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To: Dan Day
I might agree with you that psychics are fakes, if I had not had a friend years ago who had psychic dreams. She didn't know how to manage this gift/curse. When I knew her, her revelations never involved any big earth shaking events. I was a part of several incidents which she had told me about before they happened, her husband confirmed many more. Every dream was not a precognitive dream & until something happened she didn't know which were & which were not a revelation. I moved away & the friendship ended. To be quite honest, it was difficult being her friend & I was just as happy that it ended. Years later I heard her being interviewed on the radio. I turned it off.
60 posted on 10/30/2002 4:34:18 PM PST by Ditter
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To: Ditter
Every dream was not a precognitive dream & until something happened she didn't know which were & which were not a revelation.

BINGO...

The "matches" are "proof" of precognition, the "misses" are "just ordinary dreams".

Heads she wins, tails she doesn't lose. Anyone could accumulate a "scary" track record by those rules, especially someone who tends to dream scenarios about people and situations in her actual life, and who remembers a lot of their dreams (unlike me, I tend to have "what in the hell was *that*?" dreams, not involving day-to-day people/situations, and I seldom remember my dreams for the most part). Such a person would provide a lot of "material" for lucky hits (and the misses don't count).

And don't understimate the effectiveness of ordinary non-paranormal intuition. For example, it's not unlikely that a person would have a dream about a friend having a car crash, starring a friend who is known to drive too fast and carelessly -- and then have it happen, for obvious reasons.

We always remember the striking coincidences, we overlook the thousands of times things don't coincide. Anecdotal evidence is very poor "evidence" for psychic ability, because most people have a poor grasp of how often "amazing" coincidences will happen purely by chance. They also have a tendency to give "matches" a higher score than they deserve (e.g. dreaming someone dies one way, and they die another, and counting that as an actual "omen", despite the fact that dreams about someone dying happen quite often.)

62 posted on 10/30/2002 5:08:16 PM PST by Dan Day
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To: Ditter
Does anyone remember "Criswell Predicts" of the late 1960's? His batting average is 100 percent for FAILED prophecies.
Jean Dickson said the US would win the Vietnam war. She also predicted that Richard Nixon would NOT resign the presidency. The last time was on the cover of STAR tabloid. "JEAN DICKSON SAYS NIXON WILL NOT RESIGN" was the headline. This hit the news stands the very day Nixon resigned. Ten years later her press release said she predicted he WOULD resign.
Psychics are frauds.
64 posted on 10/30/2002 5:30:56 PM PST by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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