Skip to comments.The Winning Strategy to Defeat Mary Landrieu (Election still runs hot in Louisiana)
Posted on 11/10/2002 12:45:54 AM PST by elenchusEdited on 07/12/2004 3:58:40 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
NEW ORLEANS — The fight for the U.S. Senate seat in Louisiana may soon get as unruly as a Mardi Gras parade, as unpredictable as the bayou weather, as hot as a Cajun stew. The state won't be the battleground to determine which political party controls the U.S. Senate — a much-discussed possibility before Tuesday's Republican landslide — but it does offer its own kind of intrigue. Some predict that President Bush's popularity could propel the Republican candidate, Suzanne Haik Terrell, to an upset victory over incumbent Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu. Mr. Bush is expected to campaign here for Mrs. Terrell. But others point to the fact that some voters in Louisiana have expressed resentment toward the attempts of outsiders to influence the state's political affairs. Mrs. Landrieu ran against eight other candidates in Tuesday's election, collecting about 46 percent of the vote. Mrs. Terrell finished second, with 27 percent. Louisiana has a unique election system in which there are no primaries. If a candidate does not receive more than 50 percent of the vote on Election Night, a runoff is scheduled between the top two candidates, resulting in Mrs. Landrieu's facing off against Mrs. Terrell in the December 7 runoff. Compounding Mrs. Terrell's electoral chances, Republican Gov. Mike Foster on Thursday refused to support the Republican challenger in her bid to unseat Mrs. Landrieu. Also, Republican Rep. John Cooksey, who finished third with 14 percent in Tuesday's election, has said he will not provide assistance to Mrs. Terrell's campaign. Both men criticized the Republican National Senatorial Campaign for running a "smear campaign" through Terrell television ads. The governor even hinted that he might back Mrs. Landrieu in the race. "I was very put out on the tone of the last election, the negativism," Mr. Foster said Thursday. "If that's the best anybody can come up with," he said, "I'm certainly going to be on the other side. Whoever is the most negative? If it really gets like the last one, I can't be for that, no matter what the stakes are." "The night I conceded," Mr. Cooksey said, "I said I'd endorse [Mrs. Terrell] and that's it. I've done what I've done and that's it." Mr. Cooksey said Mrs. Terrell's election team had urged him to become co-chairman of her campaign for the December 7 runoff, in an attempt to unite the Republican Party faithful. He said he declined the offer. Mr. Cooksey said many Republicans are disenchanted with Mrs. Terrell's candidacy. "I don't even want to tell you what some of them are saying," Mr. Cooksey told the Baton Rouge Advocate. "They are not going to vote for Suzy. Some are going to vote for Mary." But on Friday Mrs. Terrell played down the significance of the defections of her fellow Republicans, saying endorsements don't mean that much. Some of the animosity among Louisiana Republicans was generated by the RNSC's decision to endorse Mrs. Terrell early in the campaign cycle, ignoring some of the other, more socially conservative, Republican candidates. The RNSC also spearheaded a bare-knuckled television campaign attacking Mrs. Landrieu right up to the closing days before Tuesday's election. The New Orleans Times-Picayune termed the TV ad campaign a "$3 million blitz." Silas Lee, a longtime New Orleans pollster, said he was not surprised by the governor's position. "He's always been an independent player," Mr. Lee said. "I'm sure the Terrell position now is, 'OK, if you won't endorse me, I'll call out some of my other friends, like George W. Bush.'"
(Excerpt) Read more at washtimes.com ...
1. What is extremely rare, if not unique, is the fact that the citizens of Louisiana will have the opportunity to decide AFTER THE ELECTION whether they want to elect a Senator who is part of the majority (Republican) party in the Senate, or is part of the minority.
2. The advantage of being part of the majority party is that the Senator has far more influence over legislation and the return of funds to the state. Right now, Louisiana other Senator is a Democrat, which puts the state at a great disadvantage in the new Republican Senate.
3. If Louisiana elects Landrieu, they will have both Senators in the opposition party, and will be in a very poor position for Senate power and Committee seats.
4. The special opportunity they have is to elect a Republican and greatly increase their power and influence.
5. Prior to the election, there was no telling who would win, but now that the composition of the Senate has been decided, they have a chance to choose with certainty whether their representative will be part of the majority.
