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Why Simon will win, and why Joe Davis won't debate
10/10/02 | Dick Morris

Posted on 10/10/2002 10:39:01 PM PDT by DieselBoy

Apparently, I was one of the few Californians listening to Monday’s debate between Governor Gray Davis and GOP nominee Bill Simon. I tried hard to find a replay on television that evening but couldn’t locate one anywhere. Late night TV news coverage was scanty. This must have been the least noticed gubernatorial debate in state history. (Simon’s campaign has posted the debate online. To see it, go to: http://www.simonforgovernor.com/emailresponse.php?353)

Which, of course, was Davis’s strategy: hold the debate on a local TV station, mid-day, when people are working. No major networks would give up prime, evening air time for a debate replay. Given Californians’ general apathy these days, this ensures a tiny audience so no matter what happens, there’s no impact on the race.

Cynical? Yes. Manipulative? Yes. Successful? You bet it was. Outside of political junkies, I know only a handful that heard or saw any part of the debate.

Clearly, the deck was stacked against Simon. The Los Angeles Times, now practically functioning as an arm of the Davis campaign, was debate sponsor. The event was held at local TV station KTLA, owned by the Times’ parent company, The Tribune Company. Two Times staff members were panelists, including editorial page editor Janet Clayton and political pundit George Skelton, who recently proclaimed Simon “the worst gubernatorial candidate in California history.” Other panel members were old TV news pro Hal Fishman and Randy Shandobil, an obscure TV political editor from Oakland and ostensible environmentalist. How he got invited is anybody’s guess.

Anyway, this is what passes for a fair panel at the Times: three liberals and a neutral moderator. The questions posed reflected this bias — virtually every one asked why government wasn’t doing more to solve our collective problems.

Davis’s fear of Simon was well-founded. Any fair-minded observer (this leaves out most members of California’s major media) would say Simon was the stronger, more articulate debater. He put the governor on the defensive about his disastrous record of mishandling the electricity crisis, the state budget, and a collapsing public education system. He hit Davis hard on a key weakness: his weird obsession with fundraising, accumulating far more campaign cash than any human could ever use in this race.

Davis stumbled badly when directly confronted about his campaign financing abuses. While answering, he looked as shamefacedly guilty as the kid who stole the last chocolate chip cookie.

For his part, Davis tried hard to impugn his opponent’s business record and label Simon as “out-of-touch” for his National Rifle Association endorsement and belief that an unborn child is a human being. Davis claimed Simon wanted to move the state “backward and to the right.” (Oh, if only that were possible!) But the insinuations that his Republican opponent is some sort of monster carried no sting, due both to Simon’s boyish optimism and to their lifeless, morose delivery by Davis, who makes the Grim Reaper look like Jerry Lewis.

Of course, since few voters watched the debate, all this is of little importance. The press made the story of the debate Simon’s ill-advised post-debate statement that a photo existed showing Davis receiving a campaign check in the lieutenant governor’s office. Receiving political donations on state property is illegal. The California Organization of Police & Sheriffs (COPS) had advised Simon’s campaign that they believed the governor had received a campaign contribution from their organization in a state office. Naturally, Gary South, Davis’s chief thug and bottle washer, was shocked, shocked that anyone would believe the governor capable of such a thing.

It appears the photo was taken at a private residence, essentially clearing the governor of this specific charge, embarrassing COPS, and affording the press a new excuse to lambaste Simon. Amazingly, press reporting on the matter centers on whether the “damage” to Simon’s campaign is fatal — which the media has pronounced “dead” at least twice already, the surest sign it still lives — not the more obvious story of Davis’s shady fundraising tactics.

