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Earth 'will expire by 2050'
The Observer (U.K.) ^ | 07/07/2002 | Mark Townsend and Jason Burke

Posted on 07/06/2002 5:37:00 PM PDT by Pokey78

Our planet is running out of room and resources. Modern man has plundered so much, a damning report claims this week, that outer space will have to be colonised

Marine crisis:
North Atlantic cod stocks have collapsed from an estimated 264,000 tonnes in 1970 to under 60,000 in 1995.

Pollution:
The United States places the greatest pressure on the environment, with its carbon dioxide emissions and over-consumption. It takes 12.2 hectares of land to support each American citizen and 6.29 for each Briton, while the figure for Burundi is just half a hectare.

Shrinking Forests:
Between 1970 and 2002 forest cover has dwindled by 12 per cent.

Endangered wildlife:
African elephant numbers have fallen from 1.2 million in 1980 to half a million now. In the UK the songbird population has fallen dramatically, with the corn bunting declining by 92 per cent in the past 30 years.

Earth's population will be forced to colonise two planets within 50 years if natural resources continue to be exploited at the current rate, according to a report out this week.

A study by the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), to be released on Tuesday, warns that the human race is plundering the planet at a pace that outstrips its capacity to support life.

In a damning condemnation of Western society's high consumption levels, it adds that the extra planets (the equivalent size of Earth) will be required by the year 2050 as existing resources are exhausted.

The report, based on scientific data from across the world, reveals that more than a third of the natural world has been destroyed by humans over the past three decades.

Using the image of the need for mankind to colonise space as a stark illustration of the problems facing Earth, the report warns that either consumption rates are dramatically and rapidly lowered or the planet will no longer be able to sustain its growing population.

Experts say that seas will become emptied of fish while forests - which absorb carbon dioxide emissions - are completely destroyed and freshwater supplies become scarce and polluted.

The report offers a vivid warning that either people curb their extravagant lifestyles or risk leaving the onus on scientists to locate another planet that can sustain human life. Since this is unlikely to happen, the only option is to cut consumption now.

Systematic overexploitation of the planet's oceans has meant the North Atlantic's cod stocks have collapsed from an estimated spawning stock of 264,000 tonnes in 1970 to under 60,000 in 1995.

The study will also reveal a sharp fall in the planet's ecosystems between 1970 and 2002 with the Earth's forest cover shrinking by about 12 per cent, the ocean's biodiversity by a third and freshwater ecosystems in the region of 55 per cent.

The Living Planet report uses an index to illustrate the shocking level of deterioration in the world's forests as well as marine and freshwater ecosystems. Using 1970 as a baseline year and giving it a value of 100, the index has dropped to a new low of around 65 in the space of a single generation.

It is not just humans who are at risk. Scientists, who examined data for 350 kinds of mammals, birds, reptiles and fish, also found the numbers of many species have more than halved.

Martin Jenkins, senior adviser for the World Conservation Monitoring Centre in Cambridge, which helped compile the report, said: 'It seems things are getting worse faster than possibly ever before. Never has one single species had such an overwhelming influence. We are entering uncharted territory.'

Figures from the centre reveal that black rhino numbers have fallen from 65,000 in 1970 to around 3,100 now. Numbers of African elephants have fallen from around 1.2 million in 1980 to just over half a million while the population of tigers has fallen by 95 per cent during the past century.

The UK's birdsong population has also seen a drastic fall with the corn bunting population declining by 92 per cent between 1970 and 2000, the tree sparrow by 90 per cent and the spotted flycatcher by 70 per cent.

Experts, however, say it is difficult to ascertain how many species have vanished for ever because a species has to disappear for 50 years before it can be declared extinct.

Attention is now focused on next month's Earth Summit in Johannesburg, the most important environmental negotiations for a decade.

However, the talks remain bedevilled with claims that no agreements will be reached and that US President George W. Bush will fail to attend.

Matthew Spencer, a spokesman for Greenpeace, said: 'There will have to be concessions from the richer nations to the poorer ones or there will be fireworks.'

The preparatory conference for the summit, held in Bali last month, was marred by disputes between developed nations and poorer states and non-governmental organisations (NGOs), despite efforts by British politicians to broker compromises on key issues.

America, which sent 300 delegates to the conference, is accused of blocking many of the key initiatives on energy use, biodiversity and corporate responsibility.

The WWF report shames the US for placing the greatest pressure on the environment. It found the average US resident consumes almost double the resources as that of a UK citizen and more than 24 times that of some Africans.

Based on factors such as a nation's consumption of grain, fish, wood and fresh water along with its emissions of carbon dioxide from industry and cars, the report provides an ecological 'footprint' for each country by showing how much land is required to support each resident.

America's consumption 'footprint' is 12.2 hectares per head of population compared to the UK's 6.29ha while Western Europe as a whole stands at 6.28ha. In Ethiopia the figure is 2ha, falling to just half a hectare for Burundi, the country that consumes least resources.

