic collapse.
Not kidding.
They can win without one of the three, but need Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada and one more miracle state (New Hampshire?). Virginia is lost forever as long as the rich men north of Richmond live there. You are correct, one of the three is mandatory...Wisconsin is probably the best bet
Morning consult is ok, but you have to look at all the other polls to get a better idea. There will be very little movement in these polls overall. It will be a long 7 months but I believe Trump pulls it out.
Also, Trump could conceivably win without the upper rust belt states (269-269 assuming he can win 2nd district of Nebraska which he wan in 2016, now more favorable to Repubs if anything). Most likely a majority of states’ representatives will be R, hence a 51-49 or 52-48 win. Bar the doors for a dem freak-out, election-denying extravaganza.
I almost want to see that happen, but I believe Trump will win at least one of the upper rust belt states. Biden has to sweep all three, a much tougher feat. This isn’t your father’ electoral map.
The two way polls mean NOTHING now that RFK Jr just picked a radical left abortion queer loving woman as his running mate. He will now be a strong 3rd party that will take votes exclusively from Biden.
Setting the scene for The Steal 2.0.
NOT buying these numbers-——
NOVEMBER a long way off
INVADERS are impacting everywhere. People have had enough.
rich men north of Richmond
They know which side of their bread is buttered
I don’t believe a word of it.
Fake polls will abound to try to discourage us. Don’t buy in.
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