Posted on 04/05/2024 8:22:10 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
Donald Trump holds a slight lead over Joe Biden in the critical battleground state of Michigan, according to the Wolverine State Poll for April 2024.
(Excerpt) Read more at bigdatapoll.com ...
We’re in a strange place politically.
I’d argue that more black people will vote for Trump and, just as important, WON’T be voting for Biden.
That said, the D’s will make this all about abortion and Trumps ‘sexual abusiveness’. Many women, especially young, will vote against Trump - not FOR Biden.
Then we have young men, of all demographics, I believe they’re tired of ‘woke’ and are becoming more red pilled - voting Trump.
Then there’s our governor and her SoS, along with the well-oiled voting machine - with at least 10’s of thousands of voting registrations on the roll that shouldn’t be.
The State at large is solidly red - Wayne County is a problem, they’re always last to report once everyone else is done...of course.
I’m curious how many Freeper’s are in Michigan.
The steal is already in, and the American people better be ready to storm the bastille
Ge0, the F&M poll is the only poll I have seen this year in in which including JFK Jr INCREASES the vote for either Biden or Trump. This screwy result isn’t “explained” by saying the sample skewed Democrat. But, thanks for playing the game.
đ. Did you miss hillary stating this will be the first (s)election where AI plays a roll? DOH! STFU hillary, you’ll give it away.
Yahoo Finance.com
Rick Newman·Senior Columnist
Fri, Apr 5, 2024
Biden is getting antsy about rising gas prices
Seems to have internal approval rating linked to gas prices
It’s not part of his campaign pitch, but President Joe Biden is determined to keep a lid on gas prices as he runs for reelection. Gasoline prices have been drifting upward this year, reminding voters of one of Biden’s biggest liabilities.
While Biden doesn’t have to buy his own gas as president, he was still deeply stung by the run-up in prices in 2022. Biden’s approval rating sank as prices for gas and many other things were spiking, and it has never recovered. Gas prices moderated in 2023, but they’re now drifting back up, from around $3.20 per gallon at the beginning of January to about $3.60 now.
A recent run-up in oil prices and rising tensions in the Middle East suggest gasoline could get pricier still. Biden doesn’t want to call attention to rising energy costs, but he’s taking several behind-the-scenes steps to help keep oil supplies abundant and make sure gasoline doesn’t hit the touchy $4 per gallon mark.
The Department of Energy, for instance, recently canceled two major purchases of oil for the US strategic Reserve, citing high prices. Biden released about 230 million barrels of oil from the reserve in 2022 and 2023, after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent prices soaring and gasoline peaked at $5 per gallon. The DOE began slowly refilling the reserve last summer.
With WTI crude oil, the US benchmark, trading at around $87 per barrel, the DOE said it was protecting “the taxpayerâs interest” by declining to buy oil above its target price of $79. But there might be other reasons.
“The Department may have decided it does not want to risk driving prices any higher,” ClearView Energy Partners surmised in an April 3 analysis. Any new demand, whether from the government or the private sector, puts upward pressure on prices, and itâs clearly not in Bidenâs interest to do that.
The Biden administration has also leaned on Ukraine to curtail its new campaign to attack oil refineries deep inside Russia. More than two years into the war, Ukraine has finally developed weapons with the range to attack infrastructure inside Russia, just as Russia is doing in Ukraine. Itâs a legitimate wartime tactic meant to damage the fuel supplies Russia needs to wage war, and also to crimp one of the main sources of Russian revenue.
But Washington, Ukraine’s supposed ally, has beseeched Ukraine to stop the attacks out of fear that the loss of Russian petroleum products on global markets could raise prices for Americans.
Graphs at web sites
What a snotty reply. Have a great day.
I’m in Michigan. The Republican part, which is almost all of it except hard core Dem Detroit and parts of Grand Rapids, Muskegon and Kalamazoo/Battle Creek.
Michigan is NOT going Biden this Fall.
Do any other polls show Trumps lead increasing when RFK Jr. Is added in?
Any thoughts on how many key swing states RFK Jr. Is likely to get on the November ballot in? I think he’s only officially on in one or two so far. The Dems seem to be ferociously fighting to keep him off ballots in all states.
They must fear his effect.
Perhaps Republicans can fight ferociously to help our side too?
Do you think Trump would also lose 100% of the time in a âclose raceâ?
The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted March 20 - 31, 2024. The interviews were conducted at the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College. The data included in this release represent the responses of 870 registered Pennsylvania voters, including 390 Democrats, 356 Republicans, and 124 Independents.[1] The sample of voters was obtained from Aristotle. All sampled respondents were notified by mail about the survey. Interviews were completed over the phone and online depending on each respondentâs preference. Survey results were weighted (age, gender, education, geography, vote history, and party registration) using an iterative weighting algorithm to reflect the known distribution of those characteristics. Estimates for age, geography, and party registration are based on active voters within the Pennsylvania Department of Stateâs voter registration data. Gender and education are estimated using data from the November 2022 CPS Voter Registration Supplement.
The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.0 percentage points when the design effects from weighting are considered. The sample error for questions based on subgroups is larger. The sample error for the two-way presidential horse race question (n=431) is +/- 5.7% and the sample error for the multi-candidate presidential horse race question (n=430) is +/- 5.7%. In addition to sampling error, this poll is also subject to other sources of non-sampling error. Generally speaking, two sources of error concern researchers most. Non-response bias is created when selected participants either choose not to participate in the survey or are unavailable for interviewing. Response errors are the product of the question and answer process. Surveys that rely on self-reported behaviors and attitudes are susceptible to biases related to the way respondents process and respond to survey questions.
Gotta get the most populus red county to hold their vote tally until Wayne county does. That way Wayne doesnt know exactly how many votes to find and or manufacture.
I’ve been tracking the polls and, no, no other poll shows support for Trump or Biden increasing when RFK Jr and possibly other candidates are added to the mix.
I’m thinking there’s a problem with their programming.
sorry Captain.
I’m thinking of asking F&M to look at the people who shifted from “other” or “undecided” to Trump, when RFK Jr was added to the mix.
I asked the director of the F&M Poll. He says the poll asked DIFFERENT people the two questions, effectively splitting the sample in two. (In contrast, other polls ask the two questions of everybody in the sample.)
I do. Because the closer the race, the less cheating that is necessary.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.