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Hurricane Lili Now A Category 4
TWC | 10-02-02 | my favorite headache

Posted on 10/02/2002 11:30:00 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache

Category 4 storm now....we are talking Andrew style now.


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricanelili
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To: AgentEcho
That would be it! We would always travel from IL to FLA after school got out for the summer. My folks owned a small, ma & pa motel in Central FLA, where we kids and my mom would spend our summers.
61 posted on 10/02/2002 12:18:25 PM PDT by NotJustAnotherPrettyFace
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To: dennis1x
Hey dennis1x, I think you are probably right, but the track listed at www.hurricanetrack.com seems to indicate a right hand turn still needs to take place to get Houston/Galveston completely out of the ballgame. Link below. Whatcha think?

http://www.hurricanetrack.com/Java/seatemp.html
62 posted on 10/02/2002 12:18:58 PM PDT by WillVoteForFood
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To: Types_with_Fist
No, some of the NOAA statements show winds to reach 125 knots 24 hours from now, before landfall. IIRC, that works out to about 150mph. So Drudge is correct.
63 posted on 10/02/2002 12:19:01 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Types_with_Fist
Um, the storm is already above 150 mph.
64 posted on 10/02/2002 12:19:20 PM PDT by BearCub
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To: Tall_Texan
Mercifully, it looks like it will tear up the Louisiana swamp between Lake Charles and Lafayette (if you believe the Weather Channel). No offense to anyone but there ain't a lot to hit around there. Lots of rain and flooding though, particularly so soon after Isidore.

Go to www.mapquest.com and look up Jennings LA. Back up a little from the default image. There are a lot of small towns through that area, and a lot of people. If they didn't get out this is going to be a disaster. And it's also going to destroy a whole lot of sugarcane, which means jobs. Lili is going to hurt a lot of people no matter where it goes....

65 posted on 10/02/2002 12:19:39 PM PDT by DETAILER
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To: Diddle E. Squat
No argument....it just doesn't jive with his posted story and headline...er, previous headline that is.
66 posted on 10/02/2002 12:20:20 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist
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To: WillVoteForFood
just looked at the latest visible loop..she's starting to turn nort.
67 posted on 10/02/2002 12:21:58 PM PDT by john316
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To: My Favorite Headache
Yikes! It's heading to the Tabasco Sauce bottling plant!
68 posted on 10/02/2002 12:21:58 PM PDT by HAL9000
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To: WillVoteForFood
i would say that if the storm continued on its heading Galveston may experience slightly higher than 40-50mph winds....maybe 60-70mph as it would be about 75 miles from landfall (once again, on its current heading if it missed "the turn).

reasons:

small storm
southwest quad storm weaker

69 posted on 10/02/2002 12:22:33 PM PDT by dennis1x
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To: john316
My guess is Morgan City...right about where Andrew hit.
70 posted on 10/02/2002 12:22:48 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist
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To: john316
nort=north
71 posted on 10/02/2002 12:23:02 PM PDT by john316
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To: Types_with_Fist; dennis1x
HURRICANE LILI SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2002

REPORTS FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF LILI HAS DROPPED TO 941 MB WITH FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 131 KT. LILI IS THUS UPGRADED TO A 115 KT CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE. THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INITIAL INTENSITY AND INTENSITY FORECAST. THE TRACK...WIND RADII...AND WARNINGS ARE THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. FORECASTER BEVEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/1800Z 25.3N 89.4W 115 KTS

12HR VT 03/0000Z 26.0N 90.5W 125 KTS<

24HR VT 03/1200Z 28.1N 92.1W 125 KTS

36HR VT 04/0000Z 30.4N 92.5W 85 KTS...INLAND

48HR VT 04/1200Z 33.5N 91.0W 40 KTS...INLAND

72HR VT 05/1200Z 40.5N 82.0W 30 KTS..

72 posted on 10/02/2002 12:24:06 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: All
Anyone have a link to a satellite picture?
73 posted on 10/02/2002 12:25:10 PM PDT by bonfire
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To: bonfire
http://sirocco.accuweather.com/sat_mosaic_400x300c/ir/isaGUL.gif
74 posted on 10/02/2002 12:25:54 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist
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To: Types_with_Fist
Wow!!! You are FAST! Thanks!
75 posted on 10/02/2002 12:26:22 PM PDT by bonfire
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To: bonfire
Yeah...that's what my wife tells me too...:-)
76 posted on 10/02/2002 12:27:19 PM PDT by Types_with_Fist
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To: Diddle E. Squat
that 125kt prediction is troubling....still crossing fingers for the October weakening mechanism seen throughout history......125kt just terrible.
77 posted on 10/02/2002 12:29:06 PM PDT by dennis1x
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To: My Favorite Headache
125 knots per hour is 143.84 miles per hour
78 posted on 10/02/2002 12:29:54 PM PDT by Andy from Chapel Hill
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To: DETAILER
A coworker of mine has an aunt and uncle in New Iberia. He spoke with them a little while ago - they have been advised to evacuate. However, they raise limousines and refuse to leave their animals.
79 posted on 10/02/2002 12:30:58 PM PDT by Quilla
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To: WillVoteForFood
Your temperature map suggests that Lilli will soon enter a cooler zone, thus picking up less energy, then moving again into a warmer zone as she approaches land, where she might pick up more energy and strengthen.

Wonder what this change in water temperature might do to path.

80 posted on 10/02/2002 12:31:25 PM PDT by txhurl
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