Posted on 02/09/2003 9:13:49 PM PST by Norm640
Conclusion An American China Strategy
The Peoples Republic of China is the most serious national security threat the United States faces at present and will remain so into the foreseeable future. This grave strategic threat includes the disruption of vital US interests in the Pacific region and even the possibility of a nuclear war that could cost millions of American lives.
Yet under the engagement policy of President Clinton and his advisers, the China threat has been wished away with meaningless platitudes and unrealistic expectations that China will somehow evolve peacefully into a benign democracy. It is a policy of weakness and passivity that ill serves Americas national interests.
In stark contrast, Chinas hard-eyed communist rulers have set out on a coolly pragmatic course of strategic deception that masks their true goals: undermining the United States around the world and raising China to a position of dominant international political and military power. They seek to push the United States out of the vital Pacific region and achieve virtual Chinese hegemony in Asia. In a world growing more interdependent by the hour, Chinas ambitions cannot be shrugged off.
The reason Americans should take the threat from China so seriously is that it puts at risk the very national existence of the United States. And the reason the world should take the China threat so seriously is that our country, by virtue of its wealth and power, is the leading force for freedom and democracy everywhere. Without this leadership, there is little hope of a better life for all mankind.
The China threat demands a strategic response from the United States, not ad hoc policies that have failed to promote real change within the dictatorial government in Beijing. Under the Clinton-Gore administration, China was dismissed as a threat or even a potential threat. The apparent reason for what amounted to a policy of appeasement was trade and business interests, combined with the compromising of Bill Clinton by Chinese interests that contributed heavily to his campaign funds. But there is also a more sinister reason: an ideological affinity for Chinas supposedly progressive brand of communism among top White House advisers and even the president himself. Going beyond the Lefts long-standing and relatively anti-anticommunist infatuation, this blinkered view sees China as the last best hope for the triumph of Marxist ideas.
These wishful thinkers desperately want China and its communist rulers to prosper, in hopes that the misguided idealism of their college days will thereby survive the universal discrediting of communism in the past decade.
US intelligence officials have made it clear that the failure of the Clinton-Gore administration to understand the China threat and do something about it started at the top. A White House list of intelligence priorities of interest to and his national security advisers did not even include China as a principal target. The list was sent to the Central Intelligence Agency and heavily influenced how senior intelligence officials gathered, analyzed, and reported secret intelligence to the policymakers. The absence of China from the target list demonstrated that Bill Clinton did not want to know what China was really doing.
To address the China threat adequately, US leaders must first understand the threat, then develop and implement a strategic plan to eliminate the threat. Such a plan must include at least the following elements:
*Launch a major intelligence blitz against China: US intelligence agencies today have very limited capabilities for gathering strategic intelligence information from China. The small number of China specialists within the US intelligence community must be augmented with as many as 2,500 to 3,000 China specialists. The CIA and the Defense Intelligence Agency must devote most of their resources to developing networks of agents inside Chinas Communist Party, the government, the Peoples Liberation Army, and related organizations. Chinas more open economic situation has created tremendous espionage opportunities. Electronically, the National Security Agency must be tasked to build up its eavesdropping capabilities targeted at China. The National Reconnaissance Office, in charge of spy-photographic satellites, should be tasked to develop greater surveillance, reconnaissance, and intelligence-gathering capabilities directed at the difficult target of Chinese government and military activities. Analytically, the orthodox notion of a nonthreatening China should be replaced with a hardheaded realism based on American national interest. Without knowing and understanding both the threats and the opportunities presented by Chinas communist regime, American leaders will be unable to formulate strategic policies. A massive intelligence collection effort is needed.
*Develop a strategic plan: The United States needs to carry out a comprehensive effort to analyze and formulate strategic policies for dealing with the China threat, both short-term and long-term. The starting point is to recognize that, despite the Clinton administrations policiesand partly because of themthe communist regime in Beijing is not evolving into a democratic, nonthreatening direction. Instead, it is becoming more threatening. Chinas communist government has realized that the economic precepts of Marxism-Leninism do not bring prosperity. But it obviously has not considered the real problem: its brutal communist dictatorship. It has modified its economics without recognizing that its guiding ideology is fundamentally flawed and would have to be discarded to truly bring about reform. An American strategic plan must begin with a solution that includes a democratic alternative. The Communist government must be replaced and a process of de-communization, similar to de Nazification following World War II, must be adopted.
