In a high turnout presidential election, the abortion issue will have far less impact than in the lower turnout midterms. It will give Biden a a 1 point boost.
If we can believe polls, this referendum to liberalize Florida abortion law could pass.
There is probably an overlap between Trump supporters, and those who support liberalization of abortion laws.
Trump is odds on favorite to carry Florida, yet there is strong sentiment in Florida to get rid of the six week abortion ban.
Then again, remember, with Roe vs. Wade overturned, it’s up to the people of each state.