6. If employed properly, this could be a deciding factor in the election.
7. If you have contacts in the Terrell campaign or the Republican leadership, please convey this opportunity to anyone you can. The Republican leadership should also deliver a very clear message to Republican Gov. Mike Foster that he will destroy his political career if he sabotages this opportunity. That he would even contemplate abandoning Landrieu is an outrage.
8. The people of Louisiana would have to be out and out fools to knowingly choose to have a representative who will be ineffective in representing their interests in the government.
The Louisiana run-off is in December, and I am asking for support for our last "man" at bat, Suzanne Haik Terrell.
Suzanne Haik Terrell, graduate of Loyola University Law School, former New Orleans City Council member, first Republican woman to hold statewide office (as Elections Commissioner.) Since taking office in 2000 she has achieved many of her goals, cutting the bloated Department's budget by canceling contracts, streamlining operations, and downsizing the Department's spending practices and personnel.
"We will never create a culture in this country that honors life until we have a pro-life woman making the case every day from the Senate floor. Today there are no pro-life women in the Senate. That must change. Louisiana can change it."--Suzanne Haik Terrell
Please send a contribution by credit card on-line or mail a check if you cannot personally volunteer time.
Suzanne Haik Terrell for U.S. Senate Campaign
P.O. Box 44267
Baton Rouge, LA 70806
Volunteers can contact campaign headquarters in Baton Rouge at
6554 Florida Blvd., Rm 242
One fact that favors us in this runoff is the fact that the election, being held on Saturday December 7, will most likely have a very low voter turnout. Our base of voters on the republican side are more likely to get out and vote than the Democratic base... I am very excited about the prospects of Terrel unseating the Hillary wanna-be.
Landrieu recently announced she was firing her Washington based set of campaign advisors. Her strategy is to do it the Louisian way (her description of the new strategy). During her 1996 election defeat of Woody Jenkins, that meant having dead people vote. A good article on the past election is located here http://americasfuture.net/1997/apr97/97-0427a.html
Not only that but--God forbid--a Republican senator from a state with a Rat governor die in office.
Should be good...
It now looks like the Party of "perfect" ladies and gentlemen.
Fool me twice, shame on me!!
|Parish||Raymond Brown||John Cooksey||Mary Landrieu||Patrick E. "Live Wire" Landry||James Lemann||"Tony" Perkins||Gary D. Robbins||Ernest Edward Skillman, Jr.||Suzanne Haik Terrell|
|Acadia, 65 of 65||358||2,516||6,991||67||19||2,001||26||29||4,619|
|Allen, 34 of 34||216||880||2,637||120||49||813||40||11||1,133|
|Ascension, 59 of 59||347||1,627||10,547||104||44||3,930||24||53||6,973|
|Assumption, 23 of 23||185||423||4,097||155||45||704||27||14||1,704|
|Avoyelles, 51 of 51||277||3,158||4,721||202||110||611||48||22||1,512|
|Beauregard, 47 of 47||198||1,258||2,692||118||32||1,958||17||13||1,919|
|Bienville, 29 of 29||131||838||2,573||101||40||283||17||8||1,086|
|Bossier, 55 of 55||384||4,580||10,871||227||61||2,307||41||18||8,504|
|Caddo, 152 of 152||1,900||8,830||36,767||253||83||4,255||79||82||18,045|
|Calcasieu, 110 of 110||1,665||4,635||24,073||251||82||8,917||107||70||13,126|
|Caldwell, 20 of 20||60||1,922||1,206||46||34||206||5||2||595|
|Cameron, 15 of 15||146||368||1,417||50||21||367||11||9||792|
|Catahoula, 34 of 34||144||1,772||1,898||87||54||220||34||10||505|
|Claiborne, 37 of 37||71||863||1,945||81||21||262||13||3||968|
|Concordia, 23 of 23||231||2,624||2,795||99||44||332||17||14||688|
|DeSoto, 46 of 46||154||971||3,642||105||16||415||17||13||1,747|
|East Baton Rouge, 298 of 298||1,863||8,606||55,609||298||105||21,186||117||86||34,421|
|East Carroll, 19 of 19||115||659||1,250||53||30||109||19||9||281|
|East Feliciana, 22 of 22||165||517||3,605||36||9||1,333||11||12||1,552|
|Evangeline, 61 of 61||264||2,242||3,971||185||97||728||43||19||2,144|
|Franklin, 33 of 33||120||2,211||2,134||69||59||427||22||6||1,246|
|Grant, 23 of 23||117||1,901||1,537||82||35||488||19||5||774|
|Iberia, 55 of 55||413||2,412||6,528||297||86||2,269||66||23||5,750|
|Iberville, 44 of 44||379||675||6,676||248||67||1,103||71||32||2,462|
|Jackson, 27 of 27||126||1,823||2,275||93||50||357||24||7||1,095|
|Jefferson, 261 of 261||1,092||11,647||48,207||396||118||7,199||129||120||47,291|
|Jefferson Davis, 45 of 45||228||1,070||3,397||105||45||1,174||21||10||2,118|
|Lafayette, 111 of 111||814||8,525||19,945||397||218||7,596||109||65||17,297|
|Lafourche, 66 of 66||405||1,957||11,621||283||126||1,992||57||29||7,400|
|LaSalle, 29 of 29||63||2,906||993||57||49||164||24||2||459|
|Lincoln, 45 of 45||173||3,569||4,786||121||42||986||21||10||2,373|
|Livingston, 53 of 53||467||2,564||8,801||237||78||6,775||44||24||8,591|
|Madison, 25 of 25||132||969||1,511||72||31||188||9||5||547|
|Morehouse, 32 of 32||150||3,040||3,251||106||74||543||37||8||1,369|
|Natchitoches, 54 of 54||222||1,784||4,945||146||55||931||21||10||2,145|
|Orleans, 442 of 442||2,468||4,469||94,811||480||218||2,455||166||138||21,170|
|Ouachita, 79 of 79||396||15,745||14,139||334||174||3,236||57||23||7,784|
|Plaquemines, 25 of 25||224||581||4,711||79||21||423||18||38||3,466|
|Pointe Coupee, 24 of 24||138||625||4,099||222||33||912||29||7||1,660|
|Rapides, 106 of 106||641||12,295||14,667||515||205||3,105||112||37||5,997|
|Red River, 20 of 20||114||387||1,926||105||28||231||21||14||749|
|Richland, 23 of 23||114||2,081||2,315||90||34||385||18||5||1,380|
|Sabine, 42 of 42||201||1,641||1,983||83||42||526||19||15||1,061|
|St. Bernard, 41 of 41||210||1,285||7,792||105||33||913||22||16||7,430|
|St. Charles, 46 of 46||208||1,505||6,034||168||42||823||31||19||5,187|
|St. Helena, 15 of 15||118||384||2,228||141||23||423||25||13||683|
|St. James, 28 of 28||227||461||5,035||174||27||563||31||12||1,799|
|St. John the Baptist, 36 of 36||213||607||5,892||324||57||1,095||34||12||3,063|
|St. Landry, 85 of 85||735||2,600||12,622||123||67||1,525||49||49||6,392|
|St. Martin, 47 of 47||340||1,764||6,075||270||79||1,560||36||27||3,405|
|St. Mary, 62 of 62||372||1,906||6,430||227||60||1,407||46||27||3,813|
|St. Tammany, 131 of 131||423||7,196||17,444||155||58||5,648||65||62||26,955|
|Tangipahoa, 80 of 80||448||2,533||10,448||138||50||2,354||43||90||8,284|
|Tensas, 27 of 27||43||568||913||40||19||127||3||2||351|
|Terrebonne, 103 of 103||506||2,239||10,833||283||83||2,176||56||44||8,157|
|Union, 46 of 46||122||2,810||2,263||67||44||414||11||5||1,290|
|Vermilion, 62 of 62||298||2,356||6,461||116||58||1,478||19||12||3,969|
|Vernon, 54 of 54||322||2,177||4,118||197||60||1,222||28||29||1,625|
|Washington, 54 of 54||281||1,316||5,391||242||84||890||42||25||3,047|
|Webster, 43 of 43||230||1,778||6,425||171||41||885||20||69||3,372|
|West Baton Rouge, 19 of 19||149||405||3,541||29||2||829||8||3||1,892|
|West Carroll, 18 of 18||51||1,441||889||49||46||180||7||6||656|
|West Feliciana, 22 of 22||88||469||2,061||116||17||594||8||7||1,003|
|Winn, 29 of 29||95||1,786||1,887||54||32||268||12||9||636|
U. S. Senator
3,912 of 3,912 precincts reporting
Click here for Results by Parish
|10,444||1%||Patrick E. "Live Wire" Landry||-|
|2,423||0%||Gary D. Robbins||-|
|1,668||0%||Ernest Edward Skillman, Jr.||-|
|339,507||27%||Suzanne Haik Terrell||-|
BATON ROUGE - Louisiana Democrats have a longstanding formula for winning a statewide race: get 95 percent of the black vote and 30 percent of the white vote, and you're in.
But the only way that formula works is if Democrats can get high-profile black leaders to use their organizations to get black voters to the polls on behalf of their candidates.
That did not happen in Tuesday's U.S. Senate primary election and will be a key issue for U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu to address if she hopes to retain her seat in the Dec. 7 runoff.
"If Mary had gotten the African-American vote that (U.S. Rep.) Chris John got, she would have won," said U.S. Sen. John Breaux, also a Democrat, in a post-election analysis.
To win in the runoff, Landrieu must meet with those black leaders who were lukewarm to her in the primary, Breaux said, specifically mentioning state Sens. Cleo Fields,
D-Baton Rouge, Greg Tarver, D-Shreveport, and Don Cravins, D-Lafayette.
Fields, who ran against Landrieu and beat her early in the 1993 governor's race, did nothing in the primary, and at this point says he's not sure what he will do with his organization in the runoff. "I don't know if I will be up and running on election day," Fields said.
His beef is that Landrieu and white Democrats in general "take the black vote for granted," Fields said. He also was turned off by Landrieu's running commercials talking about her support for Republican President George Bush.
LOL... you can bet the campaigns in LA know what these numbers are. They aren't stupid or unaware of the situation. The major factor/key will be turnout and from what groups the turnout derives.
You are right. The thing that bothers me is that Terrell has no turnout operation that I am aware of. She did not even have an office in New Orleans in the primary. In 1996, when he narrowly missed defeating Landrieu, Woody Jenkins had a huge phone bank in New Orleans which turned out a great vote both in the primary and in the general election. As far as I know, none of the veterans of this GOTV effort have been approached by the Terrell campaign to replicate the effort for her. I think it is absolutely essential to offset the shenanigans by Foster and Cooksey. I wish they would make this move and quit worrying about these endorsements.
I'm not sure how national help/efforts will play this time. I'm sure some will help but then too much may turn off the voters. I suspect the voters don't want to feel like they are being exploited by either side.
What a bunch of babies. I swear, politicians are such pigs.
Most of the Democrat base will be too hungover on a sat. to get out and vote.
I can't go along with this entirely, because there was many a time I voted for a Republican candidate when Republicans were the minority in Congress. But I did so on the basis of principle. I don't think that applies in this case. Landrieu has been a political chameleon. Consequently, a vote for her is (a) unprincipled, (b) contrary to the political philosophy held by the majority of Louisianians, and (c) not bloody likely to get many favors from the Bush White House on behalf of Louisiana.
So if you want to be amoral, irrational, and downright stupid, vote Landrieu.
Governor Foster endorsed Cooksey and both of them have behaved like children since the election. Foster said Thursday on his call-in radio show that he didn't like it when the RNSC did not consult with him before selecting a candidate and he didn't think they should have given all the money to one candidate. He said he thought they should have "spread" it around. (Ahem) He said he didn't like the negative ads they ran against Landrieu.... They ran ads about Landrieu's record and they compared her voting record with Hillarys (hee hee). The calls to him that hour were blistering, roughly 90% disagreed and chastised him severly. Governor Foster was a democrat until he decided to run for governor 8 years ago.
If either of these two cry babies cared about doing what is best for the state and the country they would be doing everything they could to defeat Landrieu. Why in God's name would they want to return a tax and spend democrat to Washington and to a Republican majority senate ?
Direct contributions to a campaign are "hard money" and not "soft money." You can always make a direct contribution to a candidate, and until campaign finance reform is overturned, we need to focus on finding good conservatives who need support and contributing directly to their campaigns.
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