My guess is this is just a 48-hour dust-up soon to be forgotten, even by the press. One large gust from a big news story will blow this one off the front pages. Simon benefits from the fact that even at this late date, most voters aren’t paying attention: Witness the pitiful audience for the debate. The real battle — and ultimate fight for Californians’ hearts and minds — is just getting started. As is usually the case, the victor and vanquished in this race will be determined in the last three weeks of the campaign.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; davis; election; governor; simon
Get off of that damned Liberal bandwagon Californians. What the author says is true, most Republicans have labeled the Simon campaign dead at least twice already, but it it obviously still kicking and writhing. If you want to win vote for Simon, and stop whining.
1 posted on 10/10/2002 10:39:01 PM PDT by DieselBoy
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To: DieselBoy
$9 billion, Simon, $9 billion, thats your mantra for the rest of the campaign, "Grey Davis just signed every Californian up on a credit card with a $9 BILLION + interest payoff
2 posted on 10/10/2002 10:48:50 PM PDT by bybybill
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To: DieselBoy
I tried hard to find a replay on television that evening but couldn’t locate one anywhere. Late night TV news coverage was scanty. This must have been the least noticed gubernatorial debate in ...

I live in Eureka and saw it live and reruns at least 3 times on Cspan on Cox cable

3 posted on 10/10/2002 10:49:37 PM PDT by tubebender
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To: DieselBoy
I'm voting for Simon. But I am not sure California has swallowed enough of this Democratic disaster. And frankly, I want Davis in office when the state is forced to declare bankruptcy. All Simon will do is serve as a scapegoat. California can be the model for the rest of the country, to show how totally incompetent and corrupt the Democratic party has become, with no Republicans around to hide behind, or bail them out with conservative legislation. Californians needs the you know what beat out of them for their disgusting liberalism. I'll suffer living here just for the pleasure of watching the shepple finally realize what we have known for a long time, Democrats are bankrupt of morals and original ideas, and incapable of running a government based on freedom and individual rights.
4 posted on 10/10/2002 11:01:24 PM PDT by Russell Scott
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To: DieselBoy
Either you are Dick Morris or you need to post the source for this article. Thanks.
5 posted on 10/10/2002 11:08:35 PM PDT by Bonaparte
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To: DieselBoy
The issue is not about Simon's gaffs being forgotten, it's that he is nowhere to ever be remembered here in CA.

I've seen 150 Davis commercials and 1 Simon commercial since the campaign began.

How does a stealth campaign win the minds and hearts of the people in CA?

I think this has been one of the worse campaigns in the history of politics.
I think if we conservatives can't find ONE strong candidate to go agaist Davis, then this speaks more about how inept the conservative leadership in CA is, over how corrupt and bad Davis is! How can a bastard like that survive in any campaign? The answer is Simon and the conservative leadership in CA.
Maybe that is where the next shake up needs to be?

I remember the man from glad, here we have the man from gaff!
6 posted on 10/10/2002 11:09:34 PM PDT by A CA Guy
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To: DieselBoy
What's the Index of Democrat Vote Fraud in California?
7 posted on 10/10/2002 11:17:33 PM PDT by Consort
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To: DieselBoy
Another thought just occured to me as well. Republicans have the national money to fund what Simon lacked. Maybe they didn't want Simon to win?

Why? Because with a conservative Govenor in, he could re-take to court the prop 187 issue that Davis didn't defend. 187 went down due to a technocality and if Simon came in, his option might be to bring it back to court and get 187 active.

If all the Mexicans can't get their free ride in the US, then next election we get Democrats calling Republicans racist in CA for 187 again and Bush gets hell with Fox over 187.

It is another real threat to those who fear 187. It is legally in the books, it just has no legal teeth right now!

Could be? Now a days, do we ever know?
8 posted on 10/10/2002 11:20:16 PM PDT by A CA Guy
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To: DieselBoy
Ok, time's up. I'll post your article's source for you (California Political Review). And the author is not Dick Morris. It's James Bemis.
9 posted on 10/11/2002 12:00:24 AM PDT by Bonaparte
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To: DieselBoy
Right here.
10 posted on 10/11/2002 12:01:52 AM PDT by Bonaparte
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To: Vladiator; A CA Guy; psjones; AnnaZ
An interesting take FYI, in light of the other Davis thread....
11 posted on 10/11/2002 7:24:51 AM PDT by eureka!
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We the People, Need a New Team in Sacramento!




GO SIMON

***

Tom McClintock for CA State Controller


***

Dick Ackerman for CA Attorney General

12 posted on 10/11/2002 8:30:27 AM PDT by NormsRevenge
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