The report, which will be unveiled in Geneva, warns that the wasteful lifestyles of the rich nations are mainly responsible for the exploitation and depletion of natural wealth. Human consumption has doubled over the last 30 years and continues to accelerate by 1.5 per cent a year.

Now WWF wants world leaders to use its findings to agree on specific actions to curb the population's impact on the planet.

A spokesman for WWF UK, said: 'If all the people consumed natural resources at the same rate as the average US and UK citizen we would require at least two extra planets like Earth.'


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: barbrastreisand; enviralists; environazis; environment; fraud; tinfoilalert
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1 posted on 07/06/2002 5:37:00 PM PDT by Pokey78
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To: Pokey78
Oh, dear. Here we go again. In the 1970's a futurist group called the Club of Rome made a great splash with prophecies of doom based on remarkably robust computer models of the world economy and ecology--we would run out of resources by, I forget when, but it's years ago now, something like 1990; even if we had unlimitted resources, we'd pollute ourselves to death by 2000 or so, etc., etc.

The whole model, of course, turned out to be another example of garbage-in, garbage-out, just like Mathus's similar predictions centuries earlier.

2 posted on 07/06/2002 5:41:40 PM PDT by The_Reader_David
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To: Pokey78
I say we build ourselves a Dyson Sphere to stave off this crisis.

We can build it out of the Earth.....
3 posted on 07/06/2002 5:41:56 PM PDT by El Sordo
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To: Pokey78
The report, based on scientific data from across the world, reveals that more than a third of the natural world has been destroyed by humans over the past three decades.

Thus sayeth our newest world religion which calls its dogma "scientific data" though it hath little to do with science. All bow to Gia.

4 posted on 07/06/2002 5:43:18 PM PDT by JimSEA
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To: Pokey78
WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!!!! AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
5 posted on 07/06/2002 5:43:58 PM PDT by Tribune7
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To: Pokey78
Now WWF wants world leaders to use its findings to agree on specific actions to curb the population's impact on the planet.

The WWF?? What does this have to do with wrestling?

6 posted on 07/06/2002 5:44:29 PM PDT by meyer
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To: Pokey78
Between 1970 and 2002 forest cover has dwindled by 12 per cent.

How much of it got burned away in colorado and arizona because we listened to enviro-assholes and stopped logging?

7 posted on 07/06/2002 5:44:30 PM PDT by glockmeister40
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To: Pokey78
Yep, I guess so. I was out in the back yard today shoveling some dirt when I struck a large rock. Something on the rock caught my attention. I brushed away some dirt, and read the expiration label:

"Earth -- Expires August 2050."

What was odd was the "born-on" date, however.....

8 posted on 07/06/2002 5:44:49 PM PDT by Jay W
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To: The_Reader_David
Yes, I recall sitting in science class in the early 70's that the earth was doomed for desolation before 1990.

Alive and doing well 2002.....

9 posted on 07/06/2002 5:45:10 PM PDT by Tourist Guy
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To: meyer
Come to think of it, what does the WWF have to do with wrestling? I mean like High School Wrestling. You know. Remember that? Anybody?
10 posted on 07/06/2002 5:45:20 PM PDT by meyer
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To: palo verde
No mention of 2012?? Curious ;-) You need to write them and set them straight ;-)
11 posted on 07/06/2002 5:45:59 PM PDT by habs4ever
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To: Pokey78
Earth's population will be forced to colonise two planets within 50 years if natural resources continue to be exploited at the current rate, according to a report out this week.

The sheer idiocy of that comment (it's akin to saying "in the next 50 years, we must utilize time travel") destroys any credibility that report never had in the first place.

12 posted on 07/06/2002 5:46:22 PM PDT by Senator Pardek
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To: glockmeister40
How much of it got burned away in colorado and arizona because we listened to enviro-assholes and stopped logging?

I'd guess about 12%. :^)

13 posted on 07/06/2002 5:46:37 PM PDT by meyer
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To: Pokey78
The sky is falling! The sky is falling! It's time to cull the human herds....
14 posted on 07/06/2002 5:46:39 PM PDT by Goldi-Lox
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To: Jay W
>>>"Earth -- Expires August 2050."
What was odd was the "born-on" date, however.....

and the answer is???????

15 posted on 07/06/2002 5:46:57 PM PDT by Tourist Guy
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To: Pokey78
Malthus lives.
16 posted on 07/06/2002 5:47:13 PM PDT by Kevin Curry
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To: Pokey78
AND THE METHANE GAS PRODUCED BY THIS STINK KEEPS MULTIPLYING...
17 posted on 07/06/2002 5:49:03 PM PDT by demkicker
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To: Pokey78
Now where did I put that recipe for Soylant Green?
18 posted on 07/06/2002 5:50:07 PM PDT by Shooter 2.5
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To: Pokey78
Thank goodness we still have Spam. Food and fuel, all in one.
19 posted on 07/06/2002 5:50:23 PM PDT by Tennessee_Bob
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To: Tribune7
In 2050 I'll be 110 & will already be on the wrong side of the lawn. You younger people are going to have to deal with this.
20 posted on 07/06/2002 5:50:54 PM PDT by Ditter
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