*Strengthen alliances in Asia: The United States should seek to develop a strategic alliance as part of a larger policy of pressuring China into adopting noncommunist democratic reform. The United States must play the leading role in Asia, acting as a force for freedom and democracy. The alliance must be aboveboard in frankly identifying China as a major threat to peace, stability and freedom in Asia. The alliance should include Japan and South Korea in Northeast Asia, the Philippines and other friends in Southeast Asia, and India in Southwest Asia. Indias turn toward reliance on nuclear weapons is a direct result of the pro-China policies adopted by the Clinton administration. The result has been greater instability in Southwest Asia, with India and Pakistan engaging in a nuclear standoff. To the north, the United States must do everything possible to end the emerging anti-US alliance between Russia and China. More must be done to help Russia democratize, and US benefits should be used as leverage to prevent its alliance with Beijing. The policy can be likened to containment of China in the same way the West contained the Soviet Union during the Cold War. The United States needs to appeal directly to the Chinese people, just as it appealed to the people in the Soviet bloc, to reject communism. The Chinese people need symbols and hope, not a US government that kowtows to unelected dictators. They need to know that the United States will be a beacon of hope for them, helping them to be not only prosperous but also free and governed democratically. The Peoples Republic of China should be admitted to the fraternity of free nations only when it becomes free.
*Bolster American military forces: The foundation for a strategic policy toward China is a strong United States military and an effective national security posture in the Pacific. The Clinton administration has systematically weakened the nations capabilities across the board. Under Clinton, the military became a social experimentation laboratory for liberal attacks on a fundamentally conservative institution. Budget cuts combined with expanded nonmilitary missions have devastated military preparedness and morale. The unprecedented disarmament since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 must be halted. Military alliances in Asia must be reestablished along with diplomatic alliances. Because China is sharply building up its military forces, a US national missile defense directed at countering China must be deployed as soon as possible. China has shown no willingness to curb its buildup of short-, medium-, and long-range missiles, and the development and deployment of a US missile defense to counter them must be speeded up. The missile defenses will neutralize the key element of Chinas program of power: nuclear missiles, both intercontinental and regional.
*Create a pro-democracy Pacific community: A key strength of America is its diversity, and Asian Americans have played one of the most important roles in our security. The Beijing government regards all Chinese living abroad as its citizens, based on common ethnicity. The Americans among the so-called overseas Chinese must take the lead in forming a new Pacific community that will promote American values of democracy and freedom. The ultimate goal would be to work together with all people in the Pacific community of nations-including those in North and South America-to bring about the peaceful replacement of the communist government in China with a democratic alternative. A fundamental element of this community would be the clear announcement that the United States will never abandon the people of Taiwan and that Taiwan will never be traded away into the slavery of communist rule.
The United States today is a Pacific and therefore Asian power, as much as it is an Atlantic and European power. As such, we have a great stake in the freedom and prosperity in the region. Failure to promote democracy and freedom will leave Asia in the hands of a Chinese dictatorship that within three decades could become the regionsif not the worldsdominant power.
The fact that the Chinese government controls the Panama Canal should scare you enough.
China is "NOTHING" without the incredible trade dollars we inject it with each and every month. Gertz's five step plan plods through some decent areas as if one of Vincent Price's zombies, face staring straight ahead, arms outstretched. What it doesn't do it is turn off the spiggot.
We turn off the spiggot and China collapses like the over inflatulanced badger that it is.
I've been saying this for ten years. Even though China is thought to be an increasingly dire threat to the United States, no the entire civilized world, Gertz is loathe to even whisper the only true cure.
Until Mr. Gertz gets up the courage, and a hell of a lot others too, we're just biding time until WWIII erupts.
We defeated the Soviet Union first and foremost by the power of our economy. China is striving to do the same to us and the rest of the free world, by starving the rest of the world's low tech manufacturing of profits.
As it stands right now, with 1.)Rampant, unchecked, illegal Chinese immigration; (2005's biggest news item needed to be solved yesterday!)
2.)strangulating, emasculating Political Correctness;
3.)PRC purchace of Congressional influence;
4.)Pentagon arrogance and incompetence, (sponsoring sight-seeing tours of sensitive US installations is not smart)
5.)Executive ignorance; (China is NOT our friend, and we must treat them as such)
6.) corporate investment in mainland China; (we are making them rich, and giving them the capital to build things to use against us)
7.)media/university/leftist collaboration (the enemies within) and of course,
8.) Fatal lapses in security (Who knows what is in our country, let alone our ports--"Homeboy's Security" is not cutting it)
8.) Failure to resist international pressures
9.)Pandemic technology theft
and 10.)Two Bill Clinton Presidential terms...
We would, in 10 years, lose a Chinese/US war if we do not immediately start anticipating, and thwarting, China's intentions and ambitions, as well as correcting the above fatal errors.
While they are brushing up on "The Art of War," our generals are caving to DACOWITS and radical environmentalists. While they are planning asymmetrical warfare, terrorist attacks, and sneak/surprise tactics,(like EMPs, electronic jamming, hacking, computer warfare) we are becoming too dependent on technology we do not fully understand yet, with little thought (from what I read) as to protecting the technology from the enemy.
Our foreign policy seems to be treating them simultaneously as backward/1970s China and "get rich quick"-business partner. They are neither. It seems FreeRepublic has a better grasp on what to do than our own government.
Geez louise, they've been forced to do it by the United States. We've cramed every bit of manufacturing down their throat that they could handle. The blame goes squarely on Washington, D.C. and the corporate cannabalistic climate in the United States.
If this isn't a concerted effort to destroy this nation, it surely couldn't have been more effective if it had